Vikings vs. Broncos: Updated Odds, Money Line, Spread, Props to Watch for SNF
A suddenly dangerous Denver Broncos team meets the resilient Minnesota Vikings in an intriguing Sunday Night Football matchup this week that could have playoff ramifications in both conferences.
To mention the Broncos and the playoffs in the same sentence just a few weeks ago would have been laughable. However, they've rallied from a 1-5 start to 4-5 and Teams 7-14 in the AFC are all separated by just one game.
The Broncos have to keep winning, but the postseason is not out of reach.
Many wrote off the Vikings chances when Kirk Cousins went down with a torn Achilles. Then Josh Dobbs picked up right where he left off and has continued their current winning streak, extending it to five games.
With both teams playing really well right now, this is going to be a fun one that's prime to draw plenty of betting action.
Here's a look at the game from that perspective along with some prop bets to target as we cap off Sunday's action.
Schedule and Odds
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Date: Sunday, Nov. 12 at 8:20 p.m. ET
Watch: NBC/Peacock
Moneyline: Broncos -155 ($155 wager wins $100); Vikings +130 ($100 wager wins $130)
Spread: Broncos -2.5
Over/Under: 42.5
Odds from DraftKings.
Preview and Prediction
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The Broncos come in as the slight favorite and it shouldn't be all that surprising. After taking down the Chiefs and Bill in back-to-back games, there are a lot of reasons to be high on Sean Payton's team right now.
Russell Wilson has been key to the Broncos offense since they traded for him last season and this is the best he's looked in Denver. He isn't throwing for mind-boggling totals, but he's taking care of the football and has five touchdowns to no interceptions in the last two weeks.
A dedication to running the ball has worked wonders. The ground game hasn't been all that efficient over the last two weeks, but it's made the offense more consistent. They have 78 rushing attempts for 275 yards over the last two weeks.
That's where this matchup will get interesting because the Vikings have a better run defense than both the Bills and the Chiefs at this point. The Vikings are fourth in yards allowed per carry at just 3.7.
While Wilson has played better and the Broncos have rallied behind the run game on offense, it's the defense that has deserved most of the credit for this win streak. Facing Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen in their last tow games they gave up just 417 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions.
Combine that with the ability to grind some clock and the Broncos have their recipe for success.
The question is whether Josh Dobbs will throw those interceptions that Denver can take advantage of. Through two games with the Vikings he hasn't thrown any interception, but he had two games with two interceptions while starting for the Cardinals earlier this season.
With the return of Justin Jefferson, Dobbs' recent play and the Vikings run defense, there's a good case to be made that the Vikings have what it takes to pull off the mild upset.
Prediction: Vikings +2, Over
Props to Watch
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Javonte Williams Under 67.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
At first glance, this line looks a little low. As noted earlier, the Broncos have been dedicated to the ground game even if it's not working all that well and that has allowed Javonte Williams to clear this line in three consecutive games.
Over the last two weeks he's seen 48 carries and has 164 yards (3.4 yards per carry). However, the Vikings run defense is the best that the Broncos have seen in this stretch. They haven't given up this many rushing yards to back since D'Andre Swift in Week 2.
Josh Dobbs Under 31.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Here's another case where the books are trying to lure bettors into something that looks like easy money. Dobbs has rushed for 44 and 66 yards in his first two games with the team and he's cleared this line in seven games this season.
However, the Broncos have been really good about keeping quarterbacks bottled up this season. Josh Allen ran for just 13 yards last week, Mahomes had 20 the week before and Justin Fields was held to 25 all the way back in Week 4.
Baron Browning Over 0.25 Sacks (+145)
In the two games that Dobbs has been the starter for the Vikings this season he has been sacked four times. That includes three in his first week against a Falcons pass rush that isn't exactly one of the best in the league.
Baron Browning is just hitting his stride. After sitting out the first two weeks of the season Browning has made his return to the lineup and had a two-sack game against the Kansas City Chiefs two weeks ago. Browning has a 17 percent pressure rate, per Sports Info Solutions. That's an elite number that is bound to lead to more sacks in the near future.
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