Why Not Convert the BCS into NFL's Minor League? (Part Three)
Today
In today's world of college recruiting, schools like TCU end up ranked No. 45 or worse on average, but in an NFL-run draft system, they are suddenly on an even playing field with Texas, USC, Florida, and the rest of college football’s power programs.
This works out for every BCS division program, and in many, like Miami of Ohio or Arkansas State, it is a game-changer.
While TCU has gotten to the top 10 by evaluating talent and moving pieces to fit its system, USC and Texas just fill the coffers with the top recruits in state, year in and year out. It’s kind of hard to miss when you have the top five running backs of every recruiting class.
On the other hand, this system destroys many elite prospects' chances at getting to the next level.
Take a kid like Billy Hart, for example.
Billy was a high school All-American, who ended up sitting behind Matt Leinart and Matt Cassell, and never played a meaningful down of college football.
Instead of going to Cal or Stanford where he likely would have been the guy, he ended up going the baseball route, and until elbow surgery ended his baseball career, was a top prospect for the Houston Astros.
Athletes like that would end up drafted in the first round, and while not playing at USC, would have a chance to be successful in a good program.
Impact
Take a look at the Rivals Top 100 for 2010.
Number of recruits signed
USC: 10
Texas: 9
Florida: 9
Alabama: 7
Thirty-fve of the Top 100 or fully a third of the best recruits in the country go to these four schools!
Now take USC’s last five recruiting classes, and nearly 10 percent of the top 100 each year have gone to the Trojans.
Compare that to TCU, which has had not one top-100 recruit in the past five years...not one! But it has finished ranked in the top 25 four of the past five seasons, nevertheless.
2010 Draft
Based on the 2010 Rivals Top 100 and the NFL based college lineup, here is how the first-year draft might have evened things out in the first round.
Mock Draft Round One Player Signed
1. St. Louis Rams: Alabama Ronald Powell DE (Florida)
2. Detroit Lions: Texas Seantrel Henderson OL (USC)
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Florida Kyle Prater WR (USC)
4. Washington Redskins: Ohio State Sharrif Floyd DT (Florida)
5. Kansas City Chiefs: Oklahoma Keenan Allen DB (California)
6. Seattle Seahawks: Boise State Robert Woods ATH (USC)
7. Cleveland Browns: Cincinnati Dominique Easley (Florida)
8. Oakland Raiders: TCU Owamagbe Odighizuwa DE (UCLA)
9. Buffalo Bills: Penn State Da’Rick Rogers WR (Tennessee)
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Florida State Marcus Lattimore RB (S. Carolina)
11. Chicago Bears: Notre Dame Michael Dyer RB (Auburn)
12. Miami Dolphins: Miami Jackson Jeffcoat DE (Texas)
13. San Francisco 49ers: Oregon Robert Crisp OL (N.C. State)
14. Denver Broncos: Colorado Lamarcus Joyner DB (Florida St.)
15. New York Giants: Oklahoma Latwan Anderson ATH (Miami)
16. Tennessee Titans: Tennessee Jordan Hicks LB (Texas)
17. Carolina Panthers: Virginia Tech Dillon Baxter RB (USC)
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Pitt Chris Martin DE (California)
19. Atlanta Falcons: Georgia Spencer Ware ATH (LSU)
20. Houston Texans: Texas A&M Christian Jones LB (Florida St.)
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Auburn William Gholston DE (Michigan St)
22. New England Patriots: Nebraska Shon Coleman (Auburn)
23. Green Bay Packers: Wisconsin DeMarcus Milliner DB (Alabama)
24. Philadelphia Eagles: Utah Markeith Ambles WR (USC)
25. Baltimore Ravens: BYU Matt Elam DB (Florida)
26. Arizona Cardinals: Arizona Lache Seastrunk RB (Oregon)
27. Dallas Cowboys: Texas Tech George Uko DT (USC)
28. San Diego Chargers: UCLA Joshua Shaw DB (Florida)
29. New York Jets: Syracuse Reggie Wilson DE (Texas)
30. Minnesota Vikings: Minnesota Gabe King DE (California)
31. Indianapolis Colts: Purdue J.R. Ferguson DE (LSU)
32. New Orleans Saints: LSU James Hurst OL (N. Carolina)
Don’t think this would change the landscape? Take a look at how these players are spread out now...
USC: 6 (three of the top six)
Florida: 5 (three of top seven)
Texas: 3
California: 3
LSU: 2
Auburn: 2
Florida St: 2
That is 23 of 32 picks going to seven schools. Seven!
Now add in another 96 schools, and we finish a first round that spreads the top 128 players across the entire BCS division.
Conclusion
Instead of USC getting three of the first six available, they get No. 2 on pick 129.
They still have the best available player in the draft, but instead of having another five of the first 32, they are now looking at a TE who would have gone to Iowa with that pick.
We are still looking at four-star athletes and legitimate All-American candidates, but gone would be the days of schools pulling in one in 10 of the top 100 prospects.
Even more than a playoff system that gave each conference a shot, this would level the field and give a school like Tulane a chance...a real chance.
NFL scouts would scour the country for gems, just as programs like TCU do currently, and programs like USC and Texas would have to drastically alter their recruiting/drafting programs to catch up.
What TCU, Boise State, and schools not in auto-qualifying conferences do every day would give them a leg up on the schools that just call on the blue chippers today.
Would the big Programs adapt? Most of them absolutely would, but some would not.
Next up: A look at walk-ons and true student athletes...
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