Updated Rankings for Top Available 2020 NBA Free Agents
The NBA is in the middle of an unprecedented offseason that'll be crammed into a very tight fit.
Free agency tipped off Friday. And the opening night of the regular season is December 22, just over a month away. How can teams assemble rosters, hold training camps and be ready for meaningful games in just a few weeks?
Well, for starters, identifying and signing free agents quickly is key.
And that's exactly what happened Friday. For a running tab on all the action, go here. To know who the best available players are, scroll below.
But first, a word on how those players were selected.
Predicting the future is next to impossible, but recent numbers give us some indication of how players will perform next season.
Age is a factor as well. If two players with similar size, stats and skillsets hit the market and one is five years younger than the other, he may have an edge (unless a specific team is looking for experience).
Versatility is also key. As the NBA continues to lean into positionless basketball, players who can guard multiple positions, hit threes and create a little have gained value. The league still has specialists, but a well-rounded base of skills is becoming increasingly important.
Few free-agency classes across history featured as obvious a No. 1 as 2020's Anthony Davis.
Just now on the verge of his prime, Davis is a 27-year-old big with almost no discernible weaknesses. He can defend all over the floor, clean the glass and carry an offense from the post or the extended mid-range. Over the last two seasons, he's even shown burgeoning playmaking and three-point shooting.
As he continues to grow, Davis has a chance to become the best player in the NBA during the life of his next NBA contract, which will almost certainly be with the Los Angeles Lakers.
"Davis plans to opt out of his $28.7 million player option and re-sign with the Lakers," Shams Charania wrote for The Athletic. "Davis and his agent, Rich Paul, will hold meetings in the coming weeks to discuss the situation and the contract term that is most sensible for Davis."
Considering the fact that AD will have 10 years of service in two seasons, a deal that allows him to reenter free agency in 2022 makes the most sense. Then, he'll have access to the 35-percent-of-the-cap max deal that decade-long veterans can sign.
After three seasons of flashes from Brandon Ingram, it all came together in Year 4. His length, playmaking ability and jump shooting coalesced toward 23.8 points, 4.2 assists and 2.4 threes in his first run with the New Orleans Pelicans.
And that breakout just happened to occur in the last season of Ingram's rookie contract, making him the most coveted restricted free agent in the 2020 class.
Prying him away from the Pelicans will likely be difficult, no matter how badly suitors want him. New Orleans can match any offer sheet he signs, and a long-term top two of Ingram and Zion Williamson is on the track to perennial playoff appearances.
They didn't play much together this season, due to Williamson's delayed debut, but teams had a whale of a time containing them when they did.
In the 901 possessions in which the two young stars shared the floor, the Pelicans were plus-9.9 points per 100 possessions (95th percentile). Add fellow youngster Lonzo Ball to that mix and the net rating climbs to plus-13.1 (98th percentile).
With Ingram scoring from the perimeter, Williamson dominating inside and Ball engineering possessions and leading charges in transition, this trio has a chance to be one of the league's best in the near future. Regardless of the price tag, New Orleans will be hesitant to forfeit that future.
Bogdan Bogdanovic was ostensibly off the market for about 48 hours from Monday to Wednesday. He was originally reported to be headed to the Milwaukee Bucks as part of a sign-and-trade. Thing is, the "sign" part of that equation wasn't supposed to happen till November 20, when free agency opened.
Without getting Bogdanovic to sign, the move fell through. And now he is officially available.
And though he may be a bit older than many realize (already 28), Bogdanovic is a solid, multipositional shooter and playmaker who can add some punch to an offense.
As a secondary playmaker attacking the opposition's second- or third-best perimeter defender, Bogdanovic (restricted free agent) could very well build on those numbers as he plays through his prime and during this contract.
Playing with Damian Lillard has its perks, as Hassan Whiteside should now be able to attest.
His basic numbers leap off the screen, too: 18.5 points, 16.1 rebounds and 3.5 blocks per 75 possessions.
Most importantly, the Portland Trail Blazers were better (a lot better, actually) when Whiteside was on the floor. He bought into a role that called for less usage than he got in the past, but he still defended with the effort and intensity needed to be a clear plus on that end.
