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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Sacramento Kings: Odds, Analysis, NBA Betting Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistNovember 29, 2018

LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 28:  Tobias Harris #34 of the Los Angeles Clippers fights for the ball against Mikal Bridges #25 of the Phoenix Suns on November 28, 2018 at STAPLES Center in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Robert Laberge/Getty Images)
Robert Laberge/Getty Images

The Los Angeles Clippers (14-6) will take to the road on Thursday to visit the Sacramento Kings (10-10) as small favorites at sportsbooks for this Pacific Division matchup.

The Clippers have gone just 5-5 away from home this season, and they are coming off a 115-99 win over the Phoenix Suns at Staples Center on Wednesday.

         

NBA point spread: The Clippers opened as three-point favorites; the total is at 235, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NBA betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 116.8-112.8, Clippers (NBA picks on every game)

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or Spotify or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week's top sports betting news.

          

Why the Clippers can cover the spread

Los Angeles is 3-1 straight up and against the spread the last four times the team has played the second game of a back-to-back situation, according to the OddsShark NBA Database.

The Clippers have excelled overall this season thanks to an outstanding coaching job from Doc Rivers, who has found a way to help his team finally move past the days of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin.

Led by Tobias Harris (21.5 points and 8.7 rebounds per game), this Los Angeles team no longer has any egos and has been able to simply concentrate on winning games despite being in the shadow of the Lakers again.

         

Why the Kings can cover the spread

The Kings have been one of the early surprises this year even though they have lost four of their last six games.

They have still covered the spread in three of their past four as underdogs each time, including a 119-110 victory against the Utah Jazz and a 117-116 loss to the Golden State Warriors, with both taking place on the road.

Like Los Angeles, Sacramento has been a much better home team, going 5-4 SU but 6-2-1 ATS, with recent wins coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs.

         

Smart betting pick

The Kings have obviously been good as home underdogs this season since they have yet to be favored at the Golden 1 Center in 2018.

However, the Clippers have performed remarkably well as road favorites over the past year under Rivers, going 13-1 SU and 11-3 ATS in their previous 14 games under that scenario, dating back to November 22, 2017.

After routing Phoenix on Wednesday, look for Los Angeles to continue its strong play with another victory and cover at Sacramento on Thursday.

           

NBA betting trends

Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last six games.

The total has gone over in seven of Los Angeles' last nine games.

The total has gone over in four of Sacramento's last five games when playing Los Angeles.

            

All NBA odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report's official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

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