Predicting the Results of Leicester's 13 Remaining Premier League Games

Michael Cummings@MikeCummings37World Football Lead WriterFebruary 8, 2016

Predicting the Results of Leicester's 13 Remaining Premier League Games

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    Jon Super/Associated Press

    Leicester City's dream run at the top of the Premier League continued over the weekend with an impressive 3-1 victory at Manchester City on Saturday.

    Widely tipped to struggle this season, the Foxes are now five points clear atop the table after going unbeaten in their last seven league matches. The win over City might have been their biggest accomplishment yet, considering Claudio Ranieri's squad was assembled on a fraction of their opponents' budget.

    Newly installed as favorites to win the title, Leicester only have to negotiate the next 13 games successfully in order to lift the top-flight trophy for the first time in club history.

    Can they do it? Here, Bleacher Report runs down each of the Foxes' 13 remaining fixtures and assesses their chances of winning the championship.

Arsenal (Away)

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    Matt Dunham/Associated Press

    When: Feb. 14

    Where: Emirates Stadium

    Leicester have lost just twice in the league all season, but one of those came in the reverse fixture against Arsenal at the King Power Stadium in September. Jamie Vardy fired the Foxes into the lead, but an Alexis Sanchez hat-trick secured the three points for the Gunners.

    So what should we expect when Leicester visit Arsenal this weekend? The Gunners ended a four-match winless run—and three-game scoreless streak—with a 2-0 victory at Bournemouth on Sunday. Arsene Wenger's men have won seven of 12 home fixtures this season, drawing three and losing two.

    That recent blip caused plenty of pundits to question Arsenal's title credentials, but winning at Bournemouth has given the Gunners confidence ahead of Leicester's visit.

    "Hopefully now we can take away this momentum and come away with a victory (over Leicester) as well," midfielder Aaron Ramsey said, per Neil McLeman at the Daily Mirror. "We are in a good position now and hopefully we can maintain this.”

    Leicester just demonstrated their own credentials with the 3-1 victory away to Manchester City, a performance that suggested the Foxes will have no fear when they travel to the Emirates.

    Prediction: Arsenal will approach this fixture as if their title chances depend on it, and that's probably true. Expect plenty of intensity from the hosts, but don't expect Leicester to fold easily. Draw.

Norwich City (Home)

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    Tony Marshall/Getty Images

    When: Feb. 27

    Where: King Power Stadium

    Norwich City currently sit in the relegation zone, having collected 23 points from their 24 league matches so far. Leicester won the reverse fixture 2-1 at Carrow Road, with Jamie Vardy and Jeffrey Schlupp scoring for the visitors.

    To put it bluntly, Norwich's away form has been poor. The Canaries have won just two of 13 of their travels, losing nine. This is a game Leicester ought to win.

    Prediction: No surprises here. Home win.

West Bromwich Albion (Home)

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    Tony Marshall/Getty Images

    When: March 1

    WhereKing Power Stadium

    A second straight match at the KP Stadium should give Leicester a chance to build a head of steam heading into the spring. West Brom have won only three times on their travels this season (12 games), and Leicester won the return fixture 3-2 at the Hawthorns.

    Prediction: The momentum keeps building. Home win.

Watford (Away)

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    Shaun Botterill/Getty Images

    When: March 5

    Where: Vicarage Road

    If Leicester weren't riding high at the top of the table, Watford might be the surprise package in the Premier League this season. In their first season back in the top flight, the Hornets are comfortable in 10th place and look every bit the part of a Premier League side.

    Quique Sanchez Flores' men have hit a blip lately, though, losing five of seven. And although 10th place sounds impressive, Watford are still only 10 points above the relegation places.

    Should they be worried? Probably not. A trip to Vicarage Road is never easy for an away side, and Leicester will find it no different.

    Prediction: Watford know they need to improve results, and the visit of high-flying Leicester will bring the best out of the players. Draw.

Newcastle United (Home)

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    Ian MacNicol/Getty Images

    When: March 14

    WhereKing Power Stadium

    The current campaign has been a miserable one for Newcastle, who sit just one point above the relegation zone with 13 matches to go. Under manager Steve McClaren, the Magpies have won just twice in 12 away matches this season, losing nine.

    Prediction: This is another home fixture in which victory is expected. Home win.

Crystal Palace (Away)

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    Ross Kinnaird/Getty Images

    When: March 19

    Where: Selhurst Park

    Crystal Palace have nose-dived lately, losing five of six and failing to win any of their last eight league games. Alan Pardew's men were as high as third place as late as October, but now the relegation zone is only nine points away.

    Home form has been a problem for the Eagles, with just four wins in 13 attempts (seven defeats). Leicester should be favored to win this one, but with Palace potentially needing points, a draw feels more likely.

