Super Bowl 2024: Opening Odds for 49ers vs. Chiefs, Top Prop Bets History

What was once a 32-team field of NFL franchises vying for Super Bowl bliss has now been whittled all the way down to the final two.

It's the Kansas City Chiefs on one side and the San Francisco 49ers on the other, just like it was at the end of the 2019 season.

Not that you'd recognize these two teams from the ones that tussled in that championship round. Sure, a few key contributors are still around on both sides—notably, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Andy Reid for the Chiefs; George Kittle, Nick Bosa, Fred Warner and Kyle Shanahan for the 49ers—but there's been considerable turnover with both rosters.

In the end, though, oddsmakers see almost no differences between the teams. It's essentially a coin flip, meaning this upcoming collision could be an all-timer. Let's look at the latest odds from DraftKings Sportsbook before breaking down a couple of prop bets and seeing what recent history may reveal about them.

Super Bowl LVIII Odds

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BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 28: Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates with the Lamar Hunt Trophy after a 17-10 victory against the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship Game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 28, 2024 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Spread: 49ers -1

Over/Under: 47.5

Money Line: 49ers -118 (bet $118 to win $100); Chiefs -102 (bet $102 to win $100)

Early money has backed the Chiefs, as the 49ers opened as two-point favorites. All of that feels right.

San Francisco earned the early edge with a clearly superior season. The 49ers bested the Chiefs in both victories (12 to 11) and point differential (plus-193 to plus-77).

Kansas City, though, has posted the better playoff resume so far. The Chiefs roughed up Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins by a 26-7 count. Then, they dispatched Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills in a 27-24 triumph before finally ousting MVP favorite Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens in a gritty 17-10 game.

San Francisco, meanwhile, fell into early holes against both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions and had to scramble to escape them. The Niners ultimately sweated out three-point wins against both young, largely unproven teams.

First Touchdown Scorer

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SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 28: Christian McCaffrey #23 of the San Francisco 49ers celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the second quarter against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Championship Game at Levi's Stadium on January 28, 2024 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)

Christian McCaffrey +370 | Isiah Pacheco +550 | Travis Kelce +600 | Rashee Rice +750 | Brandon Aiyuk +850 | Deebo Samuel +850 | George Kittle +900 | Patrick Mahomes +2500 | 49ers D/ST +2500 | Justin Watson +2800 | Jauan Jennings +2800 | Brock Purdy +2800

If you want an early piece of the wagering action and don't have interest in betting something like the coin-toss results or the length of the national anthem, this is always a fun option.

It feels like it should be sort of predictable, but it obviously doesn't always play out that way.

Christian McCaffrey might be a touchdown machine, but he didn't score first in either of San Francisco's playoff games. George Kittle was first to the end zone in the 49ers' playoff opener, while Lions receiver Jameson Williams opened the scoring (on only his fourth carry of the season) in the NFC title game.

Kansas City, meanwhile, has seen more predictable players post the first touchdown of their postseason tilts. Rashee Rice opened the Chiefs' scoring in their first outing, Josh Allen rushed for a touchdown in their second and Travis Kelce tallied the first points of the AFC Championship.

Oh, and in case you were curious, Patrick Mahomes plunged in from a yard out for the first touchdown from these teams' Super Bowl LIV collision.

Over/Under Passing Plus Rushing Yards

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BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JANUARY 28: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts during the fourth quarter against the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship Game at M&T Bank Stadium on January 28, 2024 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Patrick Mahomes: 289.5

Brock Purdy: 263.5

In the modern NFL, it's all about the quarterbacks. And, yes, that feels relevant even in a game with running backs, pass-catchers and defenses as dominant as this contest will feature.

These squads wouldn't still be standing if not for their signal-callers, both of whom are capable of statistical eruptions. Purdy, after all, was widely seen as the MVP favorite heading into the final stretch of the regular season, and Mahomes is a two-time winner of the league's most prestigious individual honor.

Are they capable of cooking up numbers north of these over/under totals? No question. Is it likely they can exceed them? Well, that's entirely your call.

Purdy topped his total in both of his playoff games. He also failed to hit that mark in any of his final three regular-season outings. Then again, he topped it in six of seven games leading into that final stretch, so...yeah. Oddsmakers settled on an intriguing number, as they should.

Mahomes opened the playoffs with 303 passing-plus-rushing yards against the Dolphins, but he fell short of 260 combined yards in either of his last two outings. He also failed to hit that number in 10 of 16 games this season.

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