2012 NFL Mock Draft: Teams We Know Will Screw Up on Draft Day
As much as some teams seem to hit on their early picks in the NFL draft on a yearly basis, there are others that can never do anything right. Whether it a refusal to change their ways or a continued stroke of bad luck, several organizations always strike out.
There is something to be said for consistency, but being consistently bad is obviously never a good thing. There is always a chance that one of these teams will hit pay dirt and reverse its fortunes for years to come, but until that time it's best to expect it to fail.
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In addition to a full first-round mock draft, here is an analysis of some teams that are likely to flub their first-rounders on draft day.
1. Indianapolis Colts (2-14): Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
The Peyton Manning era is officially over as the future Hall of Famer signed with the Denver Broncos, so it's time for the Andrew Luck era to start in Indianapolis.
2. Washington Redskins (5-11): Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor (via STL)
While the cost may have been ridiculous, the Redskins did what they had to do in trading up to get their franchise savior in RG3.
3. Minnesota Vikings (3-13): Matt Kalil, OT, USC
Minnesota has plenty of holes to fill, but quarterback Christian Ponder needs a blindside protector and Kalil will be precisely that.
4. Cleveland Browns (4-12): Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama
The Browns won't be lucky enough to come away with an elite quarterback in this draft, so they'll take Richardson to fill the running back hole left by Peyton Hillis' departure.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-12): Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
Tampa Bay went on a spending binge in free agency, but there is still work to be done. Ronde Barber and Aqib Talib are question marks due to age and character respectively, so Claiborne is the pick.
6. St. Louis Rams (2-14): Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State (via WAS)
Although the draft hasn't even started, the Rams may be the winners as they picked up multiple first-rounders to move down four spots and they still get their man in Blackmon.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11): Quinton Coples, DE, UNC
The Jaguars are truly in disarray, but perhaps they can catch lightning in a bottle by pairing Jeremy Mincey with Coples to form an exciting pass-rush duo.
8. Miami Dolphins (6-10): Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
The offseason began with a great deal of excitement for the Miami Dolphins as it looked like they had a fantastic opportunity to make big improvements. What happened instead, though, is they traded troubled, yet talented wide receiver Brandon Marshall to the Chicago Bears and failed to land former Indianapolis Colts quarterback Peyton Manning.
This leaves them in a worse spot than they were last year. The fans were expecting some sort of major splash, but that hasn't come to fruition, to say the least. It looks like Matt Moore will remain the starter at quarterback, although Miami brought in the less-than-thrilling David Garrard to compete with him. With all of that said, the Dolphins need to make a big splash at the draft.
Rather than getting a franchise-defining player, however, I project the Dolphins to select Iowa offensive tackle Riley Reiff. While Reiff has the potential to be a very good tackle in the league, he isn't exactly a great consolation prize for Dolphins fans that were expecting more. Also, Miami already has Jake Long on the left side, so Reiff will only be a right tackle. The better pick would probably be Notre Dame receiver Michael Floyd to replace Marshall.
9. Carolina Panthers (6-10): Michael Brockers, DT, LSU
The Panthers desperately need to beef up the middle of their defense, so an explosive tackle like Brockers is the obvious choice.
10. Buffalo Bills (6-10): Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
Buffalo now has a dominant defensive line after signing Mario Williams, so the next logical move is to get wide receiver Stevie Johnson a complement in Floyd.
11. Kansas City Chiefs (7-9): Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
The Chiefs addressed their offensive line by signing Eric Winston, but there are still holes to fill, so Martin makes a lot of sense here.
12. Seattle Seahawks (7-9): Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
Seattle should be looking for the best 4-3 defensive end available at this spot to pair with Chris Clemons, and that happens to be Ingram.
13. Arizona Cardinals (8-8): Luke Kuechly, ILB, Boston College
The Cardinals need somebody who can anchor their defense, and while he may not be the most athletic guy, Kuechly can be their heart and soul at linebacker.
14. Dallas Cowboys (8-7): Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama
Every year it becomes more and more obvious that Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones is clueless when it comes to evaluating personnel. He seems to become infatuated by a player's athleticism, but he doesn't take any other factors into account. I expect that to be the case once again in this year's draft as he takes a major risk by selecting Alabama cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick.
There is no denying Kirkpatrick's ability as he is a natural athlete who excels in coverage and against the run, but there are plenty of red flags. The biggest is Kirkpatrick's character as he was arrested for marijuana possession. While it's possible it could be a one-time offense and that he'll be a model citizen, there is always reason to worry when somebody enters the league with a criminal record.
