History and numbers have favored Italy’s Inter Milan to win the 2010 UEFA Champions League trophy.
At least the facts above confirmed that.
However, as there is always an end to everything, anything could happen in Madrid on May 22.
But the score lines that are likely to appear between Inter Milan and Bayern Munich are these: 2-0, 3-1, 1-1 (and a two-goal margin win after extra-time or penalties).
Inter Milan is poised to win in any of these cases. Why beat about the bush?
Let’s make our predictions around previous score lines in relevant matches related to Italy and West Germany.
1) It seems like Bayern Munich will have no chance of winning the game within 90 minutes of football if Inter Milan score first. Why?
Let’s look back into history. The 1982 World Cup is the one that comprises facts identical to Inter Milan’s 2009/2010 UEFA Champions League campaign.
Italy defeated West Germany 3-1 in 90 minutes of football. Rossi broke the deadlock for the Italians after 57 minutes. Tardelli and Altobelli widened the margin before Breitner scored a consolation goal seven minutes from time for West Germany. Once again, a 2-0 margin win and there we go with the 3-1 score line.
2) Should Bayern Munich score first, but fail to prevent the match from going into extra time, then Inter Milan will win the 2009/2010 UEFA Champions League title in Madrid, at the Santiago Bernabeu. Why?
There are only two teams that scored first against Italy in a final of a World Cup. Coincidentally, these two teams ended up losing after failing to win during 90 minutes of football.
Note that in the final of the 1994 World Cup, which Italy lost to Brazil, there was no goal after 120 minutes of football. Either way, Brazil didn’t score first in the penalty shoot-outs. It was Italy through Albertini’s penalty kick.
Also, note that in the 1970 World Cup final, which Italy lost, Brazil scored first through Pele. But the difference is that the game didn’t go into extra-time. Brazil succeeded in winning the game during 90 minutes of football.
So let’s look at the two teams that scored first, then failed to win in normal time, and ultimately lost the entire final to Italy.
1934 World Cup final:
Czechoslovakia broke the deadlock inside the 75th minute of the game. Surprisingly, Italy replied with Orsi’s 81st minute goal which sent the match into extra time. Schiavio finally completed Italy’s comeback with a 95th minute winner to offer the Azzurri their first ever World Cup trophy.
2006 World Cup final:
France broke the deadlock through an early penalty goal from Zinedine Zidane. Italy didn’t give up and Materazzi equalized with a first half goal. No further goals changed the score board and the game had to go into extra time. On penalties, Italy defeated France 5-3 to claim their fourth and last World Cup trophy as of now.
The only way Bayern Munich may win the Champions League title if the game goes to a penalty shoot-out is if they emulate Brazil’s winning ways in the 1994 World Cup final by not scoring the first spot-kick of the shoot-out.
Take these analyses into considerations and let’s see what the 2009/2010 UEFA Champions League final will bring. However, impossible is nothing in football.
Therefore, play makers such as Schneider, Arjen Robben, or anyone else could change the course of the norm for Bayern Munich on Saturday.
Go ahead—share your opinion and predict too!
(Many thanks to my brother Isaac Asante who is also on Bleacher Report for creating the lead slide and last slide picture through four different pictures: Bayern Munich Logo, Inter Milan Logo, German flag, Italian flag, and the 2010 UEFA Champions League final ticket)