College Football Odds Week 11: Picks Against the Spread for Top 25 Matchups

Joe Tansey@JTansey90Featured ColumnistNovember 11, 2021

College Football Odds Week 11: Picks Against the Spread for Top 25 Matchups

0 of 3

    Michael Clubb/Associated Press

    The Georgia Bulldogs' toughest test between now and the College Football Playoff could come on Saturday afternoon in Knoxville, Tennessee. 

    The top-ranked team in the country might be caught off guard by how strong the Tennessee Volunteers' offense has been in Josh Heupel's first year as head coach. 

    Tennessee may not win the contest inside Neyland Stadium, but it is the best-equipped team in the SEC East to push Georgia like no other side has this season. 

    The Georgia-Tennessee clash isn't the only meaningful showdown in the SEC in Week 11. The Texas A&M Aggies and Ole Miss Rebels will do battle under the lights in Oxford, Mississippi. 

    Texas A&M is one Alabama Crimson Tide loss away from playing Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. Its defense will face a tough test from the vaunted Ole Miss offense, but that unit has proved in the last few weeks that it can stop any challenge in front of it. 

Week 11 Schedule and Odds

1 of 3

    Michael Conroy/Associated Press

    Thursday, November 11

    North Carolina at No. 21 Pittsburgh (-7) (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

          

    Friday, November 12

    No. 5 Cincinnati (-23) at South Florida (6 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

            

    Saturday, November 13

    New Mexico State at No. 2 Alabama (-51.5) (Noon ET, SEC Network)

    No. 6 Michigan (-1) at Penn State (Noon ET, ABC)

    No. 8 Oklahoma (-5.5) at No. 13 Baylor (Noon ET, Fox)

    Mississippi State at No. 17 Auburn (-5.5) (Noon ET, ESPN)

    Northwestern at No. 18 Wisconsin (-24) (Noon ET, ESPN2)

    No. 24 Utah (-24) at Arizona (2 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network)

    No. 1 Georgia (-20) at Tennessee (3:30 p.m. ET, CBS)

    No. 19 Purdue at No. 4 Ohio State (-20.5) (3:30 p.m. ET, ABC)

    Minnesota at No. 20 Iowa (-5.5) (3:30 p.m. ET, BTN)

    Southern Miss at No. 23 UTSA (-32.5) (3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN+)

    Maryland at No. 7 Michigan State (-13) (4 p.m. ET, Fox)

    No. 11 Texas A&M (-2.5) at No. 15 Ole Miss (7 p.m. ET, ESPN)

    No. 16 NC State at No. 12 Wake Forest (-1) (7:30 p.m. ET, ACC Network)

    No. 9 Notre Dame (-5.5) at Virginia (7:30 p.m. ET, ABC)

    No. 25 Arkansas (-2.5) at LSU (7:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network)

    TCU at No. 10 Oklahoma State (-13) (8 p.m. ET, Fox)

    Washington State at No. 3 Oregon (-13.5) (10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)

    Nevada at No. 22 San Diego State (-3) (10:30 p.m. ET, CBSSN)

          

    Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; predictions against the spread in bold.

    Rankings based off Sunday's AP Top 25 release. 

         

    If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).

    Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), or call or text the TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789 (TN).

    21+. NJ/PA/WV/IN/IA/CO/IL/TN only. In partnership with Meadows Racetrack & Casino. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.

No. 1 Georgia at Tennessee (+20)

2 of 3

    Michael Clubb/Associated Press

    Tennessee has an opportunity to showcase to the nation why it has been one of the most surprising FBS teams this season. 

    The Volunteers average 38.2 points per game and come into Saturday's game with a ton of confidence after winning a high-scoring affair with the Kentucky Wildcats. 

    Josh Heupel's team has not beaten a ranked side, but it came close to upsetting the Ole Miss Rebels the last time a Top 25 squad entered Neyland Stadium. 

    Tennessee's fast-paced offense will present Georgia with its toughest test yet because of how quickly it can move down the field with Hendon Hooker at the helm.

    The 23-year-old has a handful of impressive players around him, led by wide receivers Velus Jones Jr. and Cedric Tillman, who each have 36 receptions and five touchdown catches. 

    Georgia has the top defense in the FBS, but it hasn't faced an offense set up like Tennessee's during conference play. 

    The other five SEC East teams have gone through their share of struggles, while the Auburn Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks rely on their ground attacks to set up their quarterbacks for success. 

    Tennessee will try to tire out the Georgia defense, but it needs to get off to a fast start to prevent it from taking over the contest. 

    The Vols may not score on every possession, but if they can strike fast for a few scores, they can remain within 20 points of the Bulldogs. 

    While Tennessee's offense is a well-oiled machine, its defense still needs some work after giving up 42 points to the Wildcats on Saturday.

    Tennessee's defense is not good enough to silence Georgia for four quarters, but if it gets a stop or two in each half, the game could at least remain close. 

No. 11 Texas A&M (-2.5) at No. 15 Ole Miss

3 of 3

    David J. Phillip/Associated Press

    The other top defense in the SEC faces a tricky road test as well, but Texas A&M is getting Ole Miss at the perfect time. 

    The Aggies defense is peaking at the right time. Auburn managed just three points last week at Kyle Field.

    Since beating Alabama on Oct. 10, Texas A&M has held Auburn, the Missouri Tigers and South Carolina Gamecocks to a combined 31 points. 

    Ole Miss started the season with a handful of 50-point performances, but some offensive injuries and matchups with better defenses hindered that progress. 

    Lane Kiffin's team narrowly beat Tennessee, lost to Auburn and only put up 27 points on an average Liberty Flames defense on Nov. 6. 

    Ole Miss is trending in the wrong direction at the worst possible time for Saturday's matchup at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

    Texas A&M allows 113.5 total yards fewer than Ole Miss, and its scoring defense is 12.3 points better than the Rebels. 

    The Aggies are also playing for something significant. If Alabama loses to either Arkansas or Auburn, they would take over first place in the SEC West.

    At minimum, Texas A&M is playing for a higher ranking and a New Year's Six bowl berth, but a win could be worth so much more if Alabama remains vulnerable and is stuck in a close game. 

          

    Statistics obtained from ESPN.com.

🚨 SPORTS NEWS ➡️ YOUR INBOX

The latest in the sports world, emailed daily.


X