New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

The New York Giants (5-5) return from their bye week hoping to extend their lead in the NFC East with an away victory over the Washington Redskins (4-6) on Sunday. The Giants have won the past five meetings with the Redskins both straight up and against the spread, and they have also won six of their last seven games following a bye.

Point spread: Giants opened as 1.5-point favorites; the total was 47 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 27.4-25.1, Redskins

Why the Giants can cover the spread

New York remains the favorite in the NFC East and has played well versus Washington recently. This is around the time of the season when head coach Tom Coughlin gets his players focused on making the playoffs, and they have usually responded by performing at a higher level down the stretch under him.

This is also the time of the year when Washington has struggled, going 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS in the team’s last 10 games during the month of November. While the Redskins still have a shot at the division title, they have a tough schedule down the stretch and may be shell-shocked after losing 44-16 to the Carolina Panthers on the road last Sunday following a 47-14 win over the New Orleans Saints the previous week.

Why the Redskins can cover the spread

Washington has played well at home this season, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The lone loss SU came in the season opener against the Miami Dolphins, and three of the wins for the Redskins have come as home underdogs. That will be the case again here facing a Giants team that is far from perfect with virtually no running game on offense.

If Washington’s defense can put pressure on New York quarterback Eli Manning and hold wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. in check, the team will have a great chance to pull off another upset at home.

Manning had a solid game in the first meeting, throwing for 279 yards and two touchdowns in a 32-21 victory, with Beckham totaling seven catches for 79 yards and a score. Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins threw two interceptions in that game, and he has nine touchdowns and no picks in his last four home games.

Smart pick

This game really comes down to the play of the two quarterbacks, and Cousins has been a much different player at FedEx Field. The favorite is also just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings, which does not bode well for Manning and his teammates. With Washington winning four of its last five following a loss, watch for that trend to continue here. Take the Redskins to stay in the NFC East race with another upset win as a home dog.

Betting trends

The Giants are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Redskins.

The favored team is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games in this matchup.

The Giants are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as favorites in November.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.