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New England Patriots: Way-Too-Early 53-Man Roster and Depth Chart Predictions

Erik FrenzMay 1, 2016

You can already smell the fresh-cut grass on the practice field behind Gillette Stadium. You can hear the countless New England Patriots fans rushing the field in anticipation of the first practice of training camp in Foxborough, Massachusetts.

Over the course of the 2016 NFL draft, the Patriots rounded out their roster at several key positions where they needed depth. This year's draft class was never going to be about adding prospects who are ready to come in and start right away; the Patriots' most pressing needs were in backup spots, where their lack of depth was exposed by a series of injuries in 2015.

Now that the Patriots have handed in the last of their selection cards for this year's draft, the roster is taking shape. We now have a better idea of where things stand headed into the 2016 season than we did just a few days ago. 

With that in mind, here's an early projection of what the Patriots 53-man roster could look like when the regular season kicks off in September.

Quarterback

1 of 12
Depth ChartPlayer
1Tom Brady*
2Jimmy Garoppolo
3Jacoby Brissett

There is an asterisk next to Tom Brady, because he will not count against the Patriots' initial 53-man roster due to his suspension. For purposes of this 53-man roster projection, though, let's just pretend that he'll be on the roster Week 1 to avoid confusion with a 54th player.

That being said, we won't pretend that he'll be on the field. The Patriots certainly aren't. They went out and drafted NC State quarterback Jacoby Brissett in the third round to address their need for a third-string quarterback behind Jimmy Garoppolo, the presumptive Week 1 starter in Brady's stead.

The first four games of the season will be the Patriots' chance to get a glimpse into what Garoppolo can do as the starting quarterback of the team—and whether or not he has the stuff to be the heir to Brady as the franchise signal-caller. That may be a lofty task to complete in a four-week span, but at least with the selection of Brissett, the Patriots have an extra option in case Garoppolo completely folds.

Running Back

2 of 12
Dion Lewis (33) and LeGarrette Blount (29)
Dion Lewis (33) and LeGarrette Blount (29)
Depth ChartPlayer
1Dion Lewis
2LeGarrette Blount
3Brandon Bolden
4James White
5James Develin

This is one depth chart where it's a crapshoot. Dion Lewis showed enough electricity prior to his injury that we can safely put him on the roster (though not necessarily at the top of the depth chart, depending on how ready he is for action coming off reconstructive knee surgery). 

The Patriots waited until April 12 to re-sign LeGarrette Blount, but now that they've brought back their first- and second-down workhorse, Blount looks like the surest thing in the Patriots backfield when it comes to carrying the ball between the tackles.

Brandon Bolden has shown versatility out of the backfield, and he continues to contribute on special teams to keep his role safe on the roster. James White and free agent Donald Brown could be fighting for the same spot, and James Develin will need to show that the fullback's fully recovered from a broken leg that ended his 2015 campaign before it began. 

With no draft pick at the position, though, the Patriots appear confident in the group as presently constructed.

Wide Receiver

3 of 12
Julian Edelman (11) and Danny Amendola (80)
Julian Edelman (11) and Danny Amendola (80)
Depth ChartPlayer
1Julian Edelman
2Chris Hogan
3Danny Amendola
4Nate Washington
5Malcolm Mitchell
6Matthew Slater

We know who will be the Patriots' No. 1 wide receiver: Julian Edelman. His spot at the top of the depth chart is unquestioned. Behind him, there are some question marks. Danny Amendola is the incumbent, but according to Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk, Amendola reportedly could be traded or cut this offseason with a $5 million base salary.

The Patriots signed Chris Hogan and Nate Washington as free agents, but Hogan has never caught more than 41 passes for 450 yards and four touchdowns in a season. It's fair to wonder whether he can carry the load for an offense in a featured role, although he does have similar physical traits to Brandon LaFell without the concerns about drops.

At the very least, rookie wide receiver Malcolm Mitchell can compete for snaps while he develops into an eventual starter. The 6'0", 198-pound receiver isn't the biggest on the roster, but he has enough size for the boundary (he's bigger than the generously listed Edelman at 5'10" and 200 pounds) and he has the route-running savvy to be an effective receiver in the Patriots offense.

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Tight End

4 of 12
Depth ChartPlayer
1Rob Gronkowski
2Martellus Bennett
3Clay Harbor
4Michael Williams

With both Rob Gronkowski and Martellus Bennett at tight end, the Patriots could justifiably shift to the two-tight end offense as their base formation. The combination of the two big-bodied, athletic pass-catching and mauling blockers at tight end give the Patriots the ability to both run and throw the ball when Gronkowski and Bennett are on the field at the same time.

The only problem is, behind those two, the depth chart is a little bare. Clay Harbor is more of an H-back than a true in-line tight end in the mold of the two starters, but there is still room for a player with that skill set on the roster. Harbor's best season was 2013, when he hauled in 24 passes for 292 yards and two touchdowns for the Jaguars, so he is clearly more of a backup than a starting-caliber player.

Michael Williams might be a tight end in name only, as more of a tackle than a tight end at 6'6" and 304 pounds, but with very few other passable options on the roster, Williams' experience gets him the nod over other options. 

