
Fantasy Football 2015: 15 Players Who Will Ruin Your Draft
Itโs about that time when more and more fantasy football players start diving into research and playing out mock drafts and scheduling their real drafts. Draft day can be the most fun youโll have all football season, or it can turn into an absolute disaster that youโll regret for months or maybe even the year, depending on how ruthless your friends are.
That brings you here, where weโll discuss 15 players who could ruin your draft, season, year, life, etc.
The inclusion of these players doesnโt necessarily mean theyโll be busts. It could just mean that for the price youโre going to pay, they're just not worth it.
Most of this list, however, will be about players who are overhyped and overvalued. So, with that said, letโs throw some names under the bus.
Scoring and average draft position (ADP) information will be based on ESPN standard scoring leagues.
DeMarco Murray
1 of 15
Murrayโs 1,845 rushing yards last season were nearly 500 more than the second most. His 392 carries, however, were also the most by 80.
In fact, they were the most regular-season carries since Larry Johnson toted the rock 416 times for the Kansas City Chiefs back in 2006.
Murray is bound for some serious regression for two reasons: Heโs not behind that NFL-best offensive line with the Cowboys in Dallas anymore, and heโs got a legitimate second option in Ryan Mathews behind him.
The Philadelphia Eagles would be wise to not let Murray carry the ball nearly 400 times, and in head coach Chip Kellyโs fast-paced offense, thereโs a good chance the running backs will sub out fairly often.
If you want to draft Murray, his current ADP is ninth overall. Thatโs ahead of guys such as C.J. Anderson, LeSean McCoy and Matt Forte.
Aaron Rodgers
2 of 15
Before you rage-throw your computer across the room, understand this. Rodgers should be the highest-scoring player in fantasy this year.
That doesnโt mean you need to draft him in the first round.
In most leagues, thatโs where youโll need to take him in order to get him. That means youโre passing up the elite running backs and wide receivers to get a guy.
Rodgers was the top scorer in ESPN fantasy leagues last year, outscoring the leading non-quarterback, DeMarco Murray, by 60 points.
Case in point as to why Rodgers deserves to go in the first round, right? Not so much.
Five other quarterbacks outscored DeMarco Murray as well. The last of those was Drew Brees, who scored 52 fewer points than Rodgers.
That equals out to about three points per week. While thatโs not necessarily small potatoesโif youโve played fantasy football before, youโve probably lost by fewer points than thatโitโs not worth burning a first-round pick when you can just as easily take Brees in the fourth.
Or, if you really are concerned, you can possible get Andrew Luck, who scored just six fewer points than Rodgers, in the second round. A lot of that will depend on your draft position, of course.
Either way, you can find good value at quarterback throughout the draft. Rodgers should be considered the top QB for sure, but having Luck and Jamaal Charles or Forte or Le'Veon Bell is going to be better than Rodgers and Jeremy Hill.
C.J. Spiller
3 of 15
If youโre in a PPR league, disregard thisโfor the most part.
The New Orleans Saints' Spiller is expected to be Darren Sproles 2.0, which in theory sounds delightful. But Spiller is sitting behind a running back who had a career year (Mark Ingram), a quarterback who throws 40-plus times a game (Drew Brees) and next to a coach (Sean Payton) known for using a multitude of running backs.
Oh, and try to think of a year when Spiller didnโt have some sort of injury slowing him down. If youโre in a PPR league, he might be worth a shot (his ADP is at 64, according to ESPN).
Otherwise, steer clear.
Rob Gronkowski
4 of 15
Another best player at his position, Gronk can be a difference-maker for your team. His inclusion on this list isnโt to say heโs a bust. It isnโt even to say heโs not worth a first-round pick, although that is certainly debatable.
But if you burn a first on Gronk, youโre putting your eggs in an unstable basket.
Gronkโs current ADP on ESPN is 15th overall, just outside of the first round. That number will likely creep up more once fantasy players who arenโt committed as much as someone doing a mock draft in July begin to draft.
When it does, avoid the temptation to draft the one-man partyโif not for anything else, just because heโs risky. Gronkโs health has always been less than stellar, and now heโs going to be missing sidekick Tom Brady for the first four games.
