EPL Gameweek 14: Tracking The True Form Of Each Team
Big shocks this week as Chelsea lost again and Arsenal lost a two goal lead against Tottenham. Bolton are still going, and now two points separate the top three, and only six between fifth and 16th. So who made a name for themselves this week?
This is, in essence, ranking the teams in form. But I will be adding a bit of a change to it. Of course form is important, but the more recent results in this run outweigh the latter results. So while it would be easy to just say W-W-D-D-L-L and tab up the points. I am going to account for the time since the result too.
This shows up as a points coefficient (named to sound cool) which will be out of three. Essentially, based on the form from their past six games, the reflects the number of points per game they would be averaging. This will be put onto every page, also along with a the projected number of points for continuing this run of form. And finally, a projected table on the final slide.
Thank you for the comments from last week and please don't hesitate to comment on how you found this.
This will be updated every game week Tuesday, or in the case of a midweek game, Friday. Thanks for the positive view count I had from last week, hopefully I can improve on that this week.
~Beru.
20. Wolverhampton Wanderers [19th]
1 of 21
Last Week: 20th [0.58]
Last 6 Games: L-W-L-L-L-L
Points Coefficient: 0.40
Projected Points: 19
Next Game: Sunderland (H)
It's not looking good for Mick and his team, a loss to Blackpool now leads into a strong Sunderland side, who were close to beating Everton yesterday.
19. West Bromwich Albion [16th]
2 of 21
Last Week: 19th [0.71]
Last 6 Games: W-L-L-D-L-L
Points Coefficient: 0.51
Projected Points: 28
Next Game: Everton (A)
If Sunderland were close to beating Everton on Monday, Everton left it late. West Brom have only picked up one point from five games, but it must seem like 50 games for them after they had found themselves all the way in fourth place, and looking at a Champions League spot, if only briefly. They need to find points, and fast.
18. West Ham United [20th]
3 of 21
Last Week: 18th [0.71]
Last 6 Games: L-L-D-D-D-L
Points Coefficient: 0.53
Projected Points: 22
Next Game: Wigan Athletic (H)
Wigan have not found life easy at the moment either, so West Ham need to go into this all guns blazing and not come out until they have fought and got some of the spoils, otherwise they could lose the Premier War.
17. Fulham [17th]
4 of 21
Last Week: 17th [0.87]
Last 6 Games: L-W-D-L-D-L
Points Coefficient: 0.76
Projected Points: 32
Next Game: Birmingham (H)
Birmingham will be brimming with confidence after beating Chelsea, but bear in mind that they only managed the one shot on target against them as compared to the 22 Chelsea had. Ben Foster was in, begrudgingly, magnificent form that day, but it's hard to see lightning strike twice should Fulham pile on the shots.
16. Wigan Athletic [18th]
5 of 21
Last Week: 14th [1.11]
Last 6 Games: D-L-L-D-W-L
Points Coefficient: 0.89
Projected Points: 35
Next Game: West Ham (H)
Not the best day at the office for Wigan on Saturday, losing their top striker and their captain to red cards, we will have to see how they hold up against a struggling West Ham side as to maybe, if they will even survive the season.
15. Aston Villa [13th]
6 of 21
Last Week: 11th [1.27]
Last 6 Games: L-D-D-W-D-L
Points Coefficient: 1.02
Projected Points: 42
Next Game: Arsenal (H)
In the early game on Saturday, the new boy for Aston Villa will be the old boy for Arsenal. Of course, it wasn't a good day on Sunday for the Villains and the team are going to have to show more of what people were praising them for against Man United and less for what they showed against Blackburn if they are to win.
14. Everton [14th]
7 of 21
Last Week: 9th [1.31]
Last 6 Games: D-W-D-D-L-D
Points Coefficient: 1.07
Projected Points: 42
Next Game: West Brom (H)
Everton managed to pull a point out of the game on Monday, and now they face a falling West Brom side. This team have only lost once in the last 6 games, but they have only won once too, so they need to start picking up three points, because a point a game is a very risky game at that.
13. Chelsea [1st]
8 of 21
Last Week: 7th [1.58]
Last 6 Games: W-W-L-W-L-L
Points Coefficient: 1.27
Projected Points: 58
Next Game: Newcastle (A)
My, my. It all seemed so easy only a few weeks ago, and now they have Man United and Arsenal breathing down their neck. They need to pull a win out against Newcastle, who also faltered this week to Bolton, or they might start to rue this run of games come May.
12. Newcastle United [10th]
9 of 21
Last Week: 5th [1.73]
Last 6 Games: W-W-W-L-D-L
Points Coefficient: 1.40
Projected Points: 52
Next Game: Chelsea (H)
And speaking of Newcastle, they were looking in on the Champions League spot only a few days back, but that changed when Bolton beat them 5-1 quite soundly. This might not be the easiest game to get back to winning ways with but if they do, then what a way indeed.
11. Blackpool [12th]
10 of 21
Last Week: 16th [0.87]
Last 6 Games: L-W-D-L-D-W
Points Coefficient: 1.42
Projected Points: 52
Next Game: Bolton (A)
Well isn't this just a little team full of big surprises. They certainly are holding their own in the Premier League and getting the wins when they need them, like against Wolves on Saturday. Now they travel all the way to the nearby area of Bolton to see if there is another little surprise awaiting.
10. Birmingham City [15th]
11 of 21
Last Week: 15th [0.96]
Last 6 Games: W-D-D-L-D-W
Points Coefficient: 1.49
Projected Points: 52
Next Game: Fulham (A)
Saturday was indeed the Ben Foster show, as the Blues from the Midlands beat the Blues from the Capital in a one-sided affair which didn't reflect in the scoreline. They have to take this belief that came from this and apply it against Fulham, where hopefully they can get more than two total shots in on goal.
