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MLB Power Rankings: Where All 10 Remaining Teams Stand Entering Postseason

Joel ReuterOct 5, 2015

With the 2015 MLB regular season officially wrapped up and the 10-team playoff field now set, this week's power rankings are going to be a little bit different than what you may be used to.

Looking at last week's performance is not necessarily the best indicator of which direction each of these teams is headed, as some of them clinched prior to last week and were resting guys and setting up their playoff rotation, while others were battling just to make it in.

As a result, the criteria for this week's rankings has changed and is more projection- and outlook-based than recent-performance based.

The following factors were taken into account this time around:

  • Postseason Outlook: How a team is lining up for playoff success was the No. 1 factor in these rankings, so things like projected postseason rotation and overall team health played a much bigger role than normal.
  • Wild Card Round Disadvantage: Having to play in a one-game, do-or-die situation is a clear disadvantage to the four teams that will be playing in the Wild Card Round. As a result, you'll see they occupy the No. 7-10 spots in the rankings. That doesn't mean those are the four worst teams of the 10 playoff participants, but the odds are stacked against them from the get-go.
  • Final Month Performance: While last week's record may not be a good indicator, how a team has played in the past month (or in its last 30 games, in this case) can give a good idea of what direction it is trending.

Along with a postseason outlook for each team, a full breakdown of team leaders in notable stat categories was included for a quick overview of the top performers of 2015.

So here is a pre-postseason look at where this year's 10 playoff-bound teams stand as we get set for what should be another exciting October.

Note: Season leaders reflect players who had at least 400 plate appearances for BA and OPS or 100 innings pitched in the case of ERA and WHIP.

10. Houston Astros (86-76, No. 2 AL Wild Card)

1 of 10
Dallas Keuchel
Dallas Keuchel

Last 30 Games: 13-17

Postseason Outlook

The Houston Astros made things interesting with an 11-16 month of September, but they managed to finish one game ahead of the Los Angeles Angels for the second AL wild-card spot.

They'll head to New York to take on the Yankees in Tuesday's AL Wild Card Game, where AL Cy Young candidate Dallas Keuchel will be taking the ball on just three days rest.

Keuchel owned the Yankees in his two starts against them this season, allowing just nine hits in 16 scoreless innings of work. This will be his first time pitching on three days rest, though, so this is uncharted territory.

The big question from a health standpoint is center fielder Carlos Gomez, who missed 14 games while battling an intercostal strain before returning Wednesday. He then sat the rest of the way, so his status for Tuesday is still unclear. 

Season Leaders

BAJose Altuve.313
OPSCarlos Correa.857
HJose Altuve200
2BJose Altuve40
HREvan Gattis27
RBIEvan Gattis88
RJose Altuve86
SBJose Altuve38
WARJose Altuve4.5
WDallas Keuchel20
SVLuke Gregerson31/36
HLDPat Neshek 28
ERADallas Keuchel2.48
WHIPDallas Keuchel1.017
KDallas Keuchel216
IPDallas Keuchel232.0
WARDallas Keuchel7.2

9. New York Yankees (87-75, No. 1 AL Wild Card)

2 of 10
Carlos Beltran
Carlos Beltran

Last 30 Games: 13-17

Postseason Outlook

The New York Yankees were unable to catch the Toronto Blue Jays in the AL East standings, but they will be hosting the Wild Card Game against the Houston Astros.

Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the Yankees, despite battling a hamstring injury in September and then allowing five hits and four earned runs in five innings in his final start of the season on Wednesday.

The Yankees were 3-4 against the Astros during the regular season, with Tanaka getting touched up for seven hits and six earned runs in five innings in his lone start against them back on June 27.

If they are able to advance beyond the Wild Card Round, the Yankees will be counting on their veteran offense and the dangerous trio of Justin Wilson, Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller at the back of the bullpen to lead the way, as their starting rotation is shaky at best.

