
MLB: Would Removing the Divisions Make a Difference?
Labor talks are heating up again in Major League Baseball, and one of the more intriguing topics is the idea of completely removing the divisions in each league and going to a one-division format.
Proponents of this arrangement state that, by removing the divisions, the top regular-season records are guaranteed to go to the playoffs. There is also a belief that parity will increase, as there will no longer be three guaranteed spots going to regional division winners.
But will this actually be the case? Here is a year-by-year look at what would have happened in the wild-card era had there been no divisions, but still four playoff berths per league.
The Ground Rules
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1. I am only looking at 1998 to the present. After mulling things over, I decided to cut off the first four years because the leagues looked slightly different and there were only 28 teams.
2. The top four records will receive spots in the playoffs. Any ties for the fourth spot are noted.
3. There are no scheduling adjustments, meaning that every team played the exact schedule that was played that year. This also means that the AL remains at 14 teams and the NL at 16 teams for the purposes of this study.
Without further ado, here’s a look at what happened:
1998 American League
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Playoff Teams
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (114-48)
Boston Red Sox (92-70)
Cleveland Indians (89-73)
Texas Rangers/Toronto Blue Jays (88-74)
The Yankees were head and shoulders above everybody this year, but the Red Sox would move up to the second seed if there were no divisions. Additionally, Texas and Toronto would hold a one-game playoff for the fourth spot, which would have given the Blue Jays an extra opportunity to make the playoffs that they would not have had otherwise.
1998 National League
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Playoff Teams
Chicago Cubs (Wild Card)
By Record
Atlanta Braves (106-56)
Houston Astros(102-60)
San Diego Padres (98-64)
Chicago Cubs (90-73)
Absolutely nothing changes if we remove the divisions. In fact, the real-life scenario in which the Cubs and the Giants held a one-game playoff would still go on exactly as happened.
1999 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (98-64)
Cleveland Indians (97-65)
Texas Rangers (95-67)
Boston Red Sox (94-68)
Like the NL last year, nothing changes with the AL in 1999 if the divisions are removed. However, there would probably be an exciting chase for the top seed, since all four contenders were within five games of each other as the season ended.
1999 National League
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Playoff Teams
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros
New York Mets (Wild Card)
By Record
Atlanta Braves (103-59)
Arizona Diamondbacks (100-62)
Houston Astros (97-65)
New York Mets (97-66)
Also like last season, the NL in 1999 played out exactly as in real life. In fact, the Mets defeated the Reds in a one-game playoff for the Wild Card in real life, and that would have played out again for the fourth spot.
2000 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners (Wild Card)
By Record
Chicago White Sox (95-67)
Oakland Athletics (91-70)
Seattle Mariners (91-71)
Cleveland Indians (90-72)
For the first time, we have a change in the playoff quartet without divisions—and boy, is it a big one. The Yankees, who won the World Series in real life, finished the year with an 87-74 regular-season record and would have been shut out of the playoffs if there were no divisions. This means that baseball would have had a different champion for the 2000 season, as well as no Subway Series and no three-peat for the Yankees.
The Indians would take the Yankees' place in the playoffs as the fourth seed, which means the Tribe would have made the playoffs for six straight seasons (soon to be seven).
2000 National League
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Playoff Teams
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets (Wild Card)
By Record
San Francisco Giants (97-65)
St. Louis Cardinals (95-67)
Atlanta Braves (95-67)
New York Mets (94-68)
Unlike the AL, the NL has no changes to the playoff lineup, as even the order of the teams remains the same. In fact, this is the third straight season in which the NL remains unchanged, though there was no one-game playoff for the Wild Card (fourth seed) in 2000.
2001 American League
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Playoff Teams
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics (Wild Card)
By Record
Seattle Mariners (116-46)
Oakland Athletics (102-60)
New York Yankees (95-65)
Cleveland Indians (91-71)
There's only a slight change in 2001: The A's and Yankees switch seeds, meaning that the fifth game of their playoff series was played in Oakland instead of New York. Other than that, there are no other changes in the AL playoffs.
2001 National League
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Playoff Teams
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals (Wild Card)
By Record
Houston Astros (93-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (93-69)
Arizona Diamondbacks (92-70)
San Francisco Giants (90-72)
For the first time, the NL has a change in its playoff roll call, as the Atlanta Braves' record streak of 14 straight playoff appearances is cut short at a still-impressive nine years. The Giants replace the Braves in the playoffs, and this quartet has a very clear western flavor.
There's also the possibility that the Astros and Cardinals play for the top overall seed, but those type of ties have been settled by head-to-head records in the past and would likely be decided that way again.