    Prediction: Both teams will be desperate for points. Both will have to settle for only one. Draw.

Southampton (Home)

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    Jordan Mansfield/Getty Images

    When: April 2

    WhereKing Power Stadium

    Southampton have been in good form lately, winning four of their last five in the league to climb into seventh place. But the Saints' away form is only indifferent, with three wins, five draws and four losses. 

    Prediction: Leicester's home form will be too much. Home win.

Sunderland (Away)

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    Ross Kinnaird/Getty Images

    When: April 9

    Where: Stadium of Light

    It's not looking good for Sunderland. With 13 games to go, the Black Cats are four points from safety and appear destined for relegation.

    By April, that gap could be even bigger, which could mean one of two things: Either Sunderland will be even more desperate for points or hope will be gone.

    Prediction: Either way, a team pushing for the title really should beat Sunderland. Away win.

West Ham United (Home)

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    Michael Regan/Getty Images

    When: April 16

    WhereKing Power Stadium

    West Ham have claimed a few impressive victories away from home this season, beating Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City on their travels. But all of those surprising results came early, and the Hammers have won only twice away from Upton Park since then.

    Slaven Bilic has his side playing well and challenging for Europe, but Leicester have an even bigger prize in their sights.

    Prediction: This one could go either way. We'll take the easy way out. Draw.

Swansea City (Home)

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    Stu Forster/Getty Images

    When: April 23

    WhereKing Power Stadium

    Swansea currently have some momentum, having gone unbeaten in their last four games. But this fixture is too far in the future to base any prediction on recent form. Instead, we'll cite Leicester's strong record at home (and Swansea's record of only two away wins all season).

    Prediction: More magic at the KP. Home win.

Manchester United (Away)

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    Matthew Ashton - AMA/Getty Images

    When: April 30

    Where: Old Trafford

    In the return fixture at the KP, Jamie Vardy set a Premier League record by notching a goal in his 11th straight match. Vardy hasn't stopped scoring since then, and Manchester United have had an inconsistent this season, but we think this could be a banana-peel game for Leicester.

    Why? A few reasons. The reverse fixture ended 1-1, for one thing. And despite facing loads of criticism all season, Louis van Gaal has at least made it difficult for opponents to score on Manchester United (22 goals conceded through 25 games, including five in 12 home matches).

    What's more, points will be just as precious to United, who will be chasing a top-four place and a UEFA Champions League berth.

    Prediction: It hasn't happened often this season, but this feels like a dangerous game for Leicester. Away loss.

Everton (Home)

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    Jon Super/Associated Press

    When: May 7

    Where: King Power Stadium

    Everton have been a model of consistent inconsistency this season, scoring goals in bunches but throwing away leads (and results) on a nearly weekly basis. Still, the Toffees are a dangerous team because of their attacking firepower, and Leicester will have to be careful.

    Prediction: It comes down to this: Everton, who are currently eighth, won't have much riding on this match unless they can overtake three teams and put themselves in line for Europa League qualification. Leicester City will be chasing the title. Home win.

Chelsea (Away)

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    Rui Vieira/Associated Press

    When: May 15

    Where: Stamford Bridge

    Leicester's win over Chelsea at the KP in December spelled the end for Jose Mourinho. Another victory here could—maybe even should—bring the club a top-flight title.

    But even in this strange season, Chelsea are difficult to beat at Stamford Bridge. And although Leicester will have more motivation in this contest, Guus Hiddink has started to turn around results following Mourinho's departure.

    Prediction: It's the final day of the season. If the title is still at stake, Leicester simply can't allow any points to slip away. Away win.

Adding It All Up

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    Michael Regan/Getty Images

    Here is a rundown of our predictions for Leicester's final 13 Premier League matches:

    Arsenal (away): Draw

    Norwich (home): Win

    West Brom (home): Win

    Watford (away): Draw

    Newcastle (home): Win

    Crystal Palace (away): Draw

    Southampton (home): Win

    Sunderland (away): Win

    West Ham (home): Draw

    Swansea (home): Win

    Man United (away): Loss

    Everton (home): Draw

    Chelsea (away): Win

    Those results translate to 26 points over 13 games, meaning Leicester would finish the season with a total 79 points. In order to match the Foxes, Spurs and Arsenal would have to collect 31 points, and City would need 32.

    Any of those teams are certainly capable of doing so, but it will obviously be difficult. Leicester are in a good position, but in order to claim the title, the Foxes will have to remain consistent throughout the run-in.

    As our predictions suggest, the key for Leicester could be turning potential draws into victories. We've listed Watford, Palace and West Ham as draws, but wins in any or all of those games could prove invaluable to the Foxes' title push.