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FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 21: Rob Gronkowski #87 of the New England Patriots warms up during pre-game before playing the Oakland Raiders at Gillette Stadium on September 21, 2014 in Foxboro, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 21: Rob Gronkowski #87 of the New England Patriots warms up during pre-game before playing the Oakland Raiders at Gillette Stadium on September 21, 2014 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Fantasy Football Week 5: Updated Rankings for Sunday's Action

Timothy RappOct 3, 2014

I like to think that my role in your fantasy football universe is akin to Obi-Wan Kenobi in the original Star Wars trilogy. I'm a guide, I can introduce you to the force, but I can't use it for you. 

I'm not as cool as old Ben Kenobi, of course, and I'm not nearly as wise, either. Heck, I don't even own a robe and, no, we're not going to be blowing up a Death Star. But on the path to fantasy success, I can help you identify which players on your roster are smarter options than others this week.

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Remember, these rankings are all about how smart it is to start certain players. In general, the higher a player is on my rankings, the more his potential reward outweighs his probable risk. May the fantasy points be with you!

Notes: For a full explanation of the rankings, go here. Abridged version: "Ability" measures a player's overall talent, proficiency at his position and ability to produce fantasy numbers. "Offense" measures how much that team's offense improves his fantasy stock. The overall "startability" grade is weighted. All point totals and points-against statistics via ESPN standard scoring leagues. 

Schedule

Chicago at Carolina1 p.m.
Cleveland at Tennessee1 p.m.
St. Louis at Philadelphia1 p.m.
Atlanta at NY Giants1 p.m.
Tampa Bay at New Orleans1 p.m.
Houston at Dallas1 p.m.
Buffalo at Detroit1 p.m.
Baltimore at Indianapolis1 p.m.
Pittsburgh at Jacksonville1 p.m.
Arizona at Denver4:05 p.m.
Kansas City at San Francisco4:25 p.m.
NY Jets at San Diego4:25 p.m.
Cincinnati at New England8:30 p.m.
Seattle at Washington8:30 p.m.

Quarterbacks

1Drew Brees4919149A+ (91)
2Peyton Manning50111510A (86)
3Philip Rivers4323118A (85)
4Russell Wilson4323107A (83)
5Matt Stafford4812138A - (81)
6Andrew Luck4810139B+ (80)
7Matt Ryan4613128B (79)
8Cam Newton471588B (78)
9Ben Roethlisberger412475B- (77)
10Nick Foles4013147C+ (74)
11Colin Kaepernick4413106C (73)
12Jay Cutler4114134C (72)
13Joe Flacco391584D+ (66)
14Andy Dalton408116D (65)
15Eli Manning391284D (63)

Good matchups define the top of the quarterback rankings this week, as none of the top players really have that rough of an opponent to deal with in Week 5. Arizona won't make life easy for Peyton Manning, but he's matchup-proof anyway, so there aren't any concerns on that front. 

As you can see, solid matchups all boost the fantasy value of Philip Rivers (who is off to a hot start this season), Russell Wilson and Nick Foles. Drew Brees should torch Tampa Bay's shaky pass defense, while Matthew Stafford, Andrew Luck and Matt Ryan don't have great matchups this week but are talented enough to overcome them for fantasy owners. 

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - SEPTEMBER 28:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons passes against the Minnesota Vikings at TCF Bank Stadium on September 28, 2014 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Adam Bettcher/Getty Images)

Nick Foles has proven to be a bit hit-or-miss this season, so he misses QB1 status given his inconsistency. And both Colin Kaepernick and Jay Cutler have proven to be good, not great, for fantasy owners more often than not and don't have the easiest of matchups, so they drop to the realm of QB2 as well.

