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Week 6 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Garrett Baker
Oct 8, 2013

Five weeks of football are behind us, and we are now officially at the midway point in most fantasy football regular seasons.

Bye weeks and injuries are piling up, and we are in crunch time for fantasy owners who want to take a step up in the second half of their fantasy seasons.

Options on the waiver wire are becoming more and more limited, so owners need to rely more heavily on making the right decisions about who is on their roster.

Here are my Week 6 fantasy football rankings for every position.

Quarterback

1 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Comp.Pass YdsPass TDsINTsRush Yds
1Peyton Manning, DENJAX3042550 0 
2Drew Brees, NONE26303404 
3Aaron Rodgers, GBBAL253193020
4Tony Romo, DALWAS263103 1 7
5Andrew Luck, INDSD24301 3 0 23
6Philip Rivers, SDIND253103 00 
7Matthew Stafford, DETCLE24314 3 10
8Jay Cutler, CHINYG22297209
9Tom Brady, NENO2528830 2
10Robert Griffin II, WASDAL21247 2 025
11Alex Smith, KCOAK26265 3 010
12Cam Newton, CARMIN17 2252 1 42
13Colin Kaepernick, SFARI21215 2131
14Terrelle Pryor, OAKKC19196 11 47
15Geno Smith, NYJPIT20231 21 12

The Denver-Jacksonville game is going to be an embarrassing blowout. I think a potential issue for the Broncos offense will be that they get ahead so big so early that they don't end up putting up numbers that are as crazy as they could be. But it'll still be big.

There should be no doubts about who is the best quarterback from the talented 2012 class. Luck has separated himself from the pack and has put up good numbers each week this season, including in a huge victory over Seattle last week. The game against San Diego could turn into a shootout, which is good for Luck's fantasy prospects.

If Brady has Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski on the field, then he could make the Patriots look like their old selves on offense. He'll have to throw a lot to keep up with Drew Brees, so a big game could be in the works.

Running Back

2 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Rush Yds
Rec.Rec. Yds
Total TDs
1Adrian Peterson, MINCAR 1334 342
2Jamaal Charles, KCOAK 103650 2
3Matt Forte, CHINYG 885 892
4Arian Foster, HOUSTL 1143341
5LeSean McCoy, PHITB 1004391
6DeMarco Murray, DALWAS975431
7Marshawn Lynch, SEATEN112001 
8Knowshon Moreno, DENJAX942101 
9Doug Martin, TBPHI883171 
10Trent Richardson, INDSD86151
11Ray Rice, BALGB724481
12Reggie Bush, DETCLE576571
13Alfred Morris, WASDAL87000
14Frank Gore, SFARI77000 
15C.J. Spiller, BUFCIN613300 
16Fred Jackson, BUFCIN452191
17 Danny Woodhead, SDIND325610
18 Darren Sproles, NONE436530
19 Pierre Thomas, NONE41001
20 DeAngelo Williams, CARMIN572170

Foster has put in two big games in a row now and looks to be back to his usual form. St. Louis' defense is nothing special, and Foster will be relied on pretty heavily to carry Houston's offense.

Martin has been one of the biggest victims in Tampa Bay's free fall, but with things a little more settled after a bye week, expect him to start putting up better numbers. His talent is there, he just needs better opportunities.

After hobbling through the first few weeks of the season, Rice finally had a good game against Miami in Week 5 and seems to be fully healthy again. Baltimore's offense is still pretty bad, but having their top talent healthy will be huge.

Wide Receiver

3 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. YdsRec. TDs
1Dez Bryant, DALWAS  71231 
2Demaryius Thomas, DENJAX  6106 2
3Calvin Johnson, DET
CLE  7115 1 
4Wes Welker, DENJAX  91080
5Brandon Marshall, CHINYG  7100 1 
6A.J. Green, CIN
BUF  61051 
7Eric Decker, DENJAX 7991 
8Victor Cruz, NYG
CHI  5111 1 
9Andre Johnson, HOUSTL  6941 
10Pierre Garcon, WASDAL  5961 
11DeSean Jackson, PHI
TB  499 1 
12Reggie Wayne, INDSD  6931 
13Jordy Nelson, GB
BAL  5951
14Josh Gordon, CLEDET  690 1
15Antonio Brown, PITNYJ  6890 
16Justin Blackmon, JAXDEN  777 1 
17 Danny Amendola, NENO  684 0 
18 Torrey Smith, BALGB  583 0 
19Hakeem Nicks, NYGCHI  6780 
20Vincent Jackson, TBPHI  5730 
21Cecil Shorts, JAXDEN  673 0 
22Steve Smith, CARMIN  477 0 
23Marques Colston, NONE  664 0 
24Alshon Jeffery, CHINYG 6620 
25T.Y. Hilton, INDSD 368 0 
26 Larry Fitzgerald, ARISF 462 0 
27James Jones, GBBAL  558 0 
28Vincent Brown, SDIND  460 0 
29Dwayne Bowe, KCOAK  5550 
30Keenan Allen, SDIND  5540 

