After every regular season has ended in the NFL, much of the talk goes to free agents and the upcoming NFL draft. And every year, some NFL team makes a really stupid decision, in either free agency, or in the NFL draft. Sometimes, even both. If the Seattle Seahawks end up signing Matt Flynn to a contract, it will be a huge mistake.
Matt Flynn has played in 12 NFL games. Not even a full season.
In his first game, he had 2 completions in 5 attempts for 6 yards. In his second game, he had 1 completion in 2 attempts for 12 yards. In his third game, he had 1 completion on 1 attempt for 3 yards. In his fourth game, he had 4 completions on 6 attempts for 36 yards.
In his fifth game, he had 1 completion on 3 attempts for 7 yards. In his sixth game, he had 0 completions on 1 attempt for 0 yards. In his seventh game, he had 0 completions on 1 attempt for 0 yards. In his eight game, he had 1 completion on 1 attempt for 5 yards. In his ninth game, he had 0 completions on 1 attempt for 0 yards.
In his 10th game, he had 2 completions on 2 attempts for 38 yards. In his 11th game, he had 0 completions on 2 attempts for 0 yards.
But here is what Flynn did in his 12th game in the NFL: 31 completions, 44 attempts, 480 yards, 70.5 completion percentage, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception, and 1 lost fumble. His quarterback rating for the game was 136.4 It was, by all accounts, an amazing performance.
In one game, Matt Flynn has dramatically altered his career. He will be a free agent once the season is over, and his services will be sought after by many NFL teams. But here’s why signing him would be a mistake for not only the Seattle Seahawks, but for every team in the NFL.
It is never a good idea to sign a player based on one season, and in this case, one game. It is the equivalent of going to a bar, meeting the girl of your dreams, and marrying her the very next day. What happens when you the two get home, and you realize she doesn’t have a job, lives on welfare, has a drinking problem and a criminal record for stalking? You’re going to feel like an idiot. You’re probably going to do everything in your power to annul the marriage.
Ask the Arizona Cardinals how it worked out when they signed Kevin Kolb to a huge contract last season. Ask the Atlanta Falcons how it worked out when they signed Michael Vick to a huge contract in 2006 following a 3-1 record as a quarterback in 2005. Ask the San Diego Chargers how it worked out when they drafted Ryan Leaf second in the NFL draft and later signed him to a 4 year contract worth 31.25 million.
The list goes on and on. For every player who had a successful one season, or one game, and continued that success throughout his career, there are 10 players who crashed and tanked following that one breakout year or game. At best, you’re gambling on the 10 percent who succeed.
If the Seahawks are able to sign Matt Flynn to a two-year deal worth eight million, I don’t think I would mind. Especially if he turns out to be a franchise quarterback. The length of the contract and the amount of money is identical to what the Seahawks paid to sign Tarvaris Jackson. But if the Seahawks sign him to a long-term contract, I’m gonna pull out all the of remaining hairs on my head.
It makes absolutely no sense to reward a player with a huge contract worth lots of money based on one season or game. But teams still do it. Not only in the NFL, but in every other major sport as well. The possible reward does not justify the unbelievable risk.