Running Backs

1Le'Veon Bell4723139A+ (92)
2Matt Forte48171410A+ (89)
3DeMarco Murray48131410A (85)
4Rashad Jennings4124128A (85)
5Giovani Bernard4420128A (84)
6Marshawn Lynch4971510A (81)
7LeSean McCoy4911129A (81)
8Arian Foster*4510138A- (76)
9Jamaal Charles4921410A- (75)
10Zac Stacy381997B+ (73)
11Andre Ellington4115106B+ (72)
12Alfred Morris445139B (71)
13Doug Martin401875B (70)
14Frank Gore428128B (70)
15Darren Sproles4111126B (70)
16Ben Tate*381775B- (67)
17Chris Ivory381297B- (66)
18C.J. Spiller431085B- (64)
19Montee Ball404127C+ (63)
20Reggie Bush43596C+ (63)
21Ahmad Bradshaw38798C (62)
22Bishop Sankey322433C (62)
23Jeremy Hill352043C (62)
24Chris Johnson371265C (60)
25Joique Bell40596C (60)
26Fred Jackson381085C- (59)
27Trent Richardson36795C- (57)
28Justin Forsett351155D+ (56)
29Khiry Robinson351074D+ (56)
30Pierre Thomas361064D+ (56)
31Shonn Greene282422D+ (56)
32Steven Jackson311244D (55)
33Stevan Ridley36764D (53)
34Shane Vereen36764D (53)
35Donald Brown331105D- (49)

The top 14 fantasy running backs are pretty much must-start players for most owners this week. Chances are, you don't have the luxury of sitting any of them at an erratic position, and pretty much all of them should produce for you this week. 

Matt Forte, Jamaal Charles and Marshawn Lynch are about as safe as they come. LeSean McCoy's demise has been greatly exaggerated, and he'll torch a suspect St. Louis run defense. Giovani Bernard will do the same against New England's poor run defense. Rashad Jennings is fantasy's breakout star. A healthy Arian Foster is a must-start player. Zac Stacy should get a ton of touches against Philly's poor defense. Andre Ellington and Doug Martin have nice matchups and big-play ability. Frank Gore is as steady as they come.

After that, it gets a bit trickier.

Are you willing to ride with the boom-or-bust guys (Darren Sproles, C.J. Spiller, Reggie Bush)? Who do you trust in committee backfields? Do you put your money on young guys having breakthrough weeks (cough, cough, Bishop Sankey, cough)? Can good players overcome bad matchups (Montee Ball vs. Arizona)?

Here are my answers: Trust Sproles and Spiller, not Bush; Chris Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw, Ben Tate, only at flex if you don't have a safe option; it's probably best to temper your expectations with Ball this week. 

Good luck reading the tea leaves at running back, folks—it's a conundrum we collectively love and loathe trying to solve on a weekly basis.

Wide Receivers

1Antonio Brown47241210A+ (93)
2Julio Jones4914138A (84)
3Dez Bryant4912139A (83)
4Demaryius Thomas4710148A- (79)
5Jeremy Maclin4215148A- (79)
6A.J. Green4951310A- (77)
7Vincent Jackson442076A- (77)
8Alshon Jeffery4414126B+ (76)
9Keenan Allen3822105B+ (75)
10Kelvin Benjamin4017117B+ (75)
11Brandon Marshall*37141410B+ (75)
12Percy Harvin4416105B+ (75)
13Victor Cruz4314107B (74)
14Steve Smith4111128B (72)
15Emmanuel Sanders4010157B (72)
16Calvin Johnson*35131410B (72)
17Reggie Wayne401886B (72)
18Brandin Cooks372473B- (71)
19DeAndre Hopkins431377B- (70)
20Michael Crabtree4013106C+ (69)
21Roddy White3810116C+ (69)
22Wes Welker3810147C+ (69)
23Michael Floyd411156C+ (68)
24Larry Fitzgerald411156C+ (68)
25Terrance Williams3912106C (67)
26T.Y. Hilton371884C (67)
27Marques Colston322473C (66)
28DeSean Jackson455105C (65)
29Eddie Royal3022103C (65)
30Andre Johnson401356C- (64)
31Julian Edelman396107C- (62)
32Pierre Garcon405116C- (62)
33Golden Tate3513104C- (62)
34Brian Quick362033C- (62)
35Malcom Floyd282293C- (62)
36Torrey Smith381163D (58)
37Allen Hurns331554D (57)
38Markus Wheaton262432D (55)
39Anquan Boldin341353D (55)
40Sammy Watkins41355D- (54)

The top of the wide receiver rankings has been proliferated by surprises this year.