Offensive Line

5 of 12
Depth ChartPositionPlayer
1OTNate Solder
1OTSebastian Vollmer
1OGTre' Jackson
1OGShaq Mason
1CBryan Stork
2OTCameron Fleming
2CDavid Andrews
2OGJosh Kline
3OTJoe Thuney

If healthy, Nate Solder and Sebastian Vollmer are the starting tackles on the left and right side, respectively. Of course, those two were not healthy in 2015, which was one of the biggest problems the Patriots faced. Other than the two starting tackles, there are a lot of question marks—both on the depth chart and at starting spots on the lineup. 

Tre' Jackson and Shaq Mason will be competing for their starting spots with veteran backup Josh Kline and former first-round pick Jonathan Cooper, acquired from the Arizona Cardinals. A case could be made for either Kline or Cooper (or both) to be starters, but Patriots offensive line coach Dante Scarnecchia had a hand in scouting Jackson and Mason. Something tells me he still sees potential in the two second-year guards.

At center, Bryan Stork took over as the starter after he returned from injury but not before a quick stop at right tackle to fill in during an injury-riddled stretch in the schedule. Stork appears to be the incumbent in the middle, but David Andrews fared well while Stork was out of action, so the starting job could be up for grabs.

Adding Joe Thuney to the depth chart creates a competition among the backup tackles, with Marcus Cannon looking like the odd man out. Cannon's cap hit is more than $4.7 million, and the Patriots can save roughly $3.1 million by releasing him, according to Spotrac. Cannon was Pro Football Focus' 44th-ranked tackle (out of 59 qualifying tackles) in pass-blocking efficiency. 

Cameron Fleming didn't fare much better than Cannon, so there could be a battle between those two for the final roster spot on the offensive line. Cannon offers more versatility, but with his cap hit, it would make more sense for the Patriots to move on. 

Defensive End

6 of 12
Jabaal Sheard
Jabaal Sheard
Depth ChartPlayer
1Rob Ninkovich
2Jabaal Sheard
3Chris Long
4Geneo Grissom

Jabaal Sheard was a galvanizing force for the Patriots pass rush in 2015 as the third defensive end in the rotation. Now that Chandler Jones has been shipped off to the Arizona Cardinals, Sheard moves up to one of the top two spots and veteran defensive end Chris Long joins Sheard and Rob Ninkovich in a three-headed attack.

These players could all be used in a variety of roles, rushing the passer either as defensive ends in a 4-3 front or as outside linebackers in a 3-4. The problem is, all three are set to be free agents after the 2016 season, so the Patriots will have their hands full trying to keep the band together following this year.

Fortunately, the Patriots have some depth at defensive end. Unfortunately, they have more than they could possibly fit on the roster. With talented young pass-rushers like Trey Flowers and Rufus Johnson behind Geneo Grissom on the depth chart, they'll have to hope the Patriots make cuts elsewhere to keep all their pass-rushers in the fold. Grissom's positional versatility between the inside and the outside makes him the favorite. 

Defensive Tackle

7 of 12
Malcom Brown
Malcom Brown
Depth ChartPlayer
1Malcom Brown
2Terrance Knighton
3Vincent Valentine
4Alan Branch

The Patriots entered the draft with a big need for big men on the defensive line, and they came away with an addition to the lineup.

Malcom Brown, the Patriots' 2015 first-round pick, appears set as one of the top defensive tackles in the lineup. The 6'2", 320-pound defensive tackle could line up anywhere in a 3-4 defensive line, and along with Terrance Knighton and Alan Branch, the Patriots appear to have a solid three-man lineup up front for their base defense.

Vincent Valentine might come off the bench as a rookie, but he has the tools to develop into a starter if he can stay healthy and get his stamina up. The Patriots will love his play strength and his ability to hold his gaps at the line of scrimmage, which are paramount traits for any defensive lineman playing in a two-gap scheme. 

Joe Vellano could make a push for the final roster, and he'll have to, since he's already run out of eligibility for the practice squad. If the Patriots are running a 3-4 defense, they could justify hanging onto five defensive tackle-type players. 

Linebacker

8 of 12
Dont'a Hightower (54) and Jamie Collins (91)
Dont'a Hightower (54) and Jamie Collins (91)
Depth ChartPlayer
1Jamie Collins
2Dont'a Hightower
3Jonathan Freeny
4Shea McClellin
5Elandon Roberts

There's no question that the Patriots' two starters at linebacker are Jamie Collins and Dont'a Hightower. What they do in a 4-3 base defense, however, is another question entirely. Their outside linebackers in a 3-4 would most likely be among the defensive ends listed earlier. 

Both Collins and Hightower are set to be free agents following the 2016 season, so the Patriots will either have to develop one of their backup linebackers into a starting-caliber player over the course of the next 12 months, or they'll have to go on the lookout for a linebacker next year. 

