
2011 NFL Schedule: A Game-by-Game Look at the Minnesota Vikings' Chances
The NFL has released its 2011 regular season schedule, and with that anticipation being quenched, it’s time to look at the Minnesota Vikings' schedule and the expectations of how they will fare in the NFC North.
As fans, we fantasize about our team’s success, winning the division and possibly representing our conference in the Super Bowl, but there is a little word called "reality" that overcomes fantasy every single time.
The reality for Minnesota is their quarterback situation. As of this writing, is it Joe Webb? Will we have free agency and possibly get a veteran in McNabb or Hasselbeck? Maybe there’s a trade for a younger veteran like Kolb.
One thing is for sure, in about a week, we will see how the Vikings address the quarterback position, so I reserve the right to revise my predictions after the draft.
Okay, to the schedule. 2010 is long gone, thank God, and a new fourth-place schedule looms for 2011.
The first things I look for right off the bat are when do we play our division rivals and when is the bye week. The Vikings are fortunate to have their bye week right after Game 8 on Nov. 7, and their divisional games, other than the Packers, appear to be equally spread out.
So, with our divisional rivals waiting, and the bye week splitting the year, here is a look at the two halves of the season.
Week 1: San Diego Chargers
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In Week 1, the Vikings face a tough road test at San Diego.
The Vikings have one thing going for them in this game, and that is preparation. Plus, the Chargers are notoriously slow starters; however, San Diego will be excited to have their first game at home in a number of years.
Result: Loss
Week 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Despite the Bucs nearly making the playoffs, a look at their fourth-place schedule a year ago can explain their success.
But the Bucs are a team on the rise, and Minnesota needs to be careful here. They lost their last game to the Bucs at home, and with the Dolphins in town for Week 2 last year, Minnesota lost, so it is imperative the Vikings get off to a good start with a nice home win and don't get into that 0-2 hole.
The Bucs could be thinking about Week 3 versus the Falcons, so the Vikings manage to pull this one out.
Result: Win
Week 3: Detroit Lions
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The Vikings get to enjoy home cooking for the second consecutive week and hope to avenge last season’s final debacle at Ford Field.
The Lions are improving, but Minnesota gets a turnover late to secure the win.
Result: Win
Week 4: Kansas City Chiefs
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This is an interesting game because there are two forces working here.
One, the Chiefs are the reigning AFC West champs, but many feel they did it with smoke and mirrors.
Secondly, the Chiefs are just coming off a road game against the Chargers, and next week face the Colts on the road, so if there is a trap game, this could be it.
The Chiefs are a good team, especially at home. I don’t see Minnesota having enough to overcome the road test.
Result: Loss
Week 5: Arizona Cardinals
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The Cardinals are in a situation similar to Minnesota; who will be under center?
It seems like every other year these teams play one another and the road team wins, but Minnesota has the better defense and manages to have a strong performance from Peterson to win at home.
Result: Win
Week 6: Chicago Bears
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At this point in the season, most teams have things figured out.
For the Bears the big question remains, how will Cutler be performing by Week 6? The Bears face the Falcons, Saints and Packers in the first three games, then catch a break with the Panthers and Lions before facing the Vikings. Although the Lions game is on the road, the schedule favors the Bears through the first six weeks with four of those six games at home.
Vikings fans would love to see Minnesota steal one at Soldier Field, but at this point, the Bears have the stronger team, and dare I say it, the stronger quarterback.
Minnesota makes a close game of it, but the Bears score late to win by 10.
Result: Loss
Week 7: Green Bay Packers
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The Super Bowl champs come to town with great confidence.
The Packers are most likely 5-1, at worst 4-2, as they roll into the new-look dome. The Packers' schedule, up to this point, is very much like that of the Bears: Falcons, Saints and Bears, with the Rams, Broncos and Panthers as the other three games.
If there is a game to steal, it would be this one, but Minnesota lacks the firepower to make it happen.
Result: Loss
Week 8: Carolina Panthers
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I cannot recall the amount of games in one season where the Vikings could face so many teams with first or second-year quarterbacks. Of course, the same could be said for the Vikings if they have to go with Joe Webb or a possible quarterback they select in the 2011 NFL Draft.
Here is another example of where the Vikings will face either a rookie in Cam Newton or Blaine Gabbert, or second-year man Jimmy Clausen. And who knows, the Panthers could vie for veterans McNabb and Hasselbeck, or even trade for Orton or Kolb, but that is all speculation as we peer six months into the future.
Even though the Panthers are reorganizing, the Vikings cannot assume this is a victory. Carolina is a tough team at home, but Minnesota manages to run well against them to win a tight, low-scoring game.
Result: Win
Week 9: First Half Recap
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A lot of early season success or failure will rest mostly on the offensive side of the ball. I believe Minnesota's defense will be much improved as Griffin and Cook solidify the corner position and the linebackers become more active under Singletary.
Also, a resurgent Allen and co. will put fear into offenses once again. The schedule layout is pretty good so far with four home games and four away games.
Minnesota so far has faced all three division opponents and could stand at 2-1 or 1-2; I have them at 1-2 with losses to the Bears and Packers, and a win over Detroit.
With four away and four home, I have them losing one at home, but winning one on the road. Road games at Chicago, San Diego and Kansas City are difficult places to win. Playoff teams can manage those types of wins, and need to in order to be playoff worthy, but at this point, the Vikings are not playoff material.