Kirkpatrick plays a position of need and the other option is another troubled player in Janoris Jenkins, so the Cowboys may have to pull the trigger on it. They could always trade down a couple spots and take an interior lineman like David DeCastro or Peter Konz, though, since that is also a need. Ultimately, Kirkpatrick could very well turn out to be a major bust.
15. Philadelphia Eagles (8-8): Mark Barron, S, Alabama
Most of the Eagles' needs reside on defense, and while there isn't a linebacker worth taking at this point, the top safety in the form of Barron would be a big help.
16. New York Jets (8-8): Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB, Alabama
As bad as the Jets' offense can be, the defense took a step back too, so a pass-rusher such as Upshaw would be a great addition.
17. Cincinnati Bengals (via OAK 8-8): Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
The Bengals have a great group of solid, young players on offense and a speedster like Wright would give quarterback Andy Dalton another dangerous target.
18. San Diego Chargers (8-8): David DeCastro, OG, Stanford
Long-time guard Kris Dielman retired, so the Chargers must make it a priority to replace him with a potential stud like DeCastro.
19. Chicago Bears (8-8): Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
The Bears addressed their big wide receiver need by dealing for Brandon Marshall, so now they will solidify the middle of their offensive line with Konz.
20. Tennessee Titans (9-7): Devon Still, DT, Penn State
Although he was a bust after he left, the Titans lost an important dimension to their defense when they lost Albert Haynesworth. They'll hope that Still can fill that void.
21. Cincinnati Bengals (9-7): Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama
It probably isn't the best idea for the Bengals of all teams to take a player with character concerns, but Jenkins can be an elite player at a position of need.
22. Cleveland Browns (via ATL 10-6): Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State
Since their re-entry into the league, the Cleveland Browns have been one of the most futile teams in football. There aren't any signs of things turning around soon either as they are stuck in a division with three playoff teams in the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals. The Browns have two picks in the first round, but I don't have confidence that they will make them count.
Their first projected pick of Alabama running back Trent Richardson isn't inherently bad as he has a lot of talent, but running backs simply don't have top-five value any more. An even worse pick, however, would be Ohio State offensive tackle Mike Adams at No. 22. The Browns need some help on the right side of the offensive line, but they could use a playmaker at wide receiver or in the defensive front seven even more.
You might say that the Browns have already blown the draft by not moving up to No. 2 to take Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III. It looks like Cleveland will stick with Colt McCoy, but he hasn't shown anything that would suggest that he can be a big-time NFL quarterback. The price to move up would have been steep, but it would have been worth it for a downtrodden franchise like the Browns.
23. Detroit Lions (10-6): Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska
Detroit's biggest need unquestionably lies in the secondary, and while it may be a bit of a reach, a physical corner like Dennard is a must.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4): Dontari Poe, NT, Memphis
With nose tackle Casey Hampton dealing with an ACL injury, the Steelers desperately need a new anchor for their 3-4 defense, and Poe is a perfect fit.
25. Denver Broncos (8-8): Coby Fleener, TE, Stanford
Peyton Manning will have a couple decent options to throw to at wide receiver, but the Broncos have to address the tight end position with a player like Fleener.
26. Houston Texans (10-6): Stephen Hill, WR, Georgia Tech
Wide receiver Andre Johnson has been a one-man show for too long for the Texans, so it's time to bring in a big, athletic complement like Hill.
27. New England Patriots (via NO 13-3): Whitney Mercilus, DE/OLB, Illinois
The Patriots are quite used to picking at this juncture and they are also used to getting steals. Mercilus will be the latest in a long line of them.
28. Green Bay Packers (15-1): Vinny Curry, OLB, Marshall
With opposing offenses scheming to stop Clay Matthews last season, he struggled. A pass-rushing complement like Curry would be a major help.
29. Baltimore Ravens (12-4): Dont’a Hightower, LB, Alabama
While a linebacker like Hightower may not be the Ravens' biggest need, he has the potential to develop into a great under Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs.
30. San Francisco 49ers (13-3): Cordy Glenn, OG, Georgia
It's really tough to find many weaknesses on the San Francisco 49ers, but a big, nasty guard like Glenn would really round out the offensive line.
31. New England Patriots (13-3): Fletcher Cox, DL, Mississippi State
New England needs plenty of help on defense, and Cox would add some much needed-depth along the defensive line.
32. New York Giants (9-7): Dwayne Allen, TE, Clemson
The Giants signed Martellus Bennett, but with both Jake Ballard and Travis Beckum out, a second tight end like Allen is a major need.

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