Boston Red Sox: Does Math Help Case for World Series Championship?
With a .600 winning percentage over its last 30 games, the Boston Red Sox can use that math to make a postseason berth for the first time since 2009.
According to Gordon Edes of ESPN Boston, "If the Sox maintain that .600 pace, they would go 71-47 over their final 118 games, leaving them with a total of 93 wins." That type of win total puts the Red Sox in contention for one of the two Wild Card spots, and even at .500 the Red Sox are only 1.5 games out of a playoff spot.
Edes is right on the money here and Bobby Valentine is not in the wrong for saying "we're going to win a championship" when he was interviewed by NESN this past week.
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It is really incredible that the Red Sox are in this position with all the injuries that have all but decimated the outfield and the bullpen early on in the season.
The three projected starting outfielders are all on the DL, and there is no set timetable for any of their returns.
Jacoby Ellsbury got hurt on April 13 against the Tampa Bay Rays and still could be out for another month with the subluxation of his right shoulder.
Carl Crawford is recovering from a elbow injury that he suffered after injuring his shoulder earlier in the spring. He could be back in a couple weeks.
Cody Ross recently was placed on the 15-day DL due to a fractured bone in his left foot and could be out at least six-eight weeks, according to Sporting News.
Andrew Bailey was set to be the Opening Day closer but tore a ligament in his thumb and is not due back until the All-Star break at the earliest. Luckily, Alfredo Aceves has been a great closer with 11 saves in 13 opportunities after blowing his first two saves early on in the season.
The Red Sox will eventually have these players back on the field, and once that happens watch out as they will make a push to be at the top of the AL East once again.
A 93 win total would mean that the top team in the AL East would need 94 games, and that will most likely be the New York Yankees or Tampa Bay Rays unless something happens to those ball clubs to hamper their winning ways.
The Red Sox have the potential to do even better down the stretch with a pretty easy schedule in interleague play as well as an easy August with facing the likes of Minnesota and Kansas City.
The Red Sox also have played pretty well against the AL East without these players, and maybe once they get these players back, then the battle for the AL East crown will be that more interesting.



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