First Eight Games: 4-4
Week 10: Green Bay Packers
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Sometimes life isn’t fair, and to have to play the Super Bowl champs twice in three weeks is a sure sign the football gods are not in your corner.
Despite the bye week, going on the road, this game should be a no-brainer—unless injuries have set in for the Packers.
The Vikings play the Packers tough, but home-field advantage just proves to be too much. Rodgers hits Jennings for a crucial touchdown and a costly turnover ruins the upset.
Result: Loss
Week 11: Oakland Raiders
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This is a tricky game because the Raiders won all of their divisional games last year, but struggled outside the AFC West. The Raiders are an enigma, so confusion sets in, and Oakland wants to get back home after coming off a physical loss to the Chargers the week before.
Result: Win
Week 12: Atlanta Falcons
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Staunch opponents in Weeks 9 with Indianapolis (road) and the Saints (home) in Week 10 test the Falcons' playoff push, and Atlanta could be licking their wounds a bit. But they get the Saints at home, followed by the Titans, then the Vikings come strolling into "Hot"lanta.
The Falcons are flying high, and with this being their third consecutive home game, they feast on the Vikings before heading on the road to Houston.
Result: Loss
Week 13: Denver Broncos
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Tim Tebow or Kyle Orton? Heck, maybe even Brady Quinn—uh, don't think so.
As of now, the only people who have an idea as to who the man under center will be are Broncos coaches and management.
And no, the Broncos are not going to draft a quarterback at No. 2. If you have seen someone's mock draft that says that, please run as fast as you can away from that person's idea of a mock draft; or maybe it's their "mockery" draft.
This is yet another game where the Vikings could be facing a second-year quarterback, but my money is on Orton as the signal-caller.
The biggest question looming for the Broncos is, can Fox turn Denver around quickly? The Broncos have some very good pieces, and it is obvious that McDaniels was a disaster for them.
Minnesota gets a turnover late in the fourth quarter and converts it into points. December has begun, and the Vikings get off to a good start.
Result: Win
Week 14: Detroit Lions
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Will he or won't he?
Matthew Stafford, the NFL's No. 1 pick of 2009, has thus far been struck by the injury bug, and sometimes that just plagues a man's career. This year will tell the Lions a lot about their $50 million investment. I wonder if the Ford family could get a bailout if Stafford fails out? Hmm....
Well, it's put up or shut up time for most teams, and right now the Vikings are making some noise, but not enough to put them in the playoff conversation; conversely, the Lions are in the same spot.
Week 3 the Vikings got the best of the Lions, but Week 13 disappoints when Minnesota returns the turnover or special teams favor.
Result: Loss
Week 15: New Orleans Saints
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"Oh when the Saints, oh when the Saints, oh when the Saints come marching in."
I'm sure you were singing that; it's OK to admit it, so was I.
This is a watershed game for the Vikings because they lost a heartbreaker the week before, and the Saints face off against the Falcons the next week to avenge an earlier loss to them.
There’s a chance the Vikings could finish strong, and they really want the Saints at home, as they are tired of the Superdome and two crushing losses. They respond with one of their best games of the year.
Result: Win
Week 16: Washington Redskins
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Who are the Redskins at this point? And to make matters worse, Congress may actually have a better opinion poll than this Washington team.
Now, I could be wrong, but if Grossman is the quarterback, who is the running back, and so on? See my point? The Redskins are stuck in a holding pattern.
Obviously, we have two teams that are rebuilding, but Minnesota has more parts working together right now.
Result: Win
Week 17: Chicago Bears
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Minnesota has a chance to either prevent the Bears from making the playoffs or winning the division if they can win this final game.
The Vikings have made good strides at this point. The defense is playing solidly, and the offense is beginning to have an identity. Free agent quarterback Matt Hasselbeck has played well enough to hold the ship steady, paving the way for next year's possible starter Andy Dalton—or maybe Christian Ponder—or maybe Jake Locker.
Result: Win
Season's Final Notes: A Step Forward or Backward?
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Over the course of the final eight games, Minnesota goes 5-3, giving them an overall record of 9-7 and third place in the NFC North.
The 2011 season is now over. Six teams from each conference are headed to the playoffs, while Minnesota packs it in for a second straight year, but all is not lost.
The Vikings have made great strides on defense with the steady play of its front seven, the emergence of Everson Griffen at left end and Greenway's (newly-elected All-Pro selection) monster year. Rookie free safety Quinton Carter has solidified his position as starter, and free agent Manny Lawson has complemented Henderson and Greenway nicely.
As for the offense, Hasselbeck has been solid, and Peterson is the NFC's leading rusher once again. Rookie wideout Austin Pettis (Boise State) or Stephen Burton (West Texas A&M) surprised by being effective and another weapon for the offense. Another plus is Harvin only misses one game with migraines and is a perennial All-Pro.
Realistically, the Vikings are looking at 8-8, but if they click and surprise in some games, they could go 10-6. But with the Bears and Packers leading the way right now, Minnesota can only hope either of those teams does not repeat the magic of 2010. So much depends on the draft and (possible) free-agency pickups, so who knows right now.
Of course this is all speculation. I might be about as right as a three-year-old trying to explain quantum physics. I might be scary right and warrant a "psychic" evaluation or at the very least a television appearance on one of those Dr. shows. Either way, it's been fun putting this together. I always welcome comments and suggestions.
To find out what I think about all the teams in the NFC North, check out my soon-to-be released article on NFC North predictions.
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