2012 MLB Prediction: Justin Verlander and 10 Pitchers Who Will Regress This Year

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2012 MLB Prediction: Justin Verlander and 10 Pitchers Who Will Regress This Year
J. Meric/Getty Images

Justin Verlander had a terrific year in 2011. He won both the American league Cy Young and the AL MVP, and although (strictly speaking) he deserved neither, he captivated baseball fans across the nation with his dazzling stuff, a sterling no-hitter performance and a final line that included a 2.40 ERA, 251 innings pitched and 24 wins.

It was a tremendous season by a tremendous pitcher, one who well deserves to be noticed; he is one of the top 10 pitchers in MLB right now.

That said, Verlander is due for a meaningful step back in 2012. He got rather lucky in 2011, and has some regression due simply because he was so good last year. Verlander might well rack up 220-plus innings for the fourth straight season, and he should do very well. However, he's not going to be the consensus best pitcher in baseball again, nor anything close to it.

What follows are profiles of 10 pitchers, including Verlander himself, who are in that boat for the coming year. Each is due for a rude awakening after dream seasons in 2011.

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