Gone were the days of block-chasing and occasionally moping up and down the floor. In Portland, Whiteside was a legitimate defensive anchor and rim-rolling weapon.
If he can maintain the kind of focus he had in 2019-20, he should help whichever team signs him this offseason.
You can sort of chart the evolution of NBA basketball by simply looking at the statistical trajectory of Serge Ibaka's career.
He took six total threes in his first three seasons, and he led the league in total blocks during four of his first five campaigns. In 2019-20, just over a decade after he started, Ibaka attempted 3.3 threes per game and saw his block average dip below one for the first time in his career.
The ability to pull bigger defenders away from the paint has become critically important for plenty of offenses around the league, and Ibaka can do that.
Moving away from the rim hasn't adversely impacted his rebounding, either. His 16.1 rebounding percentage in each of the last two seasons is the highest mark he's posted since 2010-11.
Backing up Steven Adams with the Oklahoma City Thunder has limited Nerlens Noel's playing time, but he has certainly made the most of his minutes.
Since the start of the 2018-19 campaign, Noel has averaged 13.5 points, 10.2 rebounds, 3.1 blocks and 2.0 steals per 75 possessions with a 66.0 true shooting percentage that's nearly 10 points above the league average of 56.2.
Even as the league increasingly relies on centers to provide shooting and playmaking, a top-flight athlete like Noel can be a plus by protecting the rim on one end and diving to it on the other.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is fresh off a title run with the Los Angeles Lakers in which he averaged double figures and shot 37.8 percent from three in the playoffs.
The 6'5" KCP isn't quite as big as prototypical three-and-D wings, but he can be trusted to spend time on both point guards and shooting guards. That and above-average shooting carry weight around the league.
At 27 years old, he's also on the right side of 30. There likely isn't a drastically different player within him, but there are certainly areas in which he can improve during his next contract.
More consistent three-point shooting is one. And depending on where he plays, a little more playmaking wouldn't hurt.
Marc Gasol turns 36 in January, but his passing ability and defensive savvy should help him be a net plus for at least a couple more seasons.
In 2019-20, the Toronto Raptors were plus-10.1 points per 100 possessions with Gasol on the floor and plus-3.7 with him off.
If he goes to a contender, which seems likely for a player of his stature and experience, Gasol will likely play in a reduced role. And he may be able to pack even more of a punch in limited minutes and on fresh legs.
Harry Giles III
It's relatively rare for a team to give up on a player with Harry Giles III's pedigree after just two seasons. He's only 22 years old, and he showed flashes as a playmaking big in 2019-20.
It wouldn't be a bit surprising to see another organization bet on its coaching and developmental staff's ability to untap some of the potential Giles has left.
With his size, athleticism and passing ability, he can still find a place in the NBA.
A torn Achilles ended DeMarcus Cousins' 2017-18 after 48 games. He came back from that injury for 30 games in 2018-19, but a torn ACL eliminated all of last season.
Still, the 30-year-old 5 who could've been described as "lumbering" even before the injury woes is reportedly drawing interest from teams around the league.
He isn't likely to ever post the kind of gaudy numbers he did earlier in his career, but sheer size and underrated passing ability could make him a positive contributor going forward.
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson posted a career low in minutes per game, but he may have rehabbed his value a bit in his lone season with the Toronto Raptors.
The 6'6", multipositional forward showed a greater willingness to defend and averaged more assists per possession than he ever has before.
In theory, Juancho Hernangomez is sort of a Davis Bertans-lite. At 6'9", he commands bigger defenders. And his three-point stroke pulls those bigs away from the paint. He just didn't have too many chances to show it with the Denver Nuggets.
After he was traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves, though, Hernangomez averaged 12.9 points and 2.1 threes (while shooting 42.0 percent from deep) in 29.4 minutes.
The sample size was only 14 games, but you could clearly the see the fit for Hernangomez as a spacer on the flank of a pick-and-roll.
Dario Saric showed loads of promise as a playmaking and shooting 4 in his first two seasons with the Philadelphia 76ers, but he's struggled to live up to it since then.
