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ORLANDO, FL - SEPTEMBER 05:  (L-R) Head coach Hugh Freeze of the Mississippi Rebels and head coach Jimbo Fisher of the Florida State Seminoles talk after their game in the Camping World Kickoff at Camping World Stadium on September 5, 2016 in Orlando, Florida.  (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)
ORLANDO, FL - SEPTEMBER 05: (L-R) Head coach Hugh Freeze of the Mississippi Rebels and head coach Jimbo Fisher of the Florida State Seminoles talk after their game in the Camping World Kickoff at Camping World Stadium on September 5, 2016 in Orlando, Florida. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)Streeter Lecka/Getty Images

Week 3 Win-or-Walk Games Are Why College Football Is the Greatest

Matt HayesSep 14, 2016

Welcome, Ole Miss. Step right up, Oklahoma. Embrace the moment, Notre Dame.

For teams that have already lost a game, "win-or-walk weekend" has officially arrived in college football. And September isn't even in the rearview mirror.

"You can't start looking at what other [teams] are doing," said Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze. "The only thing you can control is what you do."

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That's not entirely true—which is what makes this perfectly imperfect sport so tantalizingly traumatic week after week after week. For all of its flaws (hello, Central Michigan over Oklahoma State), there is no other sport quite like the weekly anxiety attack that is college football.

The College Football Playoff is a crazy and confounding ride down the rabbit hole that may or may not end with a 4th-and-25 conversion in overtime that clears a path to play for it all.

Offseason hopes of winning it all could end three weeks into the season for once-beaten heavyweights staring at make-or-break games against college football's elite. Alabama at Ole Miss. Ohio State at Oklahoma. Michigan State at Notre Dame.

With the ACC likely too weak to send any team but a perfect one to the College Football Playoff, even unbeaten Florida State at unbeaten Louisville has the feel of a win-or-walk game.

Seven of the eight teams in this win-or-walk weekend—all but Louisville—have recently experienced the very essence of this white-knuckle roller-coaster ride that separates college football from every other sport.

Alabama has done it the last two years, taking a gut-punch loss that looked and felt like a season falling off the cliff, only to finish with a safe, comfortable landing where it wanted to be all along.

"But we can't expect it to work out that way again," said head coach Nick Saban.

Oklahoma rebounded from a horrible loss to Texas last season to win seven straight and earn a spot in the CFP.

Michigan State lost late to Nebraska in the first week of November—on a controversial touchdown pass, no less—then won four straight to reach the CFP.

Ohio State lost to Virginia Tech in Week 2 of the 2014 season, then won 11 in a row to earn the final spot in the CFP and eventually win it all.

It was Ole Miss that beat Alabama in this very spot a year ago, pushing the Tide into win-or-walk mode and forcing the game's most talented team to not only win out, but also need help from another team over the final two months of the season.

That help came on that 4th-and-25, with the Crimson Tide not even on the field. It was a prayer of a backward heave from Arkansas tight end Hunter Henry that bounced directly and perfectly into the hands of the only Hogs player (tailback Alex Collins) who could outrun and outmuscle the Ole Miss defense to covert the first down.

Arkansas eventually won, and Ole Miss' second conference loss allowed Alabama to win the West Division and play in the SEC Championship Game. Without that unthinkable lateral, Ole Miss could have navigated its own win-or-walk scenario—after losing to Florida in the first month of the season—to win the SEC and advance to the CFP.

"I remember thinking, You've got to be kidding me," said Alabama defensive end Jonathan Allen. "Crazy stuff happens in this game. It can happen to you or for you. You never know, one game to the next."

Especially with so much on the line.

You can have the NFL and its seven-loss Super Bowl champions. Or NCAA basketball, where one player gets hot and leads his eight-loss team to a national title.

I'll take college football, where every week is live or die. Where a botched snap or a last-second blocked field goal returned for a touchdown or a failed two-point conversion—or 4th-and-25—can instantly change the course of a season.

The best part about this win-or-walk weekend? All three one-loss teams (Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Notre Dame) can send those on the other sideline to the same one-loss bracket—and into the same sea of agitation.

There are no nine-loss teams playing for a wild-card spot. No teams with a losing record getting hot in their conference tournaments and earning a seed in the national tournament.

This is hardcore winning and losing at its brutal, unvarnished core. This is Notre Dame players sobbing in the locker room last season after another last-second loss—this time at Stanford—kept them from earning a spot in the playoff.

This is Saban, the sweet symphony of megalomania that he is, executing some kind of dinosaur dance on the field last year with his players—think about that: Saban dancing—after the Tide won yet another national championship.

"It's a cool, different experience than most—especially with final four and how you can see it all play out over the last four or five weeks," said Notre Dame quarterback DeShone Kizer. "Losing puts a little more pressure on your back and demands a new level of preparation each week with the elephant in the room there the whole time. It can all go away with one loss."

If win-or-walk isn't big enough to embrace this early in the season, consider these drama-filled storylines:

Prior to last year, Alabama hadn't lost two in a row to Ole Miss since the series began in 1894. It is now in danger of losing three in a row with a freshman quarterback (Jalen Hurts) playing in an SEC road environment for the first time.

Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett hasn't lost a road game as a starter, and OU quarterback Baker Mayfield hasn't lost a home game as a starter.

Notre Dame and Michigan State haven't played since 2013, since the Irish decided to give the ACC guaranteed games and eliminate some matchups against traditional rivals.

Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson has scored more touchdowns this season (seven passing, six rushing) than 115 FBS teams.

"You eventually have to play and win big games if you want to win a championship," said Florida State head coach Jimbo Fisher. "The best way to get [to the CFP] is to win them all."

That, or leave your future in the hands of 4th-and-25.

All quotes obtained firsthand except as noted. Follow Matt Hayes on Twitter at @MattHayesCFB.

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