EPL Gameweek 15: Tracking the True Form of Each Team
For the first time since each team was on zero games, we have a new leader at the top of the table, with Manchester United taking the top spot from the faltering Chelsea and Arsenal not too far behind.
This is, in essence, ranking the teams in form. But I will be adding a bit of a change to it. Of course form is important, but the more recent results in this run outweigh the latter results.
While it would be easy to just say W-W-D-D-L-L and tab up the points, I am going to account for the time since the result too.
This shows up as a points coefficient (named to sound cool) which will be out of three. Essentially, based on the form from their past six games, this reflects the number of points per game they would be averaging. This will be put onto every page, also along with a the projected number of points for continuing this run of form. Finally, there is a projected table on the final slide.
Thank you for the comments from last week, and please don't hesitate to comment on how you found this.
This will be updated every game week Tuesday or, in the case of a midweek game, Friday. Thanks for the positive view count I had from last week. Hopefully I can improve on that this week.
~Beru.
20. Wigan Athletic [18th]
1 of 21
Last Week: 16th [0.89]
Last Six Games: L-L-D-W-L-L
Points Coefficient: 0.69
Projected Points: 30
Next Game: Stoke (H)
This was a game they really needed to win, and now they are in serious trouble. Stoke at home, and even the games after that will be what defines the rest of their season. What will they make of it?
19. West Bromwich Albion [12th]
2 of 21
Last Week: 19th [0.51]
Last Six Games: L-L-D-L-L-W
Points Coefficient: 0.82
Projected Points: 38
Next Game: Newcastle (H)
This has been a mixed week for the Baggies—dumped out of the Cup to Ipswich but winning 4-1 against Everton. They know that they can get a result at Newcastle, but will they is the question. Can they ride on the win which sees them back away from the drop zone?
18. Everton [16th]
3 of 21
Last Week: 14th [1.07]
Last Six Games: W-D-D-L-D-L
Points Coefficient: 0.82
Projected Points: 35
Next Game: Chelsea (A)
If there is ever a time to want to face Chelsea, it is now. However, they didn't do their game any favours against West Brom at the weekend, and they really do need to step it up a bit as they travel to Stamford Bridge.
17. Fulham [17th]
4 of 21
Last Week: 17th [0.76]
Last Six Games: W-D-L-D-L-D
Points Coefficient: 0.87
Projected Points: 35
Next Game: Arsenal (A)
It's been a tough run of games for Fulham. They are still drawing their fair share. But a point a game will not be enough to survive usually; they need to win games. Unfortunately for them, they have a trip to the Emirates next.
16. Aston Villa [15th]
5 of 21
Last Week: 15th [1.02]
Last Six Games: D-D-W-D-L-L
Points Coefficient: 0.89
Projected Points: 37
Next Game: Liverpool (A)
Despite the results going against Villa, I think that it's not as bad as it looks. They have a whole midfield out injured, and they are relying on the youth to put in performances. It was a tough loss to Arsenal, and it will be just as tough away to Liverpool.
15. Wolverhampton Wanderers [19th]
6 of 21
Last Week: 20th [0.40]
Last Six Games: W-L-L-L-L-W
Points Coefficient: 1.00
Projected Points: 35
Next Game: Blackburn (A)
It was a fun game to watch at the weekend, as Wolves managed to get the win against Sunderland. Whether or not this will run into Ewood Park will be found out soon enough, however.
14. Chelsea [Second]
7 of 21
Last Week: 13th [1.27]
Last Six Games: W-L-W-L-L-D
Points Coefficient: 1.02
Projected Points: 53
Next Game: Everton (H)
Four points in five games. Whatever is going on behind the doors of Chelsea needs to be sorted out quickly. They have lost their top spot, and if they don't pick themselves up against Everton, then who knows what will happen? Surely it can't get worse.
13. West Ham United [20th]
8 of 21
Last Week: 18th [0.53]
Last Six Games: L-D-D-D-L-W
Points Coefficient: 1.13
Projected Points: 38
Next Game: Sunderland (A)
Well, anything that could go right for the Hammers this week did. They beat Wigan in a crucial bottom of the table match and then crushed an albeit weaker Manchester United team 4-0 in the Carling Cup to set up a semifinal tie against Birmingham City. They very well could beat Sunderland at the weekend.
12. Newcastle United [Ninth]
9 of 21
Last Week: 12th [1.40]
Last Six Games: W-W-L-D-L-D
Points Coefficient: 1.13
Projected Points: 45
Next Game: West Brom (A)
Newcastle did well to get a point against Chelsea, and while West Brom will be a tough battle, this really could go either way for the two teams playing. A win here would do very nicely for the Magpies though.
11. Birmingham City [14th]
10 of 21
Last Week: 10th [1.49]
Last Six Games: D-D-L-D-W-D
Points Coefficient: 1.24
Projected Points: 46
Next Game: Tottenham (H)
Hopefully the crowd should not be an issue this time around. Birmingham are playing well at the moment, and a win over Aston Villa midweek might see them push the Spurs to the end.
10. Sunderland [Seventh]
11 of 21
Last Week: Sixth [1.80]
Last Six Games: L-W-D-W-D-L
Points Coefficient: 1.29
Projected Points: 50
Next Game: West Ham (H)
They lost a tough game to the Wolves at the weekend, and they need to pick themselves up and try to put away another bottom team who are on an all game run, West Ham.
