
BCS Rankings Week 11: Who's Still Alive for Title and How Do They Get There?
BCS Rankings Week 11 have been out for a few days now, and it's getting to that time when the rankings really matter.
With less than a month until the end of the regular season, each and every game from here on out is critical.
In most cases, a loss might be a death sentence for a team's dreams of winning a national title.
But can any team afford to loss a game this late in the season and still make it to the BCS National championship?
Well, let's take a look at 10 teams who have still have hopes of playing for that crystal trophy at the end of the year.
We'll go through what they have to do to get there and the odds of it actually happening.
It's time to get started!
Note: These odds are like horse-racing odds, so don't freak out when you see them!
10. Boise State
1 of 10
How They Get There: Boise State is currently ranked fourth in the BCS Standings, and it's hard for them to do anything to climb up the rankings.
Their schedule is deemed too weak by the voters, and the Broncos are splitting votes from the guys who like non-automatic qualifying schools with TCU..
There are a lot of scenarios that could play out, but the only real way I see Boise State playing for the BCS National Championship is if TCU loses.
There's no way we'll ever see a TCU-Boise title game, and the Broncos are getting screwed out of votes thanks to the Horned Frogs' impressive run in recent weeks.
Sorry, Boise, but your fate is not in your own hands.
Odds: 65/1
9. LSU
2 of 10
How They Get There: LSU currently sits at No. 5 in the BCS standings, and it needs a boatload of things to happen to make it to the national championship game.
The Tigers have to win out and hope Auburn loses to Alabama and Georgia so that they can make it to the SEC Championship game.
I don't see that having any real chance at happening.
Plus, even if Auburn beats Georgia and Alabama does beat Auburn, Auburn will still win the SEC West and probably destroy whoever it plays in the SEC title game.
Since I don't see LSU making it to the SEC Championship, I can't see them playing for a national title because the BCS system doesn't usually like that.
It's a tough spot for the Tigers to be in, but one it's in by its own doing nonetheless.
Odds: 60/1
8. Oklahoma State
3 of 10
How They Get There: Oklahoma State has won eight of its first nine games, but it still hasn't gotten much love from the voters, failing to crack the top 10 in two of the three major polls.
So do the Cowboys even have a remote shot at playing for the national championship?
Honestly, I doubt it.
They'd definitely have to run the table, which is certainly possible, although a season-ending showdown with Oklahoma could spell doom for the Cowboys.
Oklahoma State would have to hope that Nebraska falls victim to an upset against Texas A&M on Nov. 20.
This doesn't even take into account the fact that the Cowboys aren't jumping a one-loss Oregon, a one-loss SEC squad or undefeated TCU and Boise State teams.
Odds: 52/1
7. Ohio State
4 of 10
How They Get There: Ohio State's lone loss on the season came against No. 7 Wisconsin, but that may have done the Buckeyes in.
The Buckeyes do have a huge opportunity to impress the voters next week against No. 13 Iowa, and a win there certainly moves them up a few spots.
But the main problem for Ohio State is that Wisconsin's toughest tests are already behind them.
The Badgers will be favored in every game from here on out, and the Buckeyes have to have Wisconsin slip up to have any chance of leap-frogging them in the standings
And even if Ohio State jumps over Wisconsin, there are still too many teams that have to really screw up for the Buckeyes to be able to take advantage.
Odds: 43/1
6. Nebraska
5 of 10
How They Get There: Nebraska's record is 8-1, and that upset loss against Texas is the only thing preventing them from being a top-five team.
With two impressive wins over Oklahoma State and Missouri, you could make a case that the Cornhuskers would be the No. 3 team in the nation instead of No. 7 had they not blown that game.
Now though, I'd say their chances of playing for a national title are pretty remote.
Can they win out? Sure. They only have one game remaining (Texas A&M) that will give them any type of problems.
But that Texas loss looks worse and worse as the season progresses, and a lot of teams ranked ahead of Nebraska have to lose because the Cornhuskers don't have any really big resume boosters left like some other teams on this list.
Odds: 34/1
5. Stanford
6 of 10
How They Get There: Stanford currently sits at 8-1, with the only blemish on the season coming in a loss to No. 1 Oregon.
The Cardinal has three games against quality Pac-10 opponents remaining on its schedule, and a loss there definitely kills any chance Stanford has at playing for the BCS National Championship.
Though a loss certainly ends Stanford's national title aspirations, I don't think the Cardinal will get there even if they win out.
Stanford would probably need all five teams currently ranked ahead of them to lose, and I just don't see that happening.
Plus, we will never see a rematch between Stanford and Oregon for the national title.
Odds: 23/1
4. Wisconsin
7 of 10
How They Get There: Wisconsin is 8-1 and has a firm spot at No. 7 in this week's BCS rankings.
The good thing for the Badgers is that the toughest part of their journey to the BCS is behind them because they've already played the toughest games on their schedule.
But that's a bad sign, too.
Wisconsin has beaten Ohio State and Iowa in recent weeks, but still sits outside of the top five.
I fully expect the Badgers to avoid the upsets and win their last three games.
But unless just about every other team ranked ahead of them stumbles and the Badgers destroy their last three opponents, Wisconsin just won't be able to get enough votes to climb high enough.
Odds: 19/1
3. TCU
8 of 10
How They Get There: TCU is currently ranked third in the BCS, but it's pretty obvious that their title hopes crash and burn with a loss.
Considering the remaining two games for the Horned Frogs are against San Diego State, I don't think we'll have to worry about.
But TCU needs Oregon or Auburn to finish with one loss to have any chance of playing for a national title.
There's always the possibility they get jumped from behind, but I only see that happening if something screwy goes down with LSU, Auburn, Alabama and the SEC.
The Horned Frogs have the best chance ever of any non-automatic qualifier of playing for the BCS National Championship.
It's up to Oregon and Auburn to make it happen.
Odds: 9/1
2. Oregon
9 of 10
How They Get There: Oregon is the BCS favorite right now, but I actually don't like the Ducks' chances as much as the No. 1 team on this list.
The problem with the Ducks is that they have three games that are losable—however unlikely that is-—and a loss probably seals their fate.
Oregon does not have the benefit of playing in a conference championship game, so the team can't avenge a loss if it slips up against Arizona in a couple of weeks.
I like Oregon, but I'm not sure it's a lock like most people assume.
Odds: 4/1
1. Auburn
10 of 10
How They Get There: Auburn is currently the second-best team in all the land according to the BCS, but is one of only two teams whose fates lies in its own hands.
It's pretty simple for the Tigers: if you beat Georgia, beat Alabama and win the SEC Championship game, then you're definitely in.
But if you lose to the Crimson Tide, you'll probably still play for a national championship as long as you win the SEC title game.
Auburn is sitting pretty right about now.
Odds: 2/1
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