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College Football Predictions: 5 Teams That Will Cover the Spread in Week 5

Tim LewisOct 7, 2011

After going 4-1 on picks against the spread in Week 1, I've returned from a temporary hiatus to bring you my Week 5 locks of the week.

Things are much tougher now than they were in Week 1, when you could easily determine which of the heavy favorites were not favored by nearly enough points.  

Now that the odds-makers have settled in and collected enough data to really get dialed in, it takes a little more research to find those spreads that seem just a little off.

Let's take a look at five games where we think we might have found an edge...

5. Oklahoma -10.5 at Texas

1 of 5

Sorry, Texas fans, but we all know you haven't played anyone yet and you definitely are not the 11th best team in the nation. That ranking is based purely on reputation.

Now, you are set to face an Oklahoma Sooners team that dominated a really talented Florida State team in Week 2 and is considered by many to be the most talented team in America.

The only reason this spread is only 10.5 is because the game is being played at Texas, and it's a "rivalry" game.

This one will not be close folks...

Final Score: Oklahoma 45 Texas 17

4. Illinois -14.5 at Indiana

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I have no idea why this spread is only 14.5 points.

Illinois is undefeated through five games (all played at home), defeating a good Arizona State team and a Northwestern team that will hang with Michigan this week in Evanston.

Indiana, on the other hand, is 1-4 with losses to such powerhouses as Ball State and North Texas.  I don't doubt that Indiana football has a bright future with Kevin Wilson at the helm and All-American quarterback Gunner Kiel on the way next year.

However, the future is not now for the Hoosiers, and this game will be a complete blowout.  IU has significant injuries on both sides of the ball, including one to their starting quarterback, Edward Wright-Baker.

Final Score: Illinois 49 Indiana 10 

3. Clemson -20.5 vs. Boston College

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Boy, do I love this spread.

On one side we have a Clemson team that is without a doubt one of the best teams in the nation, with three straight wins over ranked opponents (Auburn, Florida State and Virginia Tech).

So if Clemson can win at Virgina Tech by 20 points last weekend, do you think they can beat an absolutely awful Boston College team at home by 21?

Boston College has lost to UCF, Duke and Wake Forest.  Is this spread right?  What is going on here? Is someone playing a trick on us?

Final Score: Clemson 41 Boston College 13

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2. Baylor -15 vs. Iowa State

4 of 5

Robert Griffin and the Baylor Bears came crashing back down to earth last week in a heartbreaking 36-35 loss at Kansas State.

I think it's safe to say that the Bears will be fired up to play in front of their home crowd and will likely take their frustrations out on the Iowa State Cyclones.

And somewhere in this article we have to mention the ridiculousness of Griffin's 18 touchdown passes to 20 incompletions, right?

Iowa State lost last week at home by 23 to Texas. They are not going to do any better than that on the road this weekend.

Final Score: Baylor 44 Iowa State 17

1. Auburn +10 at Arkansas

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Wait, what?  Why?

Shouldn't this spread be three points?  Why is it 10?  Could someone explain this to me, please?

What exactly do we know about these two teams other than the both got blown out on the road against two of the best teams in the country.  

Auburn lost by 14 at Clemson and Arkansas lost by 24 at Alabama.  So what does that mean(besides absolutely nothing) when trying to determine the outcome of this game?

Not a whole lot, other than the fact that these two teams are basically dead even and this spread has no business being that high. 

Is there any doubt that this is going to be your typical down to the wire SEC game where one team grinds out a win in the closing seconds?  It seems like the Auburn money-line might be the play here, folks.

Final Score: Auburn 27, Arkansas 24

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