Barcelona and their fans now have all the time in the world to celebrate what was a comprehensible 3-1 victory over Manchester United in the 2011 Champions League final. But perhaps, they haven’t thought of who could be next on the historic list of European champions. Could it be Chelsea, AC Milan, the Red Devils, or even, Barca themselves on another occasion?
Well, most football fans would look at the performances, weaknesses and desires of giants across the continent to pick the team likely to be the next Champions League winner. These criteria prior to such a demanding bet are evidently plausible, yet, an ignored formula seems to show that predicting the subsequent season’s winner isn’t wholly about physical eligibility. It is seemingly not entirely about the combination of mental strength, intelligence on the pitch, unity, physical skills, support, financial welfare, and experience either.
In reality, special events in the recent history of the competition have proved that—in order to be able to predict a season’s Champions League winner correctly—one needs to observe two things: the previous season’s champion, and who that particular champion defeated in his semi-final run.
How ridiculous does this sound? Extremely ridiculous and lame, presumably…
However, what matters is whether this doing results in accurate predictions or not. In the next slides, we look at how “coincidences” in the past few years have been controlling enough to make up a bizarre formula that could be reliable for much longer.