Week 6 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Timothy Rapp@@TRappaRTFeatured ColumnistOctober 10, 2017

HOUSTON, TX - OCTOBER 01: Deshaun Watson #4 of the Houston Texans rushes out of the pocket against the Tennessee Titans at NRG Stadium on October 1, 2017 in Houston, Texas. Houston won 57-14.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images

You want stats?

We have the stats. Below, you'll find a statistical breakdown for the top 100 players in fantasy football for Week 6. They're broken down into each position and represent the rankings for a standard-scoring 10-team league.                     



1. Tom Brady, New England Patriots: 300 total yards, three touchdowns, one turnover 

2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: 260 total yards, three touchdowns

3. Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans: 250 total yards, four touchdowns, two turnovers

4. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers: 350 total yards, three touchdowns, three turnovers

5. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs: 300 total yards, two touchdowns, one turnover

6. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints: 280 total yards, two touchdowns, one turnover

7. Kirk Cousins, Washington: 220 total yards, two touchdowns, one turnover

8. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles: 200 total yards, three touchdowns, two turnovers

9. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans250 total yards, two touchdowns, two turnovers

10. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 240 total yards, two touchdowns, two turnovers

It's safe to say that Mr. Newton is back. In the past two weeks, all he's done is accumulate 671 passing yards and six touchdowns as well as 44 rushing yards and a score on the ground. Newton's early struggles appear to be behind him, and he should be a pretty safe QB1 for the rest of 2017.

Philly's Wentz is steadily climbing in the fantasy ranks. In standard-scoring leagues, he's notched three weeks with 18 or more fantasy points, two weeks above 24 points and hasn't dipped below 13 points on the season. 

His ceiling isn't as high as some of the other players in the QB1 conversation, but his floor isn't terribly low either. And given Philly's assortment of weapons and strong offensive line play, Wentz should continue to be a fairly steady producer.

Mariota's inclusion here is based on the assumption that he plays. If he's unable to go, bump Jared Goff into QB1 consideration.


Running Backs

PITTSBURGH, PA - OCTOBER 08: Leonard Fournette #27 of the Jacksonville Jaguars dives into the end zone for a 2 yard touchdown in the second quarter during the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field on October 8, 2017 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvan
Justin Berl/Getty Images

1. Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars: 100 total yards, two touchdowns

2. Kareem Hunt, Kansas City Chiefs: 140 total yards, one touchdown

3. Le'Veon Bell, Pittsburgh Steelers: 80 total yards, two touchdowns

4. Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams: 100 total yards, one touchdown

5. Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons: 80 total yards, one touchdown

6. Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers: 80 total yards, one touchdown

7. Lamar Miller, Houston Texans: 125 total yards

8. Jordan Howard, Chicago Bears: 60 total yards, one touchdown

9. Doug Martin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 120 total yards

10. Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers: 115 total yards

11. C.J. Anderson, Denver Broncos: 55 total yards, one touchdown

12. Duke Johnson Jr., Cleveland Browns: 105 total yards

13. LeGarrette Blount, Philadelphia Eagles: 45 total yards, one touchdown

14. Tevin Coleman, Atlanta Falcons: 40 total yards, one touchdown

15. DeMarco Murray, Tennessee Titans: 95 total yards

16. Frank Gore, Indianapolis Colts: 90 total yards

17. Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers: 85 total yards

18. Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins: 85 total yards

19. Ameer Abdullah, Detroit Lions: 80 total yards

20. Javorius Allen, Baltimore Ravens: 75 total yards

21. Mike Gillislee, New England Patriots: 70 total yards

22. Jerick McKinnon, Minnesota Vikings: 65 total yards

23. Christian McCaffrey, Carolina Panthers: 60 total yards

24. Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers: 55 total yards

25. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints: 55 total yards

26. Bilal Powell, New York Jets: 50 total yards

27. Andre Ellington, Arizona Cardinals: 50 total yards

28. Mark Ingram, New Orleans Saints: 50 total yards

29. Wayne Gallman, New York Giants: 50 total yards

30. Chris Thompson, Washington: 50 total yards

Leonard Fournette is ridiculous. In standard leagues, he's combined for just over 50 fantasy points the past two weeks. The rookie running back has a home game in Week 6 and will be facing a Rams defense that has been susceptible against the run this season, allowing 133.6 yards per game, so there's little reason to expect him to slow down.

