NBA Trade Deadline 2012: Handicapping Chances Top Trade Targets Are Moved
The NBA trade deadline is under 10 days away. To date, we haven't seen any moves at all.
There are several big names out there on the block, but I wouldn't expect a ton of action at this season's deadline.
Of course when the first domino falls, it can lead to a bunch of moves in different directions.
But that won't be the case here.
Here's a look at the latest odds that some of the top trade targets get dealt.
Steve Nash
1 of 15The Suns have made it clear that they won't be dealing Nash unless he requests them to do so.
I don't see that being Nash's personality, so I fully expect him to be in a Phoenix Suns uniform on March 16.
Then there's owner Robert Sarver, who said the following about re-signing Nash:
""I think those odds are probably pretty good," Sarver said. "I think he likes the organization. His family lives here. He's had tremendous success with the organization. He's still playing well. Listen, he's a free agent (after the season) and has the ability to look around. But I wouldn't rule him out continuing here."
"
It's a risky game they are playing because Nash could walk after the season, but Phoenix isn't going to move Nash anytime soon.
Odds to be traded: 1,000 to 1
Paul Pierce
2 of 15Pierce's name popped up again as someone the Celtics could move in exchange for younger players or draft picks.
While Danny Ainge is doing the right thing by seeing what his stars could fetch on the market, it's very doubtful Pierce could be moved.
His over $15 million salary for the season is a problem as the Celtics are going to have to take back close to that much to deal him.
Odds to be traded: 750 to 1
Kevin Garnett
3 of 15Despite being shopped, I don't see Garnett being moved by the Celtics either.
His expiring contract is more valuable to Boston so taking back salary in exchange doesn't make much sense.
Unless some team really overpays for KG, he will finish the season in Boston.
Odds to be traded: 500 to 1
Josh Smith
4 of 15With Atlanta's season beginning to turn south, don't expect them to panic and deal Smith.
He's been tied to teams like Orlando and Boston in the past, but neither team would have the young assets it would take to get him away from the Hawks.
Atlanta trying to deal Joe Johnson's big contract could be a different story, but Smith is a guy they will try to build around.
Odds to be traded: 400 to 1
Monta Ellis
5 of 15The Warriors have a nice trade chip in Ellis, who's currently eighth in the NBA in scoring at 22.2 PPG.
The only way Golden State deals Ellis is to get a legit big man in exchange. Their eyes have been on Orlando's Dwight Howard.
Orlando wants Ellis to pair with Howard.
Golden State won't deal Ellis unless it's for Howard.
He's unlikely to be moved this season.
Odds to be traded: 300 to 1
Rajon Rondo
6 of 15After being put on the block last week, Ainge has made it clear that he's not aggressively shopping Rondo.
Yet if someone would seriously meet his asking price, Ainge would send Rondo packing in a minute.
Unfortunately, that price is going to be very high and I don't see many teams willing to pay that steep of a price.
The Celtics will end up building around Rondo.
Odds to be traded: 250 to 1
Pau Gasol
7 of 15Gasol has pretty much been shopped since before the season began by Lakers general manager Mitch Kupchak.
While he's a guy that could fetch the improvements that the Lakers need, Kupchak could still try and land a point guard by using Lamar Odom's $8.9 million trade exception.
That makes dealing Gasol a long shot still, but he could go if Kupchak wants to roll the dice on something.
Odds to be traded: 100 to 1
Ray Allen
8 of 15If Ainge moves one of Boston's Big Three, Allen is the safest bet. Similar to Garnett's situation, if Boston doesn't get a couple of quality young players in exchange, it makes more sense to let Allen's contract expire and use the money in free agency instead.
According to SI.com's Sam Amick, the Clippers are making an aggressive push for Allen, but it's doubtful that they would want to part with young point guard Eric Bledsoe.
Odds to be traded: 75 to 1
Jose Calderon
9 of 15Calderon is being shopped by the Raptors, and a couple teams, including the Lakers, have shown interest, but Calderon is making almost $10 million this season and not too many teams want to get into luxury tax situations by taking on money.
Then there's the fact that Calderon is the only real point guard on Toronto's roster, so to make a deal, they will want a good young point guard in exchange.
It's doubtful he gets moved, but Toronto doesn't want to pay him nearly $11 million next season, so I would bet they try to more aggressively move Calderon closer to the deadline.
Odds to be traded: 60 to 1
Lamar Odom
10 of 15Odom has been miserable in Dallas and as the Mavericks have been sliding of late, they could eventually end the experiment and deal him.
Odom wants to be dealt back to Los Angeles. While that's not going to happen, he could still force his way out of Dallas in the upcoming weeks.
Odds to be traded: 50 to 1
Dwight Howard
11 of 15I'm still not convinced that Orlando trades Howard, nor am I convinced that even Howard knows where he wants to go and where he doesn't want to go.
Magic general manager Otis Smith says six to eight teams are still calling about Howard, so a deal is possible, but both sides are in tough spots.
The Magic would like to hold out hope they can re-sign their All-Star center, but also don't want to risk losing him for nothing.
Howard, on the other hand, has backed himself into a corner with his list and the fact that the two teams left on it that he would sign an extension with (New Jersey and Dallas) don't have the necessary assets to acquire him.
But as the deadline approaches, the Magic may just want to see this saga come to an end.
Odds to be traded: 25 to 1
Michael Beasley
12 of 15The Timberwolves tried to ship Beasley to the Lakers in exchange for a first-round pick, but the Lakers declined, according to ESPN's Chris Broussard.
While the Lakers declined due to financial concerns about having to pay the dollar-for-dollar luxury tax, Beasley could still be dealt before March 15.
It just won't be to the Lakers.
Odds to be traded: 20 to 1
Jamal Crawford
13 of 15Crawford is one of a couple Portland guards on the block. There's a good bet one of them could be moved.
According to HoopsWorld, several teams have been calling about Crawford, with the Los Angeles Clippers and Minnesota Timberwolves being the most aggressive.
Crawford has an affordable contract that pays him $5 million this season with a player option for next year.
He should be pretty easy to move.
Odds to be traded: 10 to 1
Raymond Felton
14 of 15It's been no secret that the Lakers want to acquire a point guard and Felton's name has been recently linked to Los Angeles.
Felton's been playing the worst basketball of his career, but a change of scenery could be just what he needs.
He's a guy Portland will likely want to get rid of if they can.
Odds to be traded: 5 to 1
Ramon Sessions
15 of 15With rookie Kyrie Irving the point guard of the future in Cleveland, Sessions is certainly going to be dealt.
It's just a matter of whether Cleveland will get the return they are looking for or if they will back off their demands of a first-round pick.
The Lakers have obviously been the team linked to Sessions the most, given their desperate need for an upgrade at point guard.
Odds to be traded: 2 to 1





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