9. Manchester City [4th]
12 of 21
Last Week: 10th [1.29]
Last 6 Games: L-L-W-D-D-W
Points Coefficient: 1.51
Projected Points: 61
Next Game: Stoke (A)
This is where Roberto Mancini needs to shine. The Britannia Stadium is one of the toughest places to go to, and if his team can emerge with 3 points, then they could possibly be in the title race. They picked up points yet again at the top with a 4-1 win over ex-manager Mark Hughes' Fulham at the weekend, so they need to go for it.
8. Tottenham Hotspurs [6th]
13 of 21
Last Week: 8th [1.33]
Last 6 Games: D-L-L-D-W-W
Points Coefficient: 1.56
Projected Points: 59
Next Game: Liverpool (H)
This will be a huge test for Spurs, Liverpool despite the hitches early on, have picked up the pace and are starting to look like a proper side. A win here could very well push them to the same points as Manchester City who lie in fourth and one step closer to repeat seasons in the top four.
7. Blackburn Rovers [11th]
14 of 21
Last Week: 13th [1.24]
Last 6 Games: L-L-W-L-W-W
Points Coefficient: 1.67
Projected Points: 58
Next Game: Man United (A)
When Blackburn play, they can play, as evidenced by nearly the same Aston Villa side who pushed United all the way two weeks ago. Whether Blackburn, who won quite handily 2-0, can improve will be seen next week.
6. Sunderland [7th]
15 of 21
Last Week: 3rd [1.91]
Last 6 Games: W-L-W-D-W-D
Points Coefficient: 1.80
Projected Points: 63
Next Game: Wolves (A)
Sunderland were only five minutes away from another three points and a share of the Europa League spot, with Bolton and Spurs, on 22 points. Still, 20 points is nothing to laugh at and they take their four-game unbeaten run into the Molineux where they should probably dispatch of Wolves.
5. Stoke City [8th]
16 of 21
Last Week: 12th [1.27]
Last 6 Games: L-L-L-W-W-W
Points Coefficient: 1.80
Projected Points: 62
Next Game: Man City (H)
They have now won three games in a row, which brings about a bag of confidence that they will need as they entertain Man City, who are also flying high in the league. They will need to rely on the fortress which is their home and hopefully grind out a result.
4. Arsenal [3rd]
17 of 21
Last Week: 1st [2.47]
Last 6 Games: W-W-L-W-W-L
Points Coefficient: 1.87
Projected Points: 71
Next Game: Aston Villa (A)
When you go 2-0 up against your local rivals at half time the last thing you want is to lose come full time. Yet this is how Arsenal operated this Saturday against Tottenham. What impact this has will be apparent on Saturday, when they take on a young Villa side, aided by former Gunner legend, Robert Pires.
3. Bolton Wanderers [5th]
18 of 21
Last Week: 4th [1.87]
Last 6 Games: D-L-W-D-W-W
Points Coefficient: 2.02
Projected Points: 71
Next Game: Blackpool (H)
Bolton are flying right now, and after dispatching of another high-flying team in Newcastle 5-1, they now need to settle down and make sure they don't slip up against Blackpool when they host them. If they can do that, all those whispers of Europa League football next year might start to turn into big possibilities.
2. Liverpool [9th]
19 of 21
Last Week: 6th [1.60]
Last 6 Games: W-W-W-D-L-W
Points Coefficient: 2.04
Projected Points: 68
Next Game: Tottenham (A)
Liverpool are back, I think. After slipping up against Stoke, they returned to the form of a few weeks ago with a convincing 3-0 win over West Ham. Now they face the team who have taken their spot in the top four in Tottenham. A win here will say a lot about this team, and if they can push back into the Big 4 monopoly.
1. Manchester United [2nd]
20 of 21
Last Week: 2nd [1.93]
Last 6 Games: W-W-W-D-D-W
Points Coefficient: 2.24
Projected Points: 82
Next Game: Blackburn (H)
Wayne Rooney returned on Saturday, as Man United beat 9-Man Wigan Athletic at home. Of course, this will be another story, as Blackburn are having themselves a good patch of form, so they will need to make sure that the visitors don't start to play their way. It's tough being at the top, as shown by Chelsea and Arsenal the weeks before, can they be the first team since I began to remain top into the next week?
Projected Table
21 of 21
This will be an interesting one—with Arsenal now losing they surely can't remain at the top. But if they are no longer top, who will replace them? Again, thanks for the positive comments guys, it's the little things that will keep me doing this, so make sure you check this out each week:
1. Manchester United [2] - 82 +1
2. Arsenal [3] - 71 -1
3. Bolton [5] - 71 +2
4. Liverpool [9] - 68 +3
5. Sunderland [7] - 63 -1
6. Stoke [8] - 62 +6
7. Manchester City [4] - 61 +1
8. Tottenham Hotspurs [6] - 59 +1
9. Chelsea [1] - 58 -6
10. Blackburn [11] - 58 +3
11. Blackpool [12] - 52 +5
12. Birmingham City [15] - 52 +3
13. Newcastle United [10] - 52 -7
14. Everton [14] - 42 -3
15. Aston Villa [13] - 42 -5
16. Wigan [18] - 35 -2
17. Fulham [17] - 32 =
18. West Bromwich Albion [16] - 28 =
19. West Ham United [20] - 22 =
20. Wolverhampton Wanderers [20] - 19 =