Gurley finally slowed down in Week 5 against the Seahawks, and he faces an improved Jacksonville defense in Week 6. Don't be discouraged, though: The Jaguars have been shaky against the run this year, giving up 517 rushing yards and four touchdowns to opposing running backs between Weeks 2 and 4. Gurley should have a bounce-back outing.

Don't be afraid to start Jones if Ty Montgomery remains out of action in Green Bay. He rushed for 125 yards against Dallas and has a touchdown in consecutive weeks. He's firmly in the RB2 conversation until Montgomery returns, and even then, he may have earned himself a larger workload.


Wide Receivers

ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 08:  Jordy Nelson #87 of the Green Bay Packers goes up for a touchdown pass against the Dallas Cowboys in the third quarter of a football game at AT&T Stadium on October 8, 2017 in Arlington, Texas.  (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty
Tom Pennington/Getty Images

1. Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers: Six receptions, 80 yards, two touchdowns

2. Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons: Seven receptions, 130 yards, one touchdown

3. DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans: Four receptions, 60 yards, two touchdowns

4. Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers: Nine receptions, 110 yards, one touchdown

5. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Five receptions, 100 yards, one touchdown

6. Chris Hogan, New England Patriots: Three receptions, 30 yards, two touchdowns

7. Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Vikings: Six receptions, 65 yards, one touchdown

8. Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints: Seven receptions, 120 yards

9. Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs: Five receptions, 55 yards, one touchdown

10. Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers: Three receptions, 50 yards, one touchdown

11. Kelvin Benjamin, Carolina Panthers: Six receptions, 55 yards, one touchdown

12. Michael Crabtree, Oakland Raiders: Three receptions, 45 yards, one touchdown

13. T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts: Six receptions, 100 yards

14. Brandin Cooks, New England Patriots: Five receptions, 95 yards

15. Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers: Eight receptions, 90 yards

16. Alshon Jeffery, Philadelphia Eagles: Four receptions, 80 yards

17. Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals: Seven receptions, 80 yards

18. Terrelle Pryor Sr., Washington: Three receptions, 75 yards

19. DeSean Jackson, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Four receptions, 70 yards

20. Devin Funchess, Carolina Panthers: Five receptions, 65 yards

21. Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos: Six receptions, 60 yards

22. Sammy Watkins, Los Angeles Rams: Three receptions, 60 yards

23. DeVante Parker, Miami Dolphins: Three receptions, 55 yards

24. Jarvis Landry, Miami Dolphins: Five receptions, 55 yards

25. Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders: Three receptions, 50 yards

26. Golden Tate, Detroit Lions: Six receptions, 50 yards

27. Will Fuller V, Houston Texans: Two receptions, 45 yards

28. Pierre Garcon, San Francisco 49ers: Four receptions, 40 yards

29. Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos: Three receptions, 40 yards

30. Mike Wallace, Baltimore Ravens: Four receptions, 40 yards

With Watson lighting defenses on fire in Houston, Hopkins and Fuller both deserve your attention at wide receiver. Hopkins appears to be back to the steady WR1 form he flashed in 2015, while Fuller has now registered four receiving touchdowns the past two weeks.

While Fuller's touchdown production isn't sustainable, Houston's passing offense has gotten a major boost with Watson under center. 

New England's Hogan, meanwhile, is the real deal. Four straight weeks with at least one touchdown and double-digit points in standard-scoring leagues isn't to be ignored. Neither is the fact that he's caught at least four passes and registered 60 receiving yards in each of those weeks.

Hogan has produced his way into the WR1 conversation every week, a distinction many people expected for Cooks. While the latter still has solid value, Hogan has become the more valuable option for fantasy players.