The linebacker position was another where the Patriots entered the draft needing depth, but although they added Eastern Illinois' Kamu Grugier-Hill, he's a long shot to make the roster. The retirement of Jerod Mayo thrusts Jonathan Freeny into a more prominent role on the roster, although his role was fairly prominent in 2015; according to Pro Football Focus, he played 396 snaps in 2015, just eight snaps fewer than Mayo. 

Houston's Elandon Roberts, however, is another story. The linebacker was highly productive in 2015, with 19 tackles for loss and six sacks. His ability in run support will help him carve out a niche, even if his pass-coverage abilities are limited (McClellin can serve as the passing-down linebacker). 

Cornerback

9 of 12
Depth ChartPlayer
1Malcolm Butler
2Logan Ryan
3Cyrus Jones
4Justin Coleman
5Darryl Roberts

The Patriots had a clear need at the cornerback position headed into the draft, and they did not wait to address the need. Their selection of cornerback Cyrus Jones in the second round gives the Patriots a third cornerback to rotate with incumbent starters Malcolm Butler and Logan Ryan.

All three cornerbacks are a little undersized, at below 6'0" and 200 pounds, but they all fit a similar mold of competitive defensive backs who can play man and zone coverage; all three possess the willingness to crash the line of scrimmage in run support.

Behind Butler, Ryan and Jones, however, the Patriots still have some question marks. Justin Coleman and Darryl Roberts were two of the cornerbacks who performed best in backup roles last year, and they should be considered the front-runners for roster spots this year due to their special teams ability. 

Safety

10 of 12
Patrick Chung (23) and Devin McCourty
Patrick Chung (23) and Devin McCourty
Depth ChartPlayer
1Devin McCourty
2Patrick Chung
3Duron Harmon
4Jordan Richards
5Nate Ebner

One spot that felt adequately stocked heading into the draft was safety. With Devin McCourty and Patrick Chung at the top of the depth chart, and with Duron Harmon and Jordan Richards waiting in the wings behind them, the Patriots have plenty of talent at the top and depth at the bottom of the roster. Add safety Nate Ebner, a special teams ace, to the equation and the Patriots were never really in the market for a safety. 

McCourty is clearly the man for the deep patrol job, covering long passes and ensuring nothing gets behind him. Chung played a hybrid role as both a safety and a slot cornerback last year, moving into the box to help against the run and also to cover tight ends. Harmon is best suited for a deep coverage role as well, and he is often used in that respect when the Patriots are in a nickel defense.

Jordan Richards has the potential to eventually take over Chung's role, and in the meantime, he can also contribute with Ebner on special teams. The Patriots are stocked at safety for 2016 and for the foreseeable future.

Special Teams

11 of 12
Depth ChartPlayer
KickerStephen Gostkowski
PunterRyan Allen
Kick ReturnerDanny Amendola
Punt ReturnerCyrus Jones
Long SnapperJoe Cardona

The beauty of the Cyrus Jones selection is that the Patriots not only added a cornerback to their roster but also a punt returner. Jones notched 42 punt returns for 530 yards and four touchdowns in 2015, all of which led the nation. Now, Jones can take that role away from Julian Edelman and/or Danny Amendola, whose workload could be redistributed to the passing game.

Other than that, there are no surprises on the Patriots' special teams depth charts. Kicker Stephen Gostkowski, punter Ryan Allen and long snapper Joe Cardona return to the fold for another year in their spots. The Patriots have no need to look for upgrades at any of those three positions, as all three players are more than suited to start in the NFL. 

53-Man Roster Projection

12 of 12
53-Man Roster Projection
  Player Position
1 Tom Brady QB 
2 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
3 Jacoby Brissett QB
4 LeGarrette Blount RB
5 Dion Lewis RB
6 James White RB
7 Brandon Bolden RB
8 James Develin FB
9 Rob Gronkowski TE
10 Martellus Bennett TE
11 Clay Harbor TE
12 Michael Williams TE
13 Julian Edelman WR
14 Chris Hogan WR
15 Danny Amendola WR
16 Nate Washington WR
17 Malcolm Mitchell WR
18 Matthew Slater WR
19 Nate Solder OL
20 Sebastian Vollmer OL
21 Tre' Jackson OL
22 Shaq Mason OL
23 Bryan Stork OL
24 Josh Kline OL
25 David Andrews OL
26 Cameron Fleming OL
27 Joe Thuney OL
28 Malcom Brown DT
29 Vincent Valentine DT
30 Alan Branch DT
31 Terrance Knighton DT
32 Rob Ninkovich DE
33 Jabaal Sheard DE
34 Chris Long DE
35 Geneo Grissom DE
36 Jamie Collins LB
37 Dont'a Hightower LB
38 Jonathan Freeny LB
39 Shea McClellin LB
40 Elandon Roberts LB
41 Malcolm Butler CB
42 Logan Ryan CB
43 Cyrus Jones CB
44 Justin Coleman CB
45 Darryl Roberts CB
46 Devin McCourty S
47 Patrick Chung S
48 Duron Harmon S
49 Jordan Richards S
50 Nate Ebner S
51 Stephen Gostkowski K 
52 Ryan Allen P
53 Joe CardonaLS 
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