Season Leaders

BACarlos Beltran.276
OPSMark Teixeira.906
HChase Headley150
2BCarlos Beltran34
HRAlex Rodriguez33
RBIBrian McCann94
RBrett Gardner94
SBJacoby Ellsbury21
WARMark Teixeira3.8
WNathan Eovaldi14
SVAndrew Miller36/38
HLDJustin Wilson/Dellin Betances29
ERAAdam Warren3.29
WHIPMasahiro Tanaka0.994
KMichael Pineda156
IPCC Sabathia167.1
WARDellin Betances3.8

8. Pittsburgh Pirates (98-64, No. 1 NL Wild Card)

3 of 10
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole

Last 30 Games: 19-11

Postseason Outlook

For the third straight season, the Pittsburgh Pirates find themselves hosting the NL Wild Card Game. They will be looking for a different result than last year, when they lost 8-0 behind a four-hit shutout from Madison Bumgarner.

The Pirates have been playing as well as anyone in the second half of the season, and with good depth in the lineup and a strong rotation anchored by Gerrit Cole and Francisco Liriano, they have the pieces to make a deep run in the playoffs.

However, they will first need to get past Jake Arrieta and the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday night, and that will be no easy task considering Arrieta has been historically good in the second half and is 3-1 with an 0.75 ERA in five starts against the Pirates this year.

That said, the Pirates counter with Gerrit Cole, who is no slouch himself as one of the best young arms in the game. He too has had success in the head-to-head matchups this year, going 2-1 with a 2.13 ERA in four starts against the Cubs this year, and he is 7-1 with a 2.88 ERA in nine career starts against them.

Season Leaders

BAFrancisco Cervelli.295
OPSAndrew McCutchen.889
HStarling Marte166
2BAndrew McCutchen36
HRPedro Alvarez27
RBIAndrew McCutchen96
RAndrew McCutchen91
SBStarling Marte30
WARStarling Marte5.3
WGerrit Cole19
SVMark Melancon51/53
HLDTony Watson41
ERAGerrit Cole2.60
WHIPGerrit Cole1.091
KFrancisco Liriano205
IPGerrit Cole208.0
WARGerrit Cole4.5

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7. Chicago Cubs (97-65, No. 2 NL Wild Card)

4 of 10
Anthony Rizzo
Anthony Rizzo

Last 30 Games: 22-8

Postseason Outlook

What a difference a year can make, as the Chicago Cubs managed a staggering 24-win improvement over their 2014 finish to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2008.

Jake Arrieta takes the ball in the do-or-die NL Wild Card Game, and no one has been better in the second half...ever.

In 15 starts since the All-Star break, he's gone 12-1 with an MLB-record 0.75 ERA, as opponents have hit just .148/.204/.205 against him.

If they can advance past that game, the Cubs will have some decisions to make about the playoff rotation behind Arrieta and Jon Lester. Kyle Hendricks and Dan Haren both pitched well down the stretch, while Jason Hammel was the clear No. 3 guy for much of the year before struggling late.

The Cubs may be the hottest team in all of baseball right now, but being forced to play in that one-game Wild Card Round still bumps them down the rankings since outlook for postseason success was the biggest factor in these rankings and anything can happen in that one game.

Season Leaders

BAAnthony Rizzo.278
OPSAnthony Rizzo.899
HAnthony Rizzo163
2BAnthony Rizzo38
HRAnthony Rizzo31
RBIAnthony Rizzo101
RDexter Fowler102
SBDexter Fowler20
WARAnthony Rizzo6.3
WJake Arrieta22
SVHector Rondon30/34
HLDPedro Strop28
ERAJake Arrieta1.77
WHIPJake Arrieta0.865
KJake Arrieta236
IPJake Arrieta229.0
WARJake Arrieta8.6

6. Kansas City Royals (95-67, AL Central Champs)

5 of 10
Lorenzo Cain
Lorenzo Cain

Last 30 Games: 14-16

Postseason Outlook

The Kansas City Royals may have wrapped up the best record in the American League with a five-game winning streak to close out the year, but they still have some significant question marks entering the playoffs.

Chief among them is the starting rotation, as Yordano Ventura and the hit-and-miss Johnny Cueto will front the staff with some combination of Edinson Volquez, Chris Young and Kris Medlen rounding things out.

The team is also without All-Star closer Greg Holland, who underwent Tommy John surgery on Friday. Replacing him in the ninth inning won't be hard with Wade Davis waiting in the wings, but being without one of the Royals' lights-out late-inning arms hurts the overall depth of what is still a plus bullpen.

Securing that No. 1 seed and building some momentum heading into the postseason made for a successful final week, as the team had endured a rough 7-14 stretch prior to its season-ending win streak.