Tight Ends

FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 24:  Chris Hogan #15 of the New England Patriots reacts with Rob Gronkowski #87 after catching a touchdown pass during the second quarter of a game against the Houston Texans during a game at Gillette Stadium on September 24, 2017
Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

1. Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots: Six receptions, 90 yards, one touchdown

2. Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs: Seven receptions, 80 yards, one touchdown

3. Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles: Six receptions, 75 yards, one touchdown

4. Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Four receptions, 60 yards, one touchdown

5. Jordan Reed, Washington: Eight receptions, 100 yards

6. Evan Engram, New York Giants: Six receptions, 90 yards

7. Delanie Walker, Tennessee Titans: Six receptions, 80 yards

8. David Njoku, Cleveland Browns: Five receptions, 75 yards

9. Hunter Henry, Los Angeles Chargers: Two receptions, 15 yards, one touchdown

10. Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints: Four receptions, 60 yards

An upper class is developing at tight end, and unsurprisingly, Gronkowski and Kelce are headlining it. Keep an eye on Kelce's status for Week 6, though, as he left Week 5's game against the Texans and is in concussion protocol.

Ertz has arguably been the most consistent player at the position, meanwhile, while Brate has three touchdowns in the past three weeks and continues to be a trusted target for Jameis Winston.

Keep an eye on some of the young guns, however. Engram is going to be an important target for Eli Manning going forward given the team's unbelievable string of injuries at wide receiver. Njoku has already established himself as one of Cleveland's most talented playmakers, while Henry is ready to assume the mantle from Antonio Gates in L.A. 

Don't be afraid to trot out the youngsters at tight end.


Note: Because defensive and kicker stats are far more complicated to project on a weekly basis—and because leagues often have dramatically different stat configurations when determining fantasy value for both categories—we're gonna avoid making specific statistical projections that may not have any impact on your league and stick with a generalized standard-scoring fantasy projection for each grouping.


Defense/Special Teams

PITTSBURGH, PA - OCTOBER 08: Tashaun Gipson #39 of the Jacksonville Jaguars is tackled by JuJu Smith-Schuster #19 of the Pittsburgh Steelers after a 2 yard interception return in the fourth quarter during the game at Heinz Field on October 8, 2017 in Pitt
Joe Sargent/Getty Images

1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 15 fantasy points

2. Baltimore Ravens: 14 fantasy points

3. Washington: 12 fantasy points

4. Houston Texans: 11 fantasy points

5. Denver Broncos: 10 fantasy points

6. Kansas City Chiefs: 10 fantasy points

7. Los Angeles Rams: 10 fantasy points

8. Detroit Lions: Nine fantasy points

9. Green Bay Packers: Eight fantasy points

10. Atlanta Falcons: Eight fantasy points

Until the Jaguars prove to be untrustworthy in fantasy leagues, ride this hot hand. The Rams may be improved offensively, but Seattle slowed them down in Week 5. The Jaguars probably can't sustain a pace that has them scoring four touchdowns every five weeks, but they also just held a dangerous Pittsburgh offense at home to nine points, intercepting Ben Roethlisberger five times at Heinz Field.

Like mentioned previously, ride the hot hand.



1. Greg Zuerlein, Los Angeles Rams: 15 fantasy points

2. Stephen Gostkowski, New England Patriots: 15 fantasy points

3. Matt Bryant, Atlanta Falcons: 13 fantasy points

4. Robbie Gould, San Francisco 49ers: 13 fantasy points

5. Wil Lutz, New Orleans Saints: 12 fantasy points

6. Jake Elliott, Philadelphia Eagles: 12 fantasy points

7. Graham Gano, Carolina Panthers: 12 fantasy points

8. Chandler Catanzaro, New York Jets: 11 fantasy points

9. Ka'imi Fairbairn, Houston Texans: 11 fantasy points

10. Jason Myers, Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 fantasy points

At this point in the season, the reliable kickers have made themselves known. Never get too cute when deciding on your kicker from week to week. Stick with the guy who reliably produces. Overanalyzing matchups won't do you any good.


All fantasy stats via Yahoo Sports.


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