College Football Kraus Index: Week Two
In Week One I devised an index that measured weekly team performance. I have tweaked the computations slightly for Week Two and will continue to tweak the formula until I feel it is just right.
Since this is semi-subjective, there is no perfect formula—just like the BCS. Index numbers are on a sliding scale, negatives generally mean a loss and positives generally mean a win. The further from zero the better (or worse) the team performed.
This week, let's start off with some conference statistics which I did not have for Week One. The first is how each conference has performed through the first two weeks. I think these numbers are directionally correct as they line up with out-of-conference winning percentiles and whom the losses were against.
Conference Average
SEC 1.42
Big 12 1.38
Big Ten 1.28
Pac-10 0.94
MWC 0.05
C-USA (0.00)
ACC (1.22)
MAC (1.25)
1-A Indep (1.59)
Big East (1.68)
WAC (4.20)
Sun Belt (4.76)
In Week Two, East Carolina and Vanderbilt's performances put them at the top of the index. Washington State is dead last, which isn't too surprising, but Miami (FL) being so far down the list tells me that I need to do some more work on my index formulation (though the score was lopsided, as were total yards). Several teams did not play, some due to Gustav.
Team TOTAL
1 East Carolina 5.65
2 Vanderbilt 3.31
3 California 3.18
4 Iowa 2.94
5 Kansas 2.89
6 Arizona State 2.41
7 Florida 2.29
8 Penn State 2.26
9 Oregon 2.20
10 Arkansas State 2.17
11 Air Force 2.14
12 Florida State 2.12
13 TCU 2.06
14 Oklahoma 2.03
15 Wisconsin 2.02
16 Tulsa 1.95
17 Georgia 1.93
18 Minnesota 1.86
19 Kansas State 1.84
20 Indiana 1.79
21 Wake Forest 1.74
22 Middle Tennessee 1.71
23 Akron 1.68
24 Baylor 1.68
25 Arizona 1.68
26 Missouri 1.66
27 Utah 1.65
28 Ohio State 1.65
29 Nebraska 1.58
30 Michigan State 1.56
31 Virginia 1.55
32 Louisville 1.55
33 Michigan 1.53
34 Texas 1.42
35 Iowa State 1.39
36 Kentucky 1.38
37 Arkansas 1.37
38 BYU 1.36
39 South Florida 1.33
40 Texas Tech 1.32
41 Oklahoma State 1.32
42 Auburn 1.32
43 Pittsburgh 1.17
44 Ball State 1.14
45 Mississippi State 1.11
46 Georgia Tech 1.10
47 Florida Atlantic 1.10
48 Connecticut 1.06
49 Alabama 1.06
50 Western Kentucky 1.02
51 Texas A&M 1.00
52 Northwestern 0.98
53 Hawaii 0.98
54 Virginia Tech 0.97
55 Notre Dame 0.92
56 Clemson 0.92
57 Illinois 0.86
58 Purdue 0.79
59 Western Michigan 0.74
60 Rice 0.73
61 Idaho 0.70
62 Southern Methodist 0.67
63 North Carolina State 0.54
64 Colorado State 0.34
65 Colorado 0.33
66 Mississippi (0.65)
67 Duke (0.76)
68 Washington (0.91)
69 South Carolina (0.93)
70 Louisiana-Monroe (0.97)
71 New Mexico (1.05)
72 Nevada (1.10)
73 Boston College (1.13)
74 UCF (1.14)
75 Northern Illinois (1.26)
76 Memphis (1.26)
77 Southern Miss (1.46)
78 UAB (1.49)
79 Temple (1.50)
80 Houston (1.50)
81 San Diego State (1.66)
82 Kent State (1.69)
83 Buffalo (1.70)
84 Navy (1.82)
85 Ohio (1.95)
86 UNLV (1.99)
87 Maryland (2.00)
88 Syracuse (2.10)
89 Tulane (2.15)
90 Cincinnati (2.16)
91 Stanford (2.29)
92 Utah State (2.52)
93 Miami (OH) (2.57)
94 San Jose State (2.59)
95 Toledo (2.63)
96 UTEP (2.66)
97 Oregon State (2.72)
98 Bowling Green (2.74)
99 North Texas (2.81)
100 Central Michigan (3.32)
101 Marshall (3.61)
102 Eastern Michigan (4.00)
103 Army (6.12)
104 Wyoming (8.44)
105 Miami (FL) (8.53)
106 West Virginia (8.72)
107 Louisiana Tech (15.47)
108 Florida International (22.44)
109 Washington State (22.73)
110 North Carolina DNP
111 Rutgers DNP
112 UCLA DNP
113 USC DNP
114 Tennessee DNP
115 Louisiana-Lafayette DNP
116 Boise State DNP
117 Fresno State DNP
118 New Mexico State DNP
119 Troy DNP
120 LSU DNP
Again, please let me know just how far off you think these rankings seem to you. Also, if anybody can tell me how to build better-looking, easier to read tables, I would appreciate it.
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