Chris Trotman/Getty Images
2011 Stats: 237.1 IP, 3.00 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 230 K, 61 BB, 2.88 FIP, 3.02 xFIP
C.C. Sabathia had a 2.55 ERA before Joe Girardi instituted his six-man rotation in early August.
A pitcher's rhythm is everything. If you have him pitch every six days instead of every five days, it messes with his routine, and he becomes a less effective pitcher.
Will he post a 2.55 ERA in 2012? No, especially since he pitches in the toughest division in baseball in one of the most hitter friendly parks in the majors.
Sabathia has only gotten better as a Yankee, since 2009 his strikeout rate has gone up by a full strikeout per nine innings, his walk rate has gone down by 0.3 per nine innings, his ERA has dropped by 0.37, his FIP has dropped by 0.51 and his xFIP has dropped by 0.75. If Sabathia keeps this improvement up he may earn win his second AL Cy Young Award.
For all of you sabermetric lovers, CC Sabathia posted the highest WAR in the AL (7.1), second lowest FIP in the AL (2.88) and lowest xFIP in the AL (3.02). He even had a .318 BABIP—seventh highest in the majors—which means he was a very unlucky pitcher. The workhorse should be in for another dominant season.
Sabathia is reportedly repeating his conditioning workout from last offseason that helped him lose 30 pounds. If he can keep that weight off during the season, unlike last season, he should be able to pitch more effectively late into games and later into the season.
All of this will lead to a much better C.C. Sabathia in 2012.
2012 Stat Prediction: 242 IP, 22-7, 2.82 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 237 K, 61 BB