Buffalo Bills Mock Draft: Fresh Predictions After the Super Bowl

What do mock drafts and owning a house have in common? Both are unpredictable.

I'm currently sitting in a Best Western typing up this Buffalo Bills mock draft while watching the Super Bowl thanks to a sewer issue.

Ah, the joys of home ownership.

The difference between this mock draft and my basement? Only one stinks.

All right, well I suppose to some people this mock will stink, but hey, I seem to like it.

It's the first week of February and the NFL Scouting Combine is only a few weeks away! Once the combine takes place, we'll all have a better feel of where prospects will land.

Regardless of how many mock drafts I complete between now and April, Buffalo's needs will remain the same. The team is desperate for a QB, a new linebacker or two, an outside WR and possibly a tight end.

If Buffalo does not re-sign Jairus Byrd and Andy Levitre, then we may have to add OG and FS to the list as well.

Round 1: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia

As someone who loves making mock drafts, I like to read others' opinions on players and watch how they fluctuate from week to week. One player who is starting to fall a bit is Jarvis Jones.

Jones hasn't played in a game since January 1 when he notched three tackles, two which went for sacks against Nebraska in the Capital One Bowl. A few days later, Jones declared for the draft and some listed him as a potential top pick in the draft.

So what's changed between now and then?

Well, some people are apparently falling out of former Georgia Bulldog. Dane Brugler of NFLDraftScout.com seems to be one of these people:

"

Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia: Pass rusher James Harrison will soon turn 35 years old and his best playing days are behind him. With the Steelers looking to add a pass rusher at some point in this draft, they might not be able to pass on Jones, who could slip a little bit due to some long-term durability issues.

"

The durability concerns with Jones is related to his spinal stenosis. For anyone not aware, spinal stenosis is the narrowing of the spinal column.

Brugler isn't the only person who sees Jones falling. Search "Jarvis Jones value falling" and you'll see other links stating that Jones is going to fall in the draft.

Is this injury serious? Absolutely. That said, Jones was diagnosed with the mild case of spinal stenosis when he played football for USC in 2009. Since then, he went to Georgia and played outstanding football.

This season he finished with 14.5 sacks and 86 total tackles.

Jones is the best OLB/pass-rusher available in the draft, something that the team desperately needs.

Don't think that Jones is a one-trick pony though. He is effective against the run and is very good in coverage. On a team desperate for linebacker help, the Bills would be foolish to pass on Jarvis Jones if he passes the team's physical.

Jones may not have a 10-plus-year career in the NFL, but he'll be an impact starter from Day 1.

Round 2: Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas

I don't buy Tyler Wilson as a second-round quarterback. After Geno Smith, he is my next best available quarterback. That said, I use the most up-to-date projections when writing my mock drafts.

Many people feel that Wilson ranks behind not only Geno Smith, Mike Glennon and Matt Barkley. I agree with Geno Smith being the top available QB, but after that Wilson would be my next choice.

Mike Glennon is getting a lot of hype simply because his coach is Tom O'Brien. O'Brien coached Matt Ryan at Boston College and due to this, Glennon has been compared to Matt Ryan. 

I don't think this is fair to Glennon. While he has a great arm, Glennon will need to add plenty of weight to his 6'7" frame. He currently weighs 220 lbs., which is very undersized for the height. Ryan was a more polished product entering the NFL and Glennon has plenty of potential, but it's an unfair comparison.

Matt Barkley is actually a decent QB prospect in the NFL. Some people have knocked Barkley a lot this year due to USC's disappointing season, but his skill set has remained the same. He's a smart and very accurate QB. He can make most NFL throws, and I'd dare say all NFL throws if he plays for a warm-weather city or dome. However, he's not a great fit for Buffalo.

If Tyler Wilson actually falls to the second round and is available for Buffalo, he should be the pick.

Wilson had a very productive season at Arkansas following the loss of top three receivers from 2011 to the NFL draft and head coach Bobby Petrino being fired.

