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NBA Finals 2019: Odds, Prop Bets, Score Prediction for Raptors vs. Warriors Game
June 7, 2019
The Golden State Warriors find themselves in the unusual position of being down early in a series, trailing the Toronto Raptors 2-1 heading into a pivotal Game 4 at Oracle Arena on Friday.
The Warriors will be getting some help, though. Head coach Steve Kerr announced Thursday that Klay Thompson will be back for Game 4 after sitting out Wednesday's 123-109 loss with a hamstring injury.
Kevin Durant, however, will not be ready to go as he continues to deal with a calf strain.
Thompson's return is huge for Golden State, especially Stephen Curry, who clearly needed help on the offensive end despite a playoff career-high 47 points in Game 3.
With Thompson back, here is how the odds for Game 4 and the rest of the series shape up.
NBA Finals Game 4 Odds (via FanDuel)
Moneyline
Warriors (-190, bet $190 to win $100)
Raptors (+160, bet $100 to win $160)
Spread
Warriors -4.5
Raptors +4.5
Series Odds
Props (via FanDuel)
Top Points Scorer
Stephen Curry: -170
Kawhi Leonard: +145
Klay Thompson: +2900
Pascal Siakam: +3100
Kyle Lowry: +9500
Curry is coming off a career-best game and has been the high scorer in two of the first three Finals games, with Leonard taking the other.
Thompson's return means that Curry will not have to take as many shots as he did Wednesday. That is not to say that Curry cannot do it again, but he won't have to try to do it all.
Leonard, while he has gotten help in a few games, is the perennial go-to guy for the Raptors.
He is averaging 30.9 points per game in the playoffs—more than Curry or Thompson. He has scored 23, 24, and 30 this series, and Golden State has not shown any signs of being able to slow him down. He is the best bet to go with here.
Klay Thompson's Total Points
Over: 17.5 (-125)
Under: 17.5 (+100)
This one is hard to predict because nobody is quite sure just how hampered Thompson might be from his hamstring.
If Kerr did not think Thompson was healthy enough to play in Game 3, it is hard to imagine he would change course for Game 4.
Of course, the Warriors now trail the series, so the circumstances are different. Curry desperately needed some help on offense, so Thompson should get his chances to shine. He is averaging 19.5 points per game this postseason and scored 21 and 24, respectively, in his two games these NBA Finals, so the over looks like an enticing bet.
Kyle Lowry's Made Threes
Over: 2.5 (-106)
Under: 2.5 (-128)
Lowry came up huge from beyond the arc in Game 3, sinking five of nine 3-pointers. He is shooting 37 percent on nearly six 3-point attempts per game in the postseason.
Lowry has been inconsistent in the NBA Finals, though, shooting 1-of-5 in Game 1 and 3-of-7 in Game 2 before finding his stroke Wednesday. The attempts will certainly be there, but his inconsistency may mean going with the under.
Prediction: Warriors 116, Raptors 110
The Warriors cannot afford to lose both games at home, and with Thompson back, they manage to even the series before heading back to Toronto for Game 5. The Raptors will keep the game close but not close enough to cover the 4.5 points they will be receiving.