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Mississippi State's Latest Loss an Aberration?

Brad LockeJan 7, 2010

I wrote recently that Mississippi State has some real concerns following Mondayโ€™s 55-52 loss to Western Kentucky, concerns that must be addressed by Saturday when the Bulldogs open SEC play at No. 14 Ole Miss (12-2).

But letโ€™s look at the flip side of this situation. Suppose this game was no more than an anomaly. An aberration. Just a bad night.

MSU (12-3) struggled in several categories in which it has normally excelled this season, both as a team and individually. Letโ€™s examine some of them, looking at the season averages going into Mondayโ€™s game compared to what the Bulldogs did against WKU.

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Season โ€“ Monday

Team

โ€“FTs: 69.8 percent โ€“ 51.9 percent (season low)

โ€“3FGs: 41.9 percent โ€“ 21.1 percent (season low)

โ€“Turnovers: 13.3 โ€“ 18 (tied season high)

โ€“Steals: 5.6 โ€“ 4

โ€“Points: 76.4 โ€“ 52 (season low)

โ€“Bench points: 17.4 โ€“ 2 (season low)

Individual

โ€“Ravern Johnson 3FGs: 49.5 percent โ€“ 33.0 percent (2 of 6)

โ€“Phil Turner FTs: 94.7 percent โ€“ 33.0 percent (2 of 6, season low)

โ€“Kodi Augustus FGs: 45.5 percent โ€“ 20.0 percent (1 of 5, tied season low)

โ€“Barry Stewart TOs: 1.1 (16 total) โ€“ 5 (tied season high)

โ€“Jarvis Varnado blocks: 5.1 โ€“ 3

You could argue it was the perfect storm of statistical deviations. In other words, a lot of guys had an off night at the same time. MSU is normally good enough to overcome a bad night by a couple of guys, but this was a team-wide thing, except for Varnado (pictured above). He was solid.

Now, if this happens again, then we can start calling it a developing trend, and then you can start being really concerned.

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