Fantasy Football 2012: Mock-Draft Simulation When Holding the No. 7 Slot
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For the year-round thrill ride that is fantasy football, here's a dry run of draft expectations when holding the No. 7 slot in 12-team leagues (standard scoring), working exclusively off of MockDraftCentral.com's current Average Draft Position (ADP) rankings.
Round 1, Pick 7 overall: Motive—Best overall player
1st option: RB Chris Johnson, Titans
2nd option: RB Matt Forte, Bears
3rd option: RB Darren McFadden, Raiders
Round 2, Pick 18 overall: Motive—Best player available
1st option: QB Matthew Stafford, Lions
2nd option: RB Darren McFadden, Raiders
3rd option: WR Roddy White, Falcons
Round 3, Pick 31 overall: Motive—Best player available, preferably tailback
1st option: RB Jamaal Charles, Chiefs
2nd option: RB Fred Jackson, Bills
3rd option: RB Michael Turner, Falcons
Round 4, Pick 42 overall: Motive—Best running back or receiver
1st option: RB Roy Helu, Redskins
2nd option: WR Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs
3rd option: WR Steve Smith, Panthers
Round 5, Pick 55 overall: Motive—Best wide receiver available
1st option: WR Steve Johnson, Bills
2nd option: WR Jeremy Maclin, Eagles
3rd option: WR Pierre Garcon, Redskins
Round 6, Pick 66 overall: Motive—Best player available
1st option: TE Aaron Hernandez, Patriots
2nd option: WR DeSean Jackson, Eagles
3rd option: RB Shonn Greene, Jets
Round 7, Pick 79 overall: Motive—Best high-end talent, preferably receiver
1st option: WR Malcom Floyd, Chargers
2nd option: WR Sidney Rice, Seahawks
3rd option: WR Mike Williams, Buccaneers
Round 8, Pick 90 overall: Motive—Best running back or receiver available
1st option: RB Jahvid Best, Lions
2nd option: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Bengals
3rd option: RB Daniel Thomas, Dolphins
Round 9, Pick 103 overall: Motive—Best wide receiver available
1st option: WR Eric Decker, Broncos
2nd option: WR Nate Washington, Titans
3rd option: WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders
Round 10, Pick 114 overall: Motive—Best player available
1st option: WR Nate Washington, Titans
2nd option: WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders
3rd option: RB Evan Royster, Redskins
Round 11, Pick 127: Motive—Best running back available
1st option: RB Evan Royster, Redskins
2nd option: RB Doug Martin, Buccaneers
3rd option: RB Pierre Thomas, Saints
Round 12, Pick 138: Motive—Best defense available
1st option: D/ST Pittsburgh Steelers
2nd option: D/ST Green Bay Packers
3rd option: D/ST Chicago Bears
Round 13, Pick 151: Motive—Best quarterback available
1st option: QB Andy Dalton, Bengals
2nd option: QB Joe Flacco, Ravens
3rd option: QB Josh Freeman, Buccaneers
Round 14, Pick 162: Motive—Best kicker available
1st option: PK Mason Crosby, Packers
2nd option: PK Rob Bironas, Titans
3rd option: PK Matt Prater, Broncos
Round 15, Pick 175: Motive—Best playmaking tight end available
1st option: TE Dustin Keller, Jets
2nd option: TE Coby Fleener, Colts
3rd option: TE Jared Cook, Titans
Round 16, Pick 186: Motive—Best receiver with upside
1st option: WR Danario Alexander, Rams
2nd option: WR Jonathan Baldwin, Chiefs
3rd option: WR Austin Collie, Colts
- Chris Johnson (1,465 total yards, 4 TD last year) currently ranks as my No. 8 overall player (and No. 5 running back). In a "down" year, Johnson still posted seven games of 100 total yards or more and recorded season highs in targets (79) and receptions (57). Seasonal targets: 1,817 total yards and 11 touchdowns.
- Adhering to the preferred model for standard-scoring drafts, I grabbed four top-21 running backs (Chris Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Roy Helu, Jahvid Best) in the first eight picks, before securing the high-end handcuff of Helu and Evan Royster later on. I fully expect the four primary backs to clear 1,200 total yards by season's end, health permitting.
- I currently have Fred Jackson ranked ahead of Jamaal Charles on my most recent Top 30 Running Backs list. But in situations where it's Round 3 or Round 4 and I already have a No. 1 tailback, I have the freedom to choose Charles ahead over F-Jax. Basically, I'll hedge on these backs on a case-by-case basis during the August drafts.
- Of the 15 mock-draft simulations I've held on The Fantasy Blog, this marks the first occasion where I reached for a tight end in the first six rounds (Aaron Hernandez) instead of opting for Brandon Pettigrew (83 catches, 777 yards, five TDs) sometime in the 120s. For a real draft, I would probably want the Stafford-Pettigrew QB-TE handcuff; but then again, 66 is a solid value for Hernandez, my third-ranked tight end.
- When looking at my five wide receivers (Steve Johnson, Malcom Floyd, Eric Decker, Nate Washington, Danario Alexander), it's a group that's noticeably devoid of a superstar. However, the entire quintet should post better numbers than last season, with Johnson, Decker, Floyd and Alexander having the capacity to level-jump in the receiver rankings (before next season). Bottom line: Johnson, Floyd and Nate Washington are currently in my top 25...and they'll be bigger names this time next summer.
Jay Clemons can be reached on Twitter, day or night, at @ATL_JayClemons.
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