UFC on Fox 16: Main Card Betting Odds and Predictions

UFC on Fox 16 comes to you from Chicago this weekend with a four-fight main card sure to excite.

UFC bantamweight champion T.J. Dillashaw defends the crown against former champion Renan Barao in the main event, and women's bantamweight contenders Miesha Tate and Jessica Eye go toe-to-toe to stake their claim as the next challenger for Ronda Rousey.

Also in action, Edson Barboza and Paul Felder will try to light it up in the lightweight division, and Joe Lauzon meets Takanori Gomi in a highly anticipated bout between likable veterans.

The question is, is there any value on the card? That is what we will look at with this preview. Four competitive main card fights will make it difficult, but let's try to figure out where the best plans are for your bets.

UFC on Fox 16's main card begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, live on Fox.

All odds provided by Odds Shark.

Joe Lauzon (-365) vs. Takanori Gomi (+275)

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The main card opener should be fireworks. Joe Lauzon is one of the most prolific performance bonus winners, and Takanori Gomi has always been exciting. They will throw down for our entertainment.

Lauzon is the sizable favorite for a reason, but Gomi's power could be the great equalizer.

The American gets hit quite a bit, and he loves to embark on back-and-forth wars. However, his chin is not made of granite. He will need to be a much smarter fighter against Gomi. If this fight goes the distance, it would likely be because Lauzon fought smart and tired Gomi out.

I envision Gomi flattening Lauzon, but if I am to bet Gomi I would look for a knockout prop bet for a higher return on investment. He isn't likely to submit Lauzon or go the distance. That gives him one out. If you feel strongly that Lauzon will win then skip the fight as there isn't much value here.

Prediction: Gomi defeats Lauzon by KO in the first round

The Play: Look for a knockout prop bet on Gomi

Edson Barboza (-145) vs. Paul Felder (+115)

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Paul Felder's solid work inside the Octagon has earned him a shot against a top-10 opponent. No. 7-ranked lightweight contender Edson Barboza is also a dynamic striker, and that should mean the fireworks continue in the second bout.

Barboza is the superior striker, and in a striking matchup, I like the value on him. However, I am not gung-ho on him. He has shown a less-than-stellar chin, and he can get caught when fighting an aggressive opponent. Felder has excellent power and won't be afraid to come forward.

Playing the odds, I simply trust Barboza more. It's a good stylistic matchup for him, and his leg kicks will prove to be the ultimate difference.

There isn't a big enough return on Felder to take a chance on him. He has looked solid in the cage but is yet to face ranked opposition.

Prediction: Barboza defeats Felder by decision

The Play: Be conservative with Barboza

Miesha Tate (-210) vs. Jessica Eye (+170)

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This is a striker vs. grappler matchup. If Tate gets takedowns, she will win; if Eye can keep it standing, she will get her hand raised. It's that simple.

Eye has been exuding confidence leading into this fight. She is a much better boxer than Tate, and the former Strikeforce champion often finds herself in exchanges where she gets caught. All of this is good news for Eye.

The Ohioan has to stay on her feet. Tate is an underrated submission artist on the mat, and her wrestling is solid.

Both women are too tough to be finished. It will likely come down to a third round, and Eye will be able to do just enough to squeak by with a win. Power punches will be the difference. I like the value Eye has right now, but I expect that to drop. Get in on her now.

Prediction: Eye defeats Tate by decision

The Play: Take the value on Eye before the line drops

T.J. Dillashaw (-230) vs. Renan Barao (+180)

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T.J. Dillashaw stunned the MMA community when he upset Renan Barao for the title last year. It was a dominant performance, and he has looked the part of champion ever since.

Barao is a fantastic, well-rounded fighter. He has all the tools to beat Dillashaw. However, there is one glaring thing from their first fight that sticks out as troublesome. He was lost with Dillashaw's movement.

Dillashaw moved incredibly well during their fight, and Barao had no answer. He took a page out of Dominick Cruz's book to win the belt. Has Barao figured out how to stop Dillashaw's movement from being effective? I don't think so. Dillashaw will keep a high pace and break Barao.

It will be another late-round stoppage for the champion.

Dillashaw will simply outwork Barao in the main event to retain the gold.

Prediction: Dillashaw defeats Barao by TKO in the fifth round

The Play: Trust the champion with a solid play