Wilson was able to overcome both of these obstacles and had a solid senior season where he threw for 3,387 yards, 21 TDs and 13 INTs. His completion percentage was 62.1 percent and he had a quarterback rating of 143.8.

In terms of playing at the next level, Wilson has the arm to make every NFL throw and his toughness cannot be argued. Is he a polished product? Absolutely not. That said, he will be a starting quarterback for some team and Buffalo would be wise to take him, especially if he's available in Round 2.

Round 3: Jordan Reed, TE, Florida

The third round is where the draft will get tricky for Buffalo.

If there's a WR with the potential to be a No. 1 receiver, then you pull the trigger. 

If not, Jordan Reed is a great Plan B.

Jordan Reed is a clone of Aaron Hernandez. He's just as much a wide receiver as he is a tight end.

After he catches the ball, he's extremely dangerous in open space. He has good speed for a tight end (4.62 40-yard dash). Reed would be a mismatch against most team's linebackers and third cornerbacks.

The biggest area of weakness for Reed is his blocking, but he is average in this regard.

If Doug Marrone wants to build a successful offense, adding a player like Reed is a good start. He adds another weapon to Buffalo's offense and when Scott Chandler returns to the lineup, the team will be a solid one-two punch at the position.

Round 4: Nico Johnson, ILB, Alabama

This mock draft is looking like an all-SEC draft and truly I didn't intend for this to happen. That said, Buddy Nix loves drafting players from the South.

Nico Johnson is an interesting player at ILB. Bleacher Report's own Matt Miller compares Johnson to Jon Beason of the Carolina Panthers.

The 6'2", 249-pound ILB certainly looks like an NFL linebacker. Johnson is known for his physical play against the run, and in this regard, he is a very solid prospect. The area where Johnson needs work is in coverage.

In the fourth round, you can't ask for a more intriguing prospect than Nico Johnson.

Much like Nigel Bradham, he'd likely start the season on the sidelines, but over the course of the season he'd get his chance to take the job of ILB from Kelvin Sheppard.

Round 5: Aaron Mellette, WR, Elon

Hey, a pick that doesn't play in the SEC!

I fully expect to hear that Buffalo needs to draft a WR before the fifth round of the NFL draft. You'd be right—if and only if Buffalo doesn't sign a WR in free agency.

Call it a hunch, but I think Buffalo explores every option on the market and signs a wide receiver that it feel can be an outside threat for the team.

As for Mellette, he has good size at 6'3" and 216 lbs. He runs a 4.53 40-yard dash. Mellette is very athletic and is known to be able to get up and catch the ball at its highest point.

He's certainly a project type of player, but he has No. 2 WR potential in the NFL.

If Buffalo does not sign a WR in free agency, expect the team to look for one earlier in the 2013 NFL draft.

Round 6: Terry Hawthorne, CB, Illinois

Terry Hawthorne is a late-round cornerback that has NFL speed. Hawthorne runs a 4.49 40-yard dash and is a ball-hawk corner. He will also have value on special teams in the NFL.

The biggest knock on Hawthorne is his height. At 6'0", Hawthorne doesn't have the ideal size that teams look for in a cornerback. However, many corners have succeeded over the years at this height.

Hawthorne didn't have the senior season at Illinois that many expected, but not much went right for Illinois at all in 2012 in its 2-10 campaign.

Hawthorne has a similar skill set to former teammate Tavon Wilson. While I had Wilson as a late-round pick, the New England Patriots selected him in the second round. Wilson probably won't hear his name that early, but with a strong combine and pro day, don't be surprised if Hawthorne moves up a round or even possibly two.

Remember, Buffalo does not have a seventh-round pick as it was sent as compensation in its trade with Seattle for Tarvaris Jackson.

There you have it, Bills fans! What do you think of the latest Bills mock draft done from a lovely Best Western on Super Bowl Sunday? Comment below and give me your thoughts on Twitter!

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