Fantasy Football 2012: First-Round Rookie Draft Recap
If you have been playing fantasy football as long as I have, then you have likely branched out into several other different league formats, including keeper leagues, dynasty leagues and/or IDP (Individual Defensive Player) leagues.
With dynasty leagues usually comes the rookie-only draft, which allows owners to add up-and-coming stars who were drafted in the same year's NFL draft.
Below is a quick pick-by-pick analysis of how one of my rookie drafts went. Keep in mind that not all rookie drafts will be the same. In fact, I can almost guarantee that you will find a few surprises within the first several picks.
Round.Pick "League Team Name," Player, Position, Team
1.01 Bozo’s Mad Bombers: Trent Richardson, RB, Cleveland
Not much of a surprise. Richardson figures to reach 300 carries by the end of the season. But will he hit the rookie wall at the wrong time?
1.02 The Rotties: Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington
It's either RG3 or Colts QB Andrew Luck as the first rookie pick taken this year. I love RG3 for two reasons—better players around him and his ability to make plays with his legs.
1.03 The Birds of Prey: Doug Martin, RB, Tampa Bay
Unlike Richardson, Martin will have some competition with LeGarrette Blount, but he is expected to compete for the starting job in training camp. Martin could wind up being the every-down back the team is hoping he could be by the end of the season. Martin's redraft value is a bit lower.
1.04 Scrip Club Rebellion: Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis
Luck slipping to the fourth pick is great value, considering he has been going as the No. 1 to No. 2 overall pick in most rookie drafts. Luck will find his lumps in his rookie season, but his future is very bright.
1.05 Cnefarious Cnidarians: Kendall Wright, WR, Tennessee
Wright will have to contend with Nate Washington for snaps, but I wouldn't be surprised to see Wright wind up with the starting job across from Kenny Britt. If/when Jake Locker steals the job from Matt Hasselbeck, who is currently ahead of Locker on the depth chart, this is a really young/talented offense.
1.06 The Watchers: Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona
I loved Floyd’s upside over guys like Wright and Jaguars WR Justin Blackmon because he is going to be playing across from.
But it sounds like the coaching staff will let Floyd take his time learning the offense, giving Andre Roberts and Early Doucet the chance to battle for the No. 2 spot.
Floyd starting the year off slow is fine, since the Watchers can sit on Floyd for a year or two until he is ready to finally make a name for himself. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him eventually make noise in 2012.
1.07 Bay Area Breakers: Justin Blackmon, WR, Jacksonville
Blackmon was drafted right around where I thought he would go. His 2012 season might not be as good as his fellow rookie receivers' mainly due to.
Although that DUI charge didn’t exactly make himself welcome in the league, Blackmon can't be passed on this late in the first round.
1.08 DESTINATION DOMINATION: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami
This is the surprise of the first round, but it makes sense when you think about it. Reggie Bush is only signed through the 2012 season, so if he fails to match or even come close to his 2011 numbers, Bush could leave via free agency, making Miller and Daniel Thomas the one-two punch of the future.
1.09 Convicts: David Wilson, RB, New York Giants
The last surefire fantasy option left among the rookies, Wilson will get his feet wet early in 2012 and might also get a couple starts if Ahmad Bradshaw continues his knack for dealing with nagging injuries.
1.10 C. Summit Wolverines: Brian Quick, WR, St. Louis
MY PICK. Having a pick this late wasn't easy, but I feel comfortable taking Quick. The Rams expect Quick to be big part of their offense, making him an excellent fantasy sleeper option in redraft leagues as well. He could quickly become Sam Bradford's favorite target.
1.11 Indiana Stonecutters: Stephen Hill, WR, New York Jets
Hill has the talent to be a starter, but the current quarterback situation and the team's renewed commitment to the running game with Shonn Greene could stunt Hill's growth in the offense.
It definitely won't help if a quarterback controversy starts earlier than expected between Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow.
1.12 Scrip Club Rebellion: Ronnie Hillman, RB, Denver
A bit of a wild card, some believed the Broncos reached for Hillman too early in the third round. Others, like Matt Williamson of ESPN’s Scouts Inc, believe Hillman could take over for . as the team’s starter sometime during the season
Having the last pick in a rookie draft is hard enough, but Hillman shouldn't be considered a reach, no matter what the experts say.
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