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Expert College Football Betting Locks for 2026 Games of the Year

Adam Kramer
Aug 26, 2026

If you have a hunch or a feeling or an opinion, now is your time. A season of college football betting is at your fingertips.

There's no longer a need to wait. Many of the season's biggest games have point spreads already, based on where expectations sit before the games begin.

Reaching these spreads given the current climate is no easy assignment. With so much movement across the sport—with rosters being built year over year—finding an edge is harder than it has ever been.

Then again, a good edge can be had. If you feel strongly about a certain team, that feeling can give you an edge that will soon fade if and when that team finds success.

Or you can pick your spots, look for value and invest before it all begins. That's exactly what the plan is here.

We're scouting college football's entire slate of games in search of winners—a preview of the weekly ritual that will take place all season on Bleacher Report.

Here are our picks for some of the biggest games of the year.

All point spreads courtesy of FanDuel.

September 12: Michigan (-1.5) vs. Oklahoma

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2025 Cheez-It Citrus Bowl - Texas v Michigan

The first true test of the Kyle Whittingham era will come during Week 2. While this is not a conference game, the impact for both College Football Playoff hopefuls is seismic.

This is, quite simply, a bet on Whittingham and his ability to coach a football program still ripe with talent. It's a bet on sophomore QB Bryce Underwood, too. Oh, and new offensive coordinator Jason Beck. Look for him to work absolute wonders.

That's not to say Brent Venables isn't capable of winning this game. The Sooners did a brilliant job navigating a challenging schedule last year, which included an 11-point home win over the Wolverines.

Switching venues, however, should swing momentum significantly. And while a healthy (and swole) John Mateer is intriguing, there is something about this Oklahoma team that I can't fully trust.

It won't be pretty or easy. In fact, it'll look and feel very Utah-esque. But Michigan finds a way to win a close, ugly football game.

September 19: LSU (+2.5) at Ole Miss

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2026 SEC Football Kickoff Media Days

While the Iron Bowl and Ohio State-Michigan typically provide the most hatred on the football schedule, this game is positioned to break that mold.

We know the story and the drama. Lane Kiffin coached Ole Miss, bringing the program to new heights. In the heart of a CFB Playoff run, he left the Rebels high and dry to coach LSU—a move whose fallout lingered longer than it should have.

Ole Miss made a run, LSU put together a solid roster and the two will meet nine months later in a game that will ooze venom. Given recent headlines, perhaps it's still coming together.

Oh, and the game will be played in Oxford. That part is important.

Still, I like LSU.

To be clear, Trinidad Chambliss is one of the most exciting players in all of football. And Ole Miss did well to keep pieces around him.

But we still don't exactly know what a Pete Golding-coached team will look like with the euphoria and charm of a playoff berth gone. Plus, for all the drama and headlines that come with Kiffin, he knows how to build a roster.

Putting QB Sam Leavitt squarely at the center of the additions was obviously the biggest enhancement. But additions on both the offensive and defensive lines were also noteworthy.

It won't be perfect, although the shift will be on display right away. Despite all the hatred he and his new team will receive, Kiffin and LSU find a way.

October 10: Alabama (+2.5) vs. Georgia

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College Football Playoff Quarterfinal - Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential: Alabama v Indiana

Sure, things are different now. 

Nick Saban is long retired, and Alabama can no longer run the football. Seriously, the Crimson Tide finished No. 125 in rushing yards last season, a figure that's hard to assess many months later.

But that was, after all, last season. Somehow, Alabama enters 2026 remarkably underrated, which is a statement one never thought to be possible.

We saw these two teams play twice last year. Alabama clipped Georgia on the road in a thriller early in the season. In the SEC Championship Game, the Bulldogs smothered the Crimson Tide 28-3. The lack of running game really showcased itself here for Kalen DeBoer's group.

A lot can change in a year, and Keelon Russell gets that conversation started. Everything I have heard out of Alabama regarding Russell has been overwhelmingly positive. If you're going to pick the Crimson Tide in this game, you must have faith in his ability to perform at a reasonably high level.

We believe that will happen and then some.

As for Georgia, there is plenty to like. The presumed conference favorite returns QB Gunner Stockton, who is wildly underrated. The rest of the roster has plenty to offer as well, which has become the norm.

On paper, this group feels like a more complete version than Alabama at the moment. But a brutal road trip coupled with a young quarterback poised to come into his own makes this a favorable spot for the home underdog.

October 17: Ohio State (-1.5) at Indiana

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2025 Big Ten Football Championship - Ohio State v Indiana

For the past two years, Indiana has defied history.

The Hoosiers matched one historic season by delivering one of the greatest college football campaigns ever a year later. And they did it with two different quarterbacks along with an experienced roster that was pieced together.

Perhaps Curt Cignetti will do it again. Doubting him—or at least betting against him—seems almost foolish at this point. But to simply assume Indiana will operate at the level it did last year despite losing so many key pieces feels unlikely.

It's not just losing a Heisman winner in Fernando Mendoza. It's losing key wide receivers, a shutdown cornerback and important contributors on both sides of the ball.

Oh, Indiana will still be good. This is not meant to mark the end. It's merely meant to acknowledge just how many good players are no longer there.

Ohio State knows this yearly ritual well. In fact, the Buckeyes lost plenty of talent off a team that had championship-level talent. The fact that quarterback Julian Sayin and wideout Jeremiah Smith remained, however, is a key difference-maker. And the emergence of running back Bo Jackson, a sophomore poised for an enormous season, is another theme to watch as well.

This doesn't have to be overly complicated. Ohio State and Indiana have coaches and players capable of winning a title, and that will be fully on display this season. But the Buckeyes feel more properly positioned a year later to win a challenging road game we can't wait to watch.

November 7: Miami (+6.5) at Notre Dame

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College Football Playoff Semifinal - Vrbo Fiesta Bowl: Miami v Ole Miss

If the game we see this year is anything like the one we witnessed last season, we're in for a treat.

Miami won that game 27-24, although this was CJ Carr's first real taste of action. Also, this was played in Miami Gardens, which means we're heading to South Bend this time around.

Each side is talented at quarterback, but both must replace important NFL departures. Regardless of this matchup's result, Miami and Notre Dame have national-title aspirations.

For all the moving parts, and this game features plenty of them, the true X-factor is Darian Mensah. Miami's new quarterback will bring a dynamic that Carson Beck simply couldn't provide, and it will allow the Hurricanes' incredible array of weapons to reach new heights.

On the other side, Carr should be better. And even without Jeremiyah Love, the Notre Dame offense should still move the ball.

Defensively, both teams have a ton to offer. Both were top-10 in scoring defenses last season, and both should finish in a similar situation this fall.

Again, very similar. Tons to like. The difference is that this game will be played at Notre Dame, which is a meaningful edge for the Irish. But this current spread feels a tad too high, and a repeat of last season's nail-biter feels inevitable.

That's good news for college football and all of us.