Steve Smith Sr. has had a resurgent season. Kelvin Benjamin has hit the ground running in his place. DeAndre Hopkins has had a breakthrough campaign. Jeremy Maclin has picked up where DeSean Jackson left off in Philly. Eddie Royal is off to another fast start (though, much like last year, one would guess he'll tail off soon enough). Allen Hurns has become a fascinating high-risk, high-reward play. Terrance Williams has taken a big step in Big D. 

Some of these players are for real. Smith has established an instant rapport with Joe Flacco, and we've all seen him post huge numbers in the past. Maclin is a talented player on an explosive offense. Hopkins and Williams have the talent to sustain strong starts. Who else is Newton going to throw to if not Benjamin?

No, I don't trust Royal, and Hurns is incredibly risky from week to week, but the other guys mentioned have to be considered legitimate WR1s or WR2s moving forward. I'll still take the upside of players like Calvin Johnson, Jordy Nelson, Julio Jones, Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green, Randall Cobb and Demaryius Thomas, among others, any day of the week, but some of this year's "upstarts" at wide receiver are here to stay.

Adjust your lineups accordingly.

Tight Ends

1Jimmy Graham50151510A+ (90)
2Julius Thomas4617149A (86)
3Rob Gronkowski479108A (74)
4Martellus Bennett419138A- (71)
5Jordan Cameron4212107A- (71)
6Vernon Davis*3518108A- (71)
7Delanie Walker391596B (69)
8Greg Olsen4110117B (69)
9Jordan Reed/Niles Paul**3815106B (69)
10Larry Donnell378137B- (65)
11Zach Ertz401195B- (65)
12Antonio Gates371395C+ (64)
13Jason Witten40756C (58)
14Travis Kelce40296C (57)

At this point in the season, the most fascinating player at this position is Rob Gronkowski. We all know his upside. We've seen him absolutely dominate. But given his recovery from injuries and the stagnant New England offense, will he return to that level of dominance? 

The days of Gronk rivaling Jimmy Graham-esque numbers might be over, at least for this year (Julius Thomas is the new challenger to the throne). The Patriots simply aren't creating the scoring opportunities they once did, in large part because they completely lack a vertical threat to keep defenses honest. In turn, Gronk isn't in the red zone as often, where he's impossible to deal with. 

There's no question that he's still rounding into his top form, so the best is certainly yet to come. But while his best this year will be enough to keep him as a top-five tight end, it's hard to imagine him finishing as the top dog at the position this year. 

Keep him in those lineups. Just lower your expectations a bit.

Defense/Special Teams

1Seattle Seahawks
2Cincinnati Bengals
3Detroit Lions
4San Francisco 49ers
5San Diego Chargers
6Philadelphia Eagles
7Chicago Bears
8Pittsburgh Steelers
9Carolina Panthers
10Houston Texans

Kickers

1Shaun SuishamPittsburgh Steelers
2Cody ParkeyPhiladelphia Eagles
3Adam VinatieriIndianapolis Colts
4Nick NovakSan Diego Chargers
5Justin TuckerBaltimore Ravens
6Dan BaileyDallas Cowboys
7Greg ZuerleinSt. Louis Rams
8Chandler CatanzaroArizona Cardinals
9Steven HauschkaSeattle Seahawks
10Dan CarpenterBuffalo Bills

Hit me up on Twitter—I'll answer your fantasy questions and make some corny jokes, too. It's more fun than a Jay Cutler Fumblerooski. 

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