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New England Patriots vs Oakland Raiders: Last-Minute Spread Info and Prediction

Matt FaulconerOct 2, 2011

The New England Patriots need to bounce back against the Oakland Raiders this week after a devastating loss to the Buffalo Bills last week

The Patriots defense was awful last week, and Tom Brady was unlucky to throw four interceptions in the game.

The Raiders knocked off the New York Jets in Week 3 behind the legs of Darren McFadden, and will be looking to knock off two straight AFC East teams.

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Where:
Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum (Oakland, California)

When: Sun, Oct. 2 at 4:15 p.m. EDT

Watch: CBS, DirecTV Sunday Ticket 716


Over/Under:
55

Both these teams should easily top 30 points this week. The Patriots offense is dynamite, while the Patriots defense loves to self-implode.

Don't expect anything to change this week, as McFadden and the Raiders offense should rack up enough points to send this game over.


Betting Line:
New England (-5)

This is a very tough game to predict. The Patriots haven't lost two games in a row since 2009, which was the only time they had lost two in a row since 2006.

The Raiders aren't going to win this game, but they could keep it close enough to cover the spread. However, Patrick Chung is returning to the secondary this week, and his return should be enough to slow down the Raiders aerial attack.

Look for the Patriots to cover the spread by the thinnest of margins.


Key Injuries

Here is the official injury report for each team according to NFL.com,

Logan MankinsGIllnessLimited Participation in Practice--
Jerod MayoLBThighLimited Participation in Practice--
Zoltan MeskoPleft KneeLimited Participation in Practice--
Aaron HernandezTEKneeDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Sebastian VollmerTBackDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Mike WrightDEConcussionDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Albert HaynesworthDEBackDid Not Participate In PracticeQuestionable
Kyle ArringtonCBChestLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Leigh BoddenCBGroinLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Patrick ChungSHandLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Ras-I DowlingCBHipLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Shaun EllisDEKneeLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Gary GuytonLBHamstringLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Taylor PriceWRHamstringLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Ryan WendellCCalfLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Josh BarrettSThumbFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Dane FletcherLBThumbFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Chris JohnsonCBHamstringDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Louis MurphyWRGroinDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Ricky BrownLBConcussionDid Not Participate In PracticeQuestionable
Michael HuffSConcussionDid Not Participate In PracticeQuestionable
Marcel ReeceRBAnkleDid Not Participate In PracticeQuestionable
Matt ShaughnessyDEShoulderDid Not Participate In PracticeQuestionable
Jacoby FordWRHamstringLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Michael MitchellSKneeLimited Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Jerome BoydSKneeFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Matt GiordanoSShoulderFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Quentin GrovesLBQuadricepFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Darren McFaddenRBShoulderFull Participation in PracticeProbable
DeMarcus Van DykeCBKneeFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Jason CampbellQBFootLimited Participation in PracticeProbable
Chimdi ChekwaCBHamstringLimited Participation in PracticeProbable



Fantasy Big Plays

Tom Brady

Tom Brady is one of the few extremely elite fantasy quarterbacks and is a must-start each and every week.

Even though the Oakland Raiders defense has been solid this year, Brady will find a way to exploit them like he does every other secondary.

Darren McFadden

The entire New England Patriots defense has been horrible this year, and that won't change this week. McFadden will find a way to pick up yards both on the ground and through the air.

He is one of the most explosive running backs in the NFL and has finally reached his potential.

Expect another big week out of D-Mac.


Key to Patriots Win

The Patriots need to get pressure on Jason Campbell. The team has struggled in pass protection this year, but Campbell has a tendency to struggle with pressure in his face.

If the Patriots can get to Campbell and slow down the passing game, they should be able to come away with a victory this week.


Key to Raiders Win

The Raiders need to run the ball and keep it out of Tom Brady's hands. If the Raiders are able to dominate on the ground, they will be able to wear down the Patriots defense and keep their own defense fresh.

Getting a victory here would be huge for the Raiders, who would be 3-1 after the first four weeks of the season.


Prediction

New England 34
Oakland Raiders 27

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