Still, at 26, the restricted free agent is not exactly over the hill. He has plenty of time to get more consistent as a shooter, defender and passer. Whatever team signs him will be betting on that possibility.
Kyle O'Quinn has spent much of his career as a third-string center who's struggled to find consistent minutes. He's generally productive when he makes it onto the floor, though.
Over the last three seasons, he's recorded a 2.6 box plus/minus and averages of 14.4 points, 12.6 rebounds, 4.7 assists and 2.6 blocks per 75 possessions.
Though he's heading into just his fourth NBA season, restricted free agent Chris Boucher will turn 28 in January. In 2019-20, he got his first chance to showcase his talent in a somewhat consistent role.
And he was pretty productive, averaging 17.9 points, 12.1 rebounds and 2.7 blocks per 75 possessions.
After something of a two-season breakout in 2017-18 and 2018-19 with the Sacramento Kings, in which he averaged 12.3 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists in 27.6 minutes, Willie Cauley-Stein saw his playing time and responsibilities decrease for the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks in 2019-20.
He's only 27 years old, though. The drop-off likely isn't age-related. And if a team is looking for a rim roller who can also pass a bit off the bench, WCS checks those boxes.
Noah Vonleh has been in the league for six seasons and has yet to post a single above-average campaign, according to box plus/minus.
Still, he's only 25 years old and 6'10". With career averages of 0.9 blocks and 0.9 steals per 75 possessions, and a tease at stretch-big ability in 2018-19, he's worth a flier.
Aron Baynes proved himself as more than a bruiser last season with the Phoenix Suns. He posted career highs in points (11.5) and threes (1.4) per game while shooting 35.1 percent from deep.
He turns 34 in December, so it may be all downhill from here, but his playing style doesn't exactly call for above-the-rim athleticism anyway. He'll make a solid addition to some team's bench.
Reggie Jackson has had a fairly significant injury history over the last four seasons, but he had a resurgence as a reserve for the Los Angeles Clippers last season.
In 17 regular-season games, he averaged 9.5 points in 21.3 minutes and shot 41.3 percent from three. He stayed hot in the playoffs too, when he went 17-of-32 (53.1 percent) from deep.
He'll likely never regain his 2015-16 form, but that run with the Clippers should sell a team on his ability to contribute off the bench.
Emmanuel Mudiay had a much smaller role in 2019-20 than he's had in years past, but he also posted career highs in true shooting percentage and box plus/minus.
Under Jazz coach Quin Snyder, Mudiay learned to work within a system, and that should serve him well. He seems to have a better handle on when to deviate from the scheme and utilize his ability to get to the paint.
Alex Len has tried to embrace the growing trend of three-point shooting bigs and has seen mixed results. In 2018-19, he shot 36.3 percent from deep on 2.6 attempts per game. In 2019-20, those numbers dropped to 27.1 and 1.1.
If he can rediscover his form from two seasons ago, he'll increase his value. But even without the outside shooting, the fact that Len is a legit seven-footer may be enough to sell some team on the idea it can unlock more production.
He may never live up to his top-10 draft status or the fact that the Charlotte Hornets turned down multiple draft picks for him, but there's still reason to believe Frank Kaminsky can be a positive contributor for some team's second unit.
He's a legit seven-footer who can theoretically hit threes (though he's only posted an above-average three-point percentage twice).
At 32, Jeff Teague is getting up there in NBA age, but he still has decent vision and quickness for a backup point guard.
Last season, he averaged 10.9 points and 5.2 assists in just 24.8 minutes per game.
Over the last three seasons, Langston Galloway has hit 2.9 threes per 75 possessions, while shooting 36.8 percent from distance.
As a ninth or 10th man who comes in and shoots a few from the outside, he can have some value.
Kyle Korver has had a long, productive (particularly from three-point range) career, but he turns 40 in March. He played 16.6 minutes per game in 2019-20, but the Milwaukee Bucks were significantly worse with him on the floor.
At this point in his career, he's a "break in case of emergency" shooter, but he'll surely knock down threes when called upon. Even in his advanced years, he's shot 41.7 percent from three since the start of the 2017-18 campaign.