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Bowl Predictions 2018: Projections for College Football Playoff
November 25, 2018
After the final full Saturday schedule in college football, 81 teams are eligible to play in bowl games.
However, not all of the programs that reached the six-win mark will play in the postseason since there are 78 bowl berths available.
Nothing will be finalized until next Sunday, but teams are starting to fall into place for certain bowls based on where certain programs finished and which teams clinched bowl eligibility Saturday.
At the top of the college football mountain are the four teams set for the College Football Playoff, but who joins Alabama, Clemson and Notre Dame is up for debate after Week 13.
Oklahoma and Ohio State both have legitimate claims to get into the playoff as the No. 4 seed, but Georgia can't be counted out either, as a win by the Bulldogs over Alabama in the SEC Championship would trigger the ultimate chaos scenario.
Bowl Projections
College Football Playoff
Cotton Bowl (December 29): No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Oklahoma
Orange Bowl (December 29): No. 2 Clemson vs. No. 3 Notre Dame
New Year's Six
Peach Bowl (December 29): Michigan vs. Florida
Fiesta Bowl (January 1): UCF vs. Washington State
Rose Bowl (January 1): Ohio State vs. Washington
Sugar Bowl (January 1): Texas vs. Georgia
Other Bowls
New Mexico Bowl (December 15): Fresno State vs. North Texas
Cure Bowl (December 15): Tulane vs. Georgia Southern
Las Vegas Bowl (December 15): Boise State vs. Arizona State
Camellia Bowl (December 15): Western Michigan vs. Louisiana
New Orleans Bowl (December 15): Marshall vs. Appalachian State
Boca Raton Bowl (December 18): South Florida vs. Florida International
Frisco Bowl (December 19): Toledo vs. Southern Miss
Gasparilla Bowl (December 20): Memphis vs. UAB
Bahamas Bowl (December 21): Eastern Michigan vs. Middle Tennessee State
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (December 21): Utah State vs. Ohio
Birmingham Bowl (December 22): Cincinnati vs. BYU
Armed Forces Bowl (December 22): Temple vs. Baylor
Dollar General Bowl (December 22): Buffalo vs. Troy
Hawaii Bowl (December 22): Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech
First Responder Bowl (December 26): Wake Forest vs. Army
Quick Lane Bowl (December 26): Minnesota vs. Georgia Tech
Cheez-It Bowl (December 26): Nevada vs. Northern Illinois
Independence Bowl (December 27): Miami vs. Missouri
Pinstripe Bowl (December 27): Purdue vs. Duke
Texas Bowl (December 27): TCU vs. Vanderbilt
Music City Bowl (December 28): NC State vs. Auburn
Camping World Bowl (December 28): Syracuse vs. Iowa State
Alamo Bowl (December 28): West Virginia vs. Utah
Belk Bowl (December 29): Pittsburgh vs. South Carolina
Arizona Bowl (December 29): San Diego State vs. Arkansas State
Military Bowl (December 31): Boston College vs. Houston
Sun Bowl (December 31): California vs. Virginia
Redbox Bowl (December 31): Michigan State vs. Stanford
Liberty Bowl (December 31): Oklahoma State vs. Mississippi State
Holiday Bowl (December 31): Oregon vs. Wisconsin
Gator Bowl (December 31): Iowa vs. Texas A&M
Outback Bowl (January 1): LSU vs. Penn State
Citrus Bowl (January 1): Kentucky vs. Northwestern
Playoff Predictions
No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Oklahoma
Alabama has displayed why its the best team in college football on countless occasions this season.
Rarely have the Crimson Tide showed flaws, which is why the SEC Championship matchup with head coach Nick Saban's team will be difficult for Georgia, even though the Bulldogs are familiar with the Tide.
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Alabama will be the No. 1 team in every poll entering Week 14, and it will remain on top of the FBS with a tight victory over Georgia.
Georgia is one of the few teams in the nation who could challenge Alabama in most facets of the game, but like he was in the national championship in January, Tua Tagovailoa will be the difference-maker for the Tide.
In the case Alabama falls short, a debate between the Crimson Tide's credentials as a one-loss defending national champion would be judged against one-loss conference champions Oklahoma and Ohio State, but the more likely scenario involves a comparison between the resumes of the Sooners and Buckeyes.
Both Oklahoma and Ohio State earned massive victories in conference play in Week 13, but we believe the Sooners will be ranked just above the Buckeyes in the playoff rankings, which will lead to a scenario in which head coach Lincoln Riley's team just has to win to get into the final four.
Although Oklahoma's defense hasn't impressed anyone, it came up with a couple of big turnovers to assist Kyler Murray's offensive outburst in Friday's win over West Virginia.
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And while most neutral observers will argue Ohio State's win over Michigan was more impressive, the Sooners can flip the script with a controlling win over Texas while the Buckeyes are stuck playing Northwestern.
With the opportunity to earn another quality win by avenging their only loss of the season ahead of them, the Sooners will earn a slight advantage over Ohio State and land in the playoff for a showdown between the top two players in the Heisman Trophy race.
No. 2 Clemson vs. No. 3 Notre Dame
One-fourth of the playoff field is set, as Notre Dame capped off its perfect regular season with a victory over USC.
No one can deny the playoff case for the undefeated Fighting Irish, who will watch championship weekend closely with an eye on potential postseason opponents.
Clemson appears to be the most likely foe for head coach Brian Kelly's team, as the Tigers are expected to roll against a five-loss Pittsburgh team that fell to Miami Saturday.
Head coach Dabo Swinney's Tigers should use the ACC Championship as a starting point for playoff preparations, as they'll bank on the momentum created by a blowout win over Pittsburgh to set the tone for a clash with the Fighting Irish.
Clemson has been nearly as dominant as Alabama in recent weeks, as it held its last five opponents to a combined 74 points, and 35 of those came from South Carolina in Week 13.
Notre Dame's defensive numbers aren't as impressive as Clemson's, but the Irish have still been in control of the majority of their contests.
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The intriguing matchup between the Tigers and Fighting Irish comes in the trenches, as the Notre Dame offensive line known for pumping out NFL products faces a Clemson defensive line that boasts four potential first-round picks in the 2019 NFL draft.
The only scenario in which this matchup changes before next Sunday is if Alabama falls to Georgia, which would then throw off the playoff seeding and send Clemson into the top spot, with Notre Dame likely second.
Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90.