T9. Blackpool [11th]
12 of 21
Last Week: 11th [1.42]
Last Six Games: W-D-L-D-W-D
Points Coefficient: 1.47
Projected Points: 53
Next Game: Man United (H)
Always full of surprises, Blackpool let slip a 2-0 lead to Bolton as they held on for a draw. They now go to face Man United in the Saturday late kickoff. Can they spring yet another big shock and put away the new title leaders?
T9. Blackburn Rovers [13th]
13 of 21
Last Week: Seventh [1.67]
Last Six Games: L-W-W-L-W-L
Points Coefficient: 1.47
Projected Points: 52
Next Game: Wolverhampton (H)
How they come back against Wolves will determine their month, I feel. They were taken apart by United at the weekend, but you must remember that they are United. Whether their mentality will be the same will be found out come Saturday.
7. Liverpool [10th]
14 of 21
Last Week: Second [2.04]
Last Six Games: W-W-D-L-W-L
Points Coefficient: 1.49
Projected Points: 53
Next Game: Aston Villa (H)
They lost to a tough Tottenham team at the weekend, but now they have to move on and face the inexperienced Aston Villa team and their multitude of academy players on Monday. This is never going to be as clear-cut as it seems, and we will have to tune in to see if the Gerard Houllier factor will affect them.
6. Manchester City [Fourth]
15 of 21
Last Week: Ninth [1.51]
Last Six Games: L-W-D-D-W-D
Points Coefficient: 1.56
Projected Points: 62
Next Game: Bolton (H)
Even though they lost a late lead at the weekend, it is still five games unbeaten, and a 3-0 win midweek will certainly not hinder them. They host a flying Bolton side who must not be taken lightly; otherwise this could be a tough day for them.
5. Stoke City [Eighth]
16 of 21
Last Week: Fifth [1.80]
Last Six Games: L-L-W-W-W-D
Points Coefficient: 1.82
Projected Points: 62
Next Game: Wigan (A)
On the other hand, they will feel pleased with pulling back a point at home against Man City, and they have to go to Wigan and keep their four games unbeaten streak alive. Wigan know that they have to give it their all, so Stoke need to weather the storm.
4. Bolton Wanderers [Sixth]
17 of 21
Last Week: Third [2.02]
Last Six Games: L-W-D-W-W-D
Points Coefficient: 1.91
Projected Points: 67
Next Game: Man City (A)
They just don't give up, this team, and when people compared their second goal to Real Madrid, I would agree, it was a lovely equaliser. Now they have to go to Eastlands and keep up this run. A win against Man City could see them into the Top Four. Now that is a thought.
3. Tottenham Hotspurs [Fifth]
18 of 21
Last Week: Eighth [1.56]
Last Six Games: L-L-D-W-W-W
Points Coefficient: 1.96
Projected Points: 70
Next Game: Birmingham (A)
They pulled the win out of Liverpool at the weekend and now see themselves fifth and only one point away from the Top Four spot they took last season. They have to beat Birmingham City away, however, and that will be a tough test, as St. Andrews is not a nice place to go to.
2. Arsenal [Third]
19 of 21
Last Week: Fourth [1.87]
Last Six Games: W-L-W-W-L-W
Points Coefficient: 2.00
Projected Points: 75
Next Game: Fulham (H)
Arsenal held on to win 4-2 at Villa Park, and they see themselves two points behind the top spot in a share for second place. They host Fulham, the Premier League's draw specialists, and can they come out with a win? We will have to wait.
1. Manchester United [First]
20 of 21
Last Week: First [2.24]
Last Six Games: W-W-D-D-W-W
Points Coefficient: 2.33
Projected Points: 85
Next Game: Blackpool (A)
48 hours ago, when I would have had this up had I not been swamped with work, etc., I would have said how Man United were on fire. But 4-0 to West Ham—I know it's not the league, or the full team, but when you lose 4-0, it will affect you. And when you are up against an unpredictable team like Blackpool, you need to bounce back into the rhythm you had going.
Projected Table
21 of 21
Man United won, so surely they must stay top. But will Bolton still remain in the Top Four? And where will Chelsea end up at this rate? We shall see below:
1. Manchester United [1] - 85 =
2. Arsenal [3] - 75 =
3. Tottenham Hotspurs [5] - 70 +5
4. Bolton Wanderers [6] - 67 -1
5. Stoke City [8] - 62 +1
6. Manchester City [4] - 62 +1
7. Liverpool [10] - 53 -3
8. Blackpool [11] - 53 +3
9. Chelsea [2] - 53 =
10. Blackburn Rovers [11] - 52 =
11. Sunderland [7] - 50 -6
12. Birmingham City [14] - 46 =
13. Newcastle United [9] - 45 =
14. West Ham United [20] - 38 +5
15. West Bromwich Albion [12] - 38 +3
16. Aston Villa [15] - 37 -1
17. Wolverhampton Wanderers [19] - 35 +3
18. Fulham [17] - 35 -1
19. Everton [16] - 35 -5
20. Wigan Athletic [18] - 30 -4