Season Leaders

BALorenzo Cain.307
OPSKendrys Morales.847
HEric Hosmer178
2BKendrys Morales41
HRKendrys Morales/Mike Moustakas22
RBIKendrys Morales106
RLorenzo Cain101
SBLorenzo Cain28
WARLorenzo Cain7.2
WYordano Ventura/Edinson Volquez13
SVGreg Holland32/37
HLDKelvin Herrera21
ERAChris Young3.06
WHIPChris Young1.086
KYordano Ventura156
IPEdinson Volquez200.1
WARWade Davis3.4

5. Los Angeles Dodgers (92-70, NL West Champs)

6 of 10
Zack Greinke
Zack Greinke

Last 30 Games: 17-13

Postseason Outlook

The Los Angeles Dodgers wrapped up their third straight NL West title and sixth in the past 12 years, but they are still searching for their first trip to the World Series since 1988.

The one-two punch of Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw gives them a realistic chance of doing just that, but they will first have to contend with a New York Mets team that finished strong and has a better rotation top to bottom.

The Dodgers were 3-4 against the Mets in the regular season, though the two teams have not met since the end of July. Kershaw (1-0, 16.0 IP, 0.56 ERA) and Greinke (1-0, 14.0 IP, 1.29 ERA) were both dominant in two starts each.

The Dodgers also managed to secure home-field advantage in the Division Series with a four-game winning streak to close out the season, and that's significant when you consider they are 37-44 on the road this year.

Season Leaders

BAHowie Kendrick.295
OPSJustin Turner.861
HAdrian Gonzalez157
2BAdrian Gonzalez33
HRAdrian Gonzalez28
RBIAdrian Gonzalez90
RAdrian Gonzalez76
SBJimmy Rollins12
WARAdrian Gonzalez/Justin Turner3.9
WZack Greinke19
SVKenley Jansen36/38
HLDJuan Nicasio14
ERAZack Greinke1.66
WHIPZack Greinke0.844
KClayton Kershaw301
IPClayton Kershaw232.2
WARZack Greinke9.3

4. Texas Rangers (88-74, AL West Champs)

7 of 10
Prince Fielder
Prince Fielder

Last 30 Games: 18-12

Postseason Outlook

Behind a healthy starting rotation that added Cole Hamels to the mix at the deadline and a revitalized offense led by Shin-Soo Choo and Prince Fielder, the Texas Rangers were able to win the AL West title with a strong final month.

The team entered September down four games in the standings and wound up winning the division title by two over the Houston Astros, so the Rangers certainly closed out the year with some momentum, as Tim Healey of Sports on Earth noted:

"

"Momentum" in the postseason is a lot like home-field advantage: Maybe it means something. Maybe it doesn't. Either way, you'd rather have it than not. You'd rather be the Rangers, streaking into the postseason, than the Astros, trying to hold on to their spot.

"

In the Division Series, the Rangers will meet a Toronto Blue Jays team that bested them in two of three both times they met up during the regular season.

Healey goes on to list a potent offense, a strong road record and having a "proven playoff pitcher" in Hamels all as chips in the Rangers' favor as they look to continue their recent run of success with an ALDS surprise.

Season Leaders

BAPrince Fielder.305
OPSPrince Fielder.841
HPrince Fielder 187
2BElvis Andrus34
HRPrince Fielder/Mitch Moreland23
RBIPrince Fielder98
RShin-Soo Choo94
SBElvis Andrus/Delino DeShields25
WARAdrian Beltre5.8
WColby Lewis17
SVShawn Tolleson35/37
HLDKeone Kela22
ERAYovani Gallardo3.42
WHIPColby Lewis1.236
KColby Lewis142
IPColby Lewis204.2
WARYovani Gallardo4.1

3. New York Mets (90-72, NL East Champs)

8 of 10
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom

Last 30 Games: 17-13

Postseason Outlook

The New York Mets were completely transformed by the deadline move to acquire Yoenis Cespedes, as they went 37-22 the rest of the way to run away with the NL East division title by seven games over the Washington Nationals.

They finished the season 1-5 in the final week, but with the division title already clinched, it's understandable that they would let up on the gas a bit down the stretch while they rest up ahead of their first postseason trip since 2006, so that's really nothing to worry about.

Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard and Matt Harvey are lined up to start the first three games of the Division Series match with the Los Angeles Dodgers, whom the Mets edged out 4-3 for the season series.

All three pitchers threw the ball well in their previous head-to-head meetings, with deGrom checking in as the best of the bunch with 7.2 scoreless innings of two-hit ball in his one start.

Season Leaders

BADaniel Murphy.281
OPSLucas Duda.838
HCurtis Granderson150
2BDaniel Murphy38
HRLucas Duda27
RBILucas Duda/Daniel Murphy73
RCurtis Granderson98
SBCurtis Granderson11
WARCurtis Granderson5.1
WBartolo Colon/Jacob deGrom14
SVJeurys Familia43/48
HLDHansel Robles12
ERAJacob deGrom2.54
WHIPJacob deGrom0.979
KJacob deGrom205
IPBartolo Colon194.2
WARJacob deGrom4.7

2. St. Louis Cardinals (100-62, NL Central Champs)

9 of 10
Matt Carpenter
Matt Carpenter

Last 30 Games: 14-16

Postseason Outlook

The St. Louis Cardinals became the first team with 100 wins on Wednesday, before being swept by the Atlanta Braves in a weekend series that essentially amounted to a tuneup ahead of a Division Series matchup with either the Chicago Cubs or Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Cardinals have dealt with injuries all season, and losing Carlos Martinez for the year was just the latest big blow. That said, a postseason rotation of John Lackey, Michael Wacha, Jaime Garcia and Lance Lynn still gives them a great chance to win.

Adam Wainwright could wind up being the X-factor, as he joined the bullpen down the stretch and could wind up filling the right-handed setup role alongside Kevin Siegrist in bridging the gap to closer Trevor Rosenthal.

It bears watching how the postseason roster shakes out, as it appears nine guys (Brandon Moss, Matt Adams, Mark Reynolds, Randal Grichuk, Jon Jay, Tommy Pham, Peter Bourjos, Greg Garcia and Pete Kozma) will be battling for five spots.

Experience and depth are the two biggest chips the Cardinals have in their favor, and it's enough to still earn them the top spot among NL teams. That said, they'll have their hands full with whoever comes out of that NL Wild Card game.

Season Leaders

BAJason Heyward.293
OPSMatt Carpenter.871
HJason Heyward160
2BMatt Carpenter44
HRMatt Carpenter28
RBIMatt Carpenter84
RMatt Carpenter101
SBJason Heyward23
WARJason Heyward6.5
WMichael Wacha17
SVTrevor Rosenthal48/51
HLDKevin Siegrist28
ERAJaime Garcia2.43
WHIPJaime Garcia1.049
KCarlos Martinez184
IPJohn Lackey218.0
WARJohn Lackey 5.6

1. Toronto Blue Jays (93-69, AL East Champs)

10 of 10
Josh Donaldson
Josh Donaldson

Last 30 Games: 18-12

Postseason Outlook

On July 29, the Toronto Blue Jays were a .500 team at 51-51 on the year.

From there, they proceeded to go 42-18 to close out the season, and while they missed out on the best record in the American League by two games to the Kansas City Royals, they enter the postseason as heavy favorites to win the AL pennant.

The addition of David Price and a healthy Marcus Stroman gives them a dangerous one-two punch to front the rotation, while Marco Estrada has been the team's best pitcher for much of the year, and workhorse R.A. Dickey is still a more than capable No. 4 guy.

The big story as it's been all season, though, is the juggernaut of an offense, and with Troy Tulowitzki back healthy, it becomes that much better.

Toronto scored 891 runs on the year (5.50 runs per game), which ended up being 127 more than the New York Yankees in second place (4.72 runs per game).

Season Leaders

BAJosh Donaldson.297
OPSJosh Donaldson.939
HJosh Donaldson184
2BJosh Donaldson
41
HRJosh Donaldson41
RBIJosh Donaldson123
RJosh Donaldson122
SBKevin Pillar25
WARJosh Donaldson8.8
WMark Buehrle15
SVRoberto Osuna 20/23
HLDAaron Sanchez10
ERAMarco Estrada3.13
WHIPMarco Estrada1.044
KMarco Estrada131
IPR.A. Dickey214.1
WARMarco Estrada3.6

All stats courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com, unless otherwise noted.

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