2002 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
Anaheim Angels (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (103-58)
Oakland Athletics (103-59)
Anaheim Angels (99-63)
Minnesota Twins (94-67)
One of the most top-heavy seasons in AL history (Boston and Seattle tied for fifth with 93 wins apiece), the playoffs see only a minor change in seeding as the Angels meet the A's in the first round instead of the Twins.
2002 National League
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Playoff Teams
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants (Wild Card)
By Record
Atlanta Braves (101-59)
Arizona Diamondbacks (98-64)
St. Louis Cardinals (97-65)
San Francisco Giants (95-66)
Nothing at all changes in the NL, as the real-life World Series participant Giants still would have had the fourth seed without divisions.
2003 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (101-61)
Oakland Athletics (96-66)
Boston Red Sox (95-67)
Seattle Mariners (93-69)
2003 brings the second major change to the playoff quartet, as the Mariners take the place of the Twins while the Red Sox bump up to the third seed. Interestingly, however, all of the matchups in the playoffs would have been exactly the same with Seattle in place of Minnesota. Could the Mariners have stopped the Yankees in the 2003 playoffs?
2003 National League
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Playoff Teams
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
Florida Marlins (Wild Card)
By Record
Atlanta Braves (101-61)
San Francisco Giants (100-61)
Florida Marlins (91-71)
Chicago Cubs (88-74)
There's only a slight change in seeding, as the Cubs and eventual champ Marlins switch spots. Much like the AL, however, it does not affect any of the matchups. We might have seen more drama in the chase for the fourth spot, as Houston finished just a single game behind the Cubs for fifth place in the overall standings.
2004 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Anaheim Angels
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (101-61)
Boston Red Sox (98-64)
Anaheim Angels (92-70)
Minnesota Twins (92-70)
We have only a change in seeding without divisions, and that change means that the Red Sox now host the Angels in the first round. It's a small difference that probably would not have affected the Sox' eventual World Series win.
2004 National League
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Playoff Teams
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros (Wild Card)
By Record
St. Louis Cardinals (105-67)
Atlanta Braves (96-66)
Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69)
Houston Astros (92-70)
Once again, the NL is completely unaffected by removing the divisions. In fact, the race for the NL Wild Card that season between the Astros and Giants now becomes the race for the fourth seed.
2005 American League
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Playoff Teams
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
Chicago White Sox (99-63)
Los Angeles Angels (95-67)
New York Yankees (95-67)
Boston Red Sox (95-67)
Nothing changes by removing the divisions, though the race for the final three spots in the playoffs becomes quite a dogfight between the Angels, Yankees, Red Sox and the 93-win Indians.
2005 National League
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Playoff Teams
St. Louis Cardinals
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros (Wild Card)
By Record
St. Louis Cardinals (100-62)
Atlanta Braves (90-72)
Houston Astros (89-73)
Philadelphia Phillies (88-74)
When people make the case for removing the divisions, the first year that people bring up is almost always the 2005 National League.
The West champ Padres finished the year with an 82-80 record and are widely regarded as the worst playoff team of the wild-card era. Removing the divisions pushes them down to sixth place in the NL and puts the Phillies in the playoffs as the fourth seed. The Astros are moved up to the third seed, and the matchups in the playoffs are otherwise unchanged other than the Phillies replacing the Padres.
2006 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (97-65)
Minnesota Twins (96-66)
Detroit Tigers (95-67)
Oakland Athletics (93-69)
No changes to the teams in the field, but the A's and Tigers trading spots changes the first-round matchups. Do the Tigers still advance to the World Series if they are playing the Twins in the first round instead of the Yankees?
2006 National League
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Playoff Teams
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Mets (97-65)
San Diego Padres (88-74)
Los Angeles Dodgers (88-74)
Philadelphia Phillies (85-77)
As much as the 2005 National League is an argument for removing the divisions, the 2006 National League makes the case for keeping them. Removing the divisions means that the Phillies once again benefit, as they replace the Cardinals in the 2006 playoff field. In other words, MLB has a new World Series champion in 2006, and Albert Pujols officially becomes the best athlete in sports without a championship ring.
2007 American League
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Playoff Teams
Boston Red Sox
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees (Wild Card)
By Record
Boston Red Sox (96-66)
Cleveland Indians (96-66)
Los Angeles Angels (94-68)
New York Yankees (94-68)
Ultimately, the only change here is that the Yankees and Red Sox must face each other in the first round. However, a look at the records of the top four teams tells us that the fight for seeding would have been fun to watch.