Dez has fully established himself as one of, if not the premier receiver in the NFL this year, even threatening Calvin Johnson's position at the top of the league during a down year for Megatron. Bryant can do it all and should dominate Washington's secondary this week.

Decker has quietly taken a back seat to Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker, but he's been ultra-productive this year, and there will be plenty of stats to go around against lowly Jacksonville.

After two insanely monster performances, expect Jeffery to receive special attention this week from New York's secondary. He'll come back down to earth but still put up respectable numbers.

Allen was one of my favorite rookie receivers from this class before the draft, and he's now getting a chance to shine on the outside for San Diego. He's a great waiver-wire pickup.

*Randall Cobb should be included on this list as well, slotted sixth between Brandon Marshall and A.J. Green.

Tight End

4 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1Jimmy Graham, NO
NE  71251 
2Rob Gronkowski, NENO  8102 1 
3Jason Witten, DALWAS  61060 
4Jordan Cameron, CLEDET  5951 
5Martellus Bennett, CHINYG  6901 
6Garrett Graham, HOUSTL  7810 
7Julius Thomas, DENJAX  4541
8Antonio Gates, SDIND  686 0 
9Greg Olsen, CARMIN 680 0 
10Brandon Myers, NYGCHI 677 0 
11Vernon Davis, SFARI  479 0 
12Coby Fleener, INDSD  6680 
13Jermichael Finley, GBBAL 665 0 
14Heath Miller, PITNYJ  5590 
15Sean McGrath, KCOAK  557 0

I was wrong about him last week, but Gronkowski is finally expected to play in Week 6, per USA Today. Tom Brady will love having Gronk back. Expect a big week right off the bat.

With Owen Daniels out for at least a few weeks, Graham steps in for Houston as the go-to tight end. He's an athletic pass-catcher who should see his share of targets from Matt Schaub.

Kicker

5 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Makes40+XP
1Nick Novak, SDIND 4 2 3
2Stephen Gostkowski, NENO 3 24
3Justin Tucker, BALGB  4 12 
4Dan Bailey, DALWAS 2 23
5Blair Walsh, MINCAR  3 12
6Garrett Hartley, NONE 3 03
7Greg Zuerlein, STLHOU 3 02
8Alex Henery, PHITB  2 13
9Mason Crosby, GBBAL  2 12
10Matt Prater, DENJAX  1 05

After an impressive rookie year, Walsh has followed it up with a great rookie season. His leg is one of the most powerful in the league, as he has blasted two 50+ yard field goals already this year. The fact that Minnesota's defense has struggled to capitalize and score touchdowns also adds to his value.

The fact that Jacksonville's defense is so bad is actually what keeps Prater lower than usual this week. The Broncos offense will likely score more often than not, and so his leg won't be needed.

Defense

6 of 6
 TeamOpp.Points AllowedSacksTurnovers
1ChicagoNYG 9 3 4
2DenverJAX 6 3 2
3Cincinnati BUF 13 4 2
4SeattleTEN 14 3 2
5Kansas CityOAK 13 3 1
6San FranciscoARI 16 3 1
7ArizonaSF 20 3 2
8MinnesotaCAR 21 1 2
9New York JetsPIT 20 2 1
10DetroitCLE 17 1 2

Cincinnati will be licking its chops getting to face a Buffalo team whose offense has been sputtering so far this season. Thad Lewis is starting under center in Week 6 (seriously), and C.J. Spiller and Stevie Johnson have not been threats so far this year.

Coming off of a monstrous Monday night victory over Atlanta, New York will be riding high coming into their matchup with the suddenly woeful, winless Steelers. Maybe Mike Wallace was more important to that offense than they thought.