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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04:  Quarterback Cam Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers points out the defense of the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Image
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04: Quarterback Cam Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers points out the defense of the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty ImageKevin C. Cox/Getty Images

BCS National Championship Game: 10 Reasons Auburn Will Beat Oregon

Dan TylickiDec 30, 2010

The BCS National Championship Game is now under two weeks away. Two undefeated teams, Oregon and Auburn, will square off in what's expected to be a shootout and very exciting game to watch. Both teams have their playmakers in LaMichael James and Cam Newton, and both teams are hungry to win their team's first BCS championship, and first championship period for Oregon.

Yesterday I wrote an article on why Oregon should beat Auburn. Today, I'm arguing the other side of the equation. The two teams both have their strengths and weaknesses, and it will make for an exciting match either way. In Auburn's case, here are 10 reasons why they will beat Oregon in the BCS National Championship Game.

Coaching

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ATLANTA - DECEMBER 4:  Head coach Gene Chizik of the Auburn Tigers celebrates on the podium after the 2010 SEC Championship against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. The Tigers beat the Gamecocks 56-17.
ATLANTA - DECEMBER 4: Head coach Gene Chizik of the Auburn Tigers celebrates on the podium after the 2010 SEC Championship against the South Carolina Gamecocks at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. The Tigers beat the Gamecocks 56-17.

Chip Kelly's a great coach for Oregon, I don't doubt that. Gene Chizik has been great for Auburn so far as well. What separates the two, however, is their coordinators, namely on offense. Gus Malzahn is likely the best offensive mind in college football today, which is saying something since he's facing his competition in that department.

While defensive coordinator Ted Roof has not been as great as Malzahn, he has helped to make Nick Fairley a household name this year. This entire coaching staff, now in its second year, is clearly clicking quite well.

SEC

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TUSCALOOSA, AL - NOVEMBER 26:  Demond Washington #14 of the Auburn Tigers defends a failed touchdown reception against Julius Jones #8 of the Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 26, 2010 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox
TUSCALOOSA, AL - NOVEMBER 26: Demond Washington #14 of the Auburn Tigers defends a failed touchdown reception against Julius Jones #8 of the Alabama Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 26, 2010 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox

Auburn plays its conference games in the SEC. This means the Tigers have faced the toughest competition in college football, having to play LSU, Alabama, Arkansas and South Carolina twice.

Oregon, meanwhile, plays in the Pac-10. Nothing wrong with a dominant win over Stanford, but the conference was relatively weak this year, not even able to fill the five spots it's usually given by various bowls.

Cam Newton

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NEW YORK - DECEMBER 11:  Cam Newton, quarterback of the Auburn University Tigers, poses with the 2010 Heisman Memorial Trophy Award on December 11, 2010 in New York City.  (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)
NEW YORK - DECEMBER 11: Cam Newton, quarterback of the Auburn University Tigers, poses with the 2010 Heisman Memorial Trophy Award on December 11, 2010 in New York City. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)

You don't win the Heisman by being an average player. Cam Newton has easily been the best college player this year, not only easily winning the Heisman, but leading Auburn to its undefeated record. Having the best passer efficiency rating on top of great rushing stats is no small feat. It's been a while since we've seen a scrambling quarterback this good.

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Running Backs

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04:  Michael Dyer #5 of the Auburn Tigers rushes upfield against the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04: Michael Dyer #5 of the Auburn Tigers rushes upfield against the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Are Michael Dyer and Onterio McCalebb better than LaMichael James? No, James is the better raw talent. Having said that, Cam Newton is good enough to cause defenses to focus on him to try and stop him. This creates holes for Dyer and McCalebb to break through.

The end result? On the off chance Newton is actually stopped, the Tigers still have a myriad of other weapons. If LaMichael James is shut down, Oregon is in big trouble.