2007 National League
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Playoff Teams
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies (Wild Card)
By Record
Arizona Diamondbacks (90-72)
Colorado Rockies (90-73)
Philadelphia Phillies (89-73)
San Diego Padres (89-74)
This might be the weirdest of years for either league during the wild-card era, as five teams finished within two games of each other atop the NL standings—and the 85-77 Cubs were not one of them.
The Padres instead take the Cubs' place in the playoffs, meaning that the one-game playoff they had with the Rockies would not have happened. This means that the Rockies, Padres and Phillies would have all tied for second place with an 89-73 record.
So why are the teams seeded as they are?
Because the Rockies won the season series with both the Phillies and Padres, while the Phillies won their series with the Padres as well. Finally, the Mets also finished the season with an 88-74 record, making this one of the most inclusive and exciting races ever. And that's before we get to Colorado's amazing late-season charge.
2008 American League
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Playoff Teams
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
Los Angeles Angels (100-62)
Tampa Bay Rays (97-65)
Boston Red Sox (95-67)
New York Yankees (89-73)
Ironic, isn't it? In real life, this is the one year in which the Yankees completely missed out on the playoffs; removing the divisions, however, puts them in instead of the White Sox. There would be a great dogfight for that last spot, however, as the Twins also finished with the same record (88-74) as the White Sox on the season.
However, the playoffs are now strongly in favor of the AL East, much like last year's NL playoffs strongly favored the West. The Angels draw the Yankees in the first round, while the league champ Rays take on the Red Sox.
2008 National League
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Playoff Teams
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers (Wild Card)
By Record
Chicago Cubs (97-64)
Philadelphia Phillies (92-70)
Milwaukee Brewers (90-72)
New York Mets (89-73)
For the first time ever, both leagues experience a change in their playoff quartet in the same season, as the Mets replace the Dodgers in the NL field and move the Brewers up a spot (without affecting the matchups, either). The real-life NL West is shut out of the playoffs just one year after it grabbed three of the four spots. And people say that baseball has a problem with parity.
2009 American League
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Playoff Teams
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox (Wild Card)
By Record
New York Yankees (103-59)
Los Angeles Angels (97-65)
Boston Red Sox (95-67)
Texas Rangers (87-75)
Another change in the quartet, as the Rangers break their playoff drought a year early and replace the Twins against the Yankees in the first round.
2009 National League
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Playoff Teams
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies (Wild Card)
By Record
Los Angeles Dodgers (95-67)
Philadelphia Phillies (93-69)
Colorado Rockies (92-70)
St. Louis Cardinals (91-71)
This year features only minor changes, with the Rockies leapfrogging the Cardinals for the third seed. Again, this doesn't affect any of the first-round matchups.
2010 American League
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Playoff Teams
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees (Wild Card)
By Record
Tampa Bay Rays (96-66)
New York Yankees (95-67)
Minnesota Twins (94-68)
Texas Rangers (90-72)
The only change here is in seeding, with the Yankees going from the Wild Card to the second seed and having home-field advantage against the Twins in the first round. However, there would be a fight for the top spot that would be quite fun to watch.
2010 National League
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Playoff Teams
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves (Wild Card)
By Record
Philadelphia Phillies (97-65)
San Francisco Giants (92-70)
Atlanta Braves (91-71)
Cincinnati Reds (91-71)
Like the AL, the NL had only a change in seeding as opposed to the quartet itself. And as usual, it did not affect the actual matchups.
Observations
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Removing the divisions did not affect the playoff picture at all on eight different occasions.
It would have created a one-game playoff once, while also removing another one.
It affected seeding nine times, while it changed either the AL or NL field eight times.
2000 and 2006 saw the biggest changes, with new champions resulting from removing the divisions.
The Twins lose two playoff spots, while the White Sox lose one.
The Indians, Mariners and Rangers each gain a playoff spot.
The Yankees and Red Sox were largely unaffected; the Yankees lost one (including a World Series win), but gained one back.
The Braves, Cardinals, Cubs and Dodgers each lose a playoff spot.
The Phillies gain two spots, while the Mets and Astros both gain one.
Removing the divisions did not help the Orioles, Royals, Pirates or Nationals contend for the playoffs.
Toronto received the opportunity to compete for a playoff spot in 1998, but none after that.
If the Wild Card finished with the fourth-best record, the playoff field was unaffected in any way, shape or form.
Conclusion
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Removing the divisions would certainly make things fairer, but there would be little effect on parity. The NL never really had a problem with it to begin with, while the AL saw a negligible change—particularly with the larger markets. My recommendation would be that MLB should not remove the divisions unless it decides to go with a balanced schedule.

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