Can Outscore Oregon

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CORVALLIS, OR - DECEMBER 4: Running back Josh Huff #4 of the Oregon Ducks runs with the ball in the second quarter of the game against hte the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium on December 4, 2010 in Corvallis, Oregon. The Ducks beat the Beavers 37-20
CORVALLIS, OR - DECEMBER 4: Running back Josh Huff #4 of the Oregon Ducks runs with the ball in the second quarter of the game against hte the Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium on December 4, 2010 in Corvallis, Oregon. The Ducks beat the Beavers 37-20

The main advantage Oregon has over anyone is its ability to score. The Ducks are first in the league in this department, and can score 50 in a game without breaking much of a sweat. Can Auburn beat someone like that?

They already have. Arkansas and its high-powered offense scored 43 points on the Tigers. Auburn's response was simply to score 65 on them. So yes, Oregon could score 50, but Auburn can just turn around and score 60.

Defensive Line

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AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 6:  Defensive tackle Nick Fairley #90 of the Auburn Tigers sets on defense against the Chattanooga Mocs November 6, 2010 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 6: Defensive tackle Nick Fairley #90 of the Auburn Tigers sets on defense against the Chattanooga Mocs November 6, 2010 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)

Both teams do a good job stopping the run, totaling under 1,500 yards on the season. However, Auburn has the playmakers on its team. Defensive lineman Nick Fairley has shot up draft boards with his dominant play, and the other three can be called upon to make plays as well. The D-Line is the strength of the team, and although Oregon's offensive line is good, it'll have its work cut out for them.

Power/Speed Combination

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AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 06:  Wide receiver Emory Blake #80 of the Auburn Tigers lines up for play against the Chattanooga Mocs November 6, 2010 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 06: Wide receiver Emory Blake #80 of the Auburn Tigers lines up for play against the Chattanooga Mocs November 6, 2010 at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)

No matter how you stack things up, the end result is that Auburn had bigger, stronger players who are also able to keep up with Oregon's speedsters. Even if one gives the speed advantage to Oregon, Auburn's size advantage will prove to be a major factor over the course of the game.

Oregon Is Not As Good Away

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CORVALLIS, OR - DECEMBER 4: Kenjon Barner #24 of the Oregon Ducks struggles for some extra yards as Lance Mitchell #10 and Suaesi Tuimaunei #28 of the Oregon State Beavers in the second quarter of the game at Reser Stadium on December 4, 2010 in Corvallis
CORVALLIS, OR - DECEMBER 4: Kenjon Barner #24 of the Oregon Ducks struggles for some extra yards as Lance Mitchell #10 and Suaesi Tuimaunei #28 of the Oregon State Beavers in the second quarter of the game at Reser Stadium on December 4, 2010 in Corvallis

Here's something that seems not to be noted much, yet could be the most important fact. When on the road, Oregon's offense doesn't have the spark that it does playing at home. It's still effective, but there's a big difference between a very good offense and an unstoppable one, and Auburn can easily go toe-to-toe with the former.

Third Down Conversions

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04:  Onterio McCalebb #23 of the Auburn Tigers dives for a touchdown against Stephon Gilmore #5 of the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kev
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04: Onterio McCalebb #23 of the Auburn Tigers dives for a touchdown against Stephon Gilmore #5 of the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kev

Auburn is third in the nation in third down conversions, converting 77 of 145 chances, 53.1 percent. Oregon's defense is decent, but does it have the tools to stop an attack like that? It would be very difficult to do so. This could very well be the difference maker in the game. If the Ducks can't stop the Tigers on third downs, that's likely it.

Cam Newton's Mental State

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ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04:  Quarterback Cam Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers celebrates after their 56-17 win over the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox
ATLANTA, GA - DECEMBER 04: Quarterback Cam Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers celebrates after their 56-17 win over the South Carolina Gamecocks during the 2010 SEC Championship at Georgia Dome on December 4, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox

I may be repeating myself, but in the earlier slide I noted his physical nature and how well he plays. Here, I note that he will be more ready for this game than anything.

Over the past several weeks, the NCAA investigation has ended with no action taken on him. He's won the Heisman and has been able to concentrate on just one team while having a lot of stress taken off. I'll take stressing over an opponent over stressing about sanctions any day, and I'm sure he would as well. He'll be focused and ready to have a monster game, one I can't see Oregon stopping.

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