A lot of people are down on Jimmy Graham since his move to the Seattle Seahawks, and with an ADP of 28, he might carry less potential reward than Gronk. But Graham also has less risk solely based on where you have to spend a pick on him.
Jeremy Maclin
5 of 15
The Kansas City Chiefs had zero touchdown receptions by their wide receivers. None.
Two offensive linemen had more touchdown receptions than the entire Chiefs receiving core.
Granted, a downfield threatย Dwayne Bowe is not. But was that his fault or quarterback Alex Smithโs fault?
Maclin had a great year in Philly, but those two offenses arenโt even comparable. Heโs going about 72nd overall, which isnโt a terrible reach at all.
If you want to take a risk on him, heโs going just ahead of receivers such as Kevin White and Mike Wallace. So, thatโs understandable.
However, heโs also going right around the same place as non-WRs such as Julius Thomas, Matt Ryan, Cam Newton, Tony Romo and Tom Brady. At this point in the draft, youโd probably be better off taking your quarterback or a shot on a high-upside guy.
Jamaal Charles
6 of 15
While we're ragging on the Chiefs, let's talk about the highest-drafted player on this list, Jamaal Charles.ย
Heโs going about third overall, and his production fell heavily last year. Charles carried the ball 84 fewer times than Le'Veon Bell and 74 times fewer than Marshawn Lynch, two running backs heโs going directly in front of.
And that wasnโt really due to injury. Backup RB Knile Davis took 134 carries last season.
Charles also lost 40 fantasy points in receiving last season as well. Heโs still one of the most productive backs on the field, but heโs on the field much less now.
Tim Tebow
7 of 15
Just stop.
Youโre not the first person to think it would be funny to draft Tebow or another guy with little to no chance of sniffing the field. Donโt be that person.
Even if it is remotely entertaining, youโre better off taking a flier on someone you think could actually be productive.
Seattle Seahawks D/ST
8 of 15
The Seattle Seahawks defense and special teams are going about 51st overall, ahead of players such asย DeSean Jackson, Andre Ellington, T.J. Yeldon, Amari Cooper and, more importantly, about 28 spots in front of the second D/ST off the board, the Buffalo Bills.
The Seahawks have the most recognizable defense for sure. But it's probably not going to be the best.
Earl Thomas and Richard Sherman are coming off major injuries, and while Sherman has been medically cleared, he admitted some concern about his elbow to Ed Werder of ESPN.com.
โObviously haven't had to stop anyone or be violent, so we will see how it handles in training camp,โ Sherman said.
The Seahawks defense was the first one drafted last season as well, and it finished third behind the Eagles and the Bills. This season doesnโt look better.
Sammy Watkins
9 of 15
This will be a short explanation of why you should avoid drafting Watkins, whoโs going about 47th overall.
Ready?
Matt Cassel. EJ Manuel.
If you need more of a reason than that, Watkins also had offseason hip surgery, and the Bills got a shiny new LeSean McCoy toy and a run-heavy, defensive-minded coach in Rex Ryan.
Nick Foles
10 of 15
Foles took a major step back last season, throwing 13 touchdownsย to 10 interceptions in nine weeks. And that was in Chip Kellyโs high-flying, fast-paced offense. Itโs not going to get any better with the St. Louis Rams, and Foles is being drafted ahead of QBs such asย Colin Kaepernick, Derek Carr and Carson Palmer.
Any one of those three has more potential than Foles.
Todd Gurley
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This is more of a precautionary tale. Todd Gurley is going 50th overall, which isnโt bad value for a player with his potential. But heโs also coming off a torn ACL and has a capable running back in the stable with him in Tre Mason.
Chances are someone will reach for him on draft day because heโs the most hyped rookie in fantasy. Donโt let that person be you.
You could get the steal of the draft, or you could set your team back immensely.
Remember Bishop Sankey?
Darren Sproles
12 of 15
Unless youโre in a PPR league, avoid, avoid, avoid.
Sproles put up more than 10 fantasy points in standard scoring three times last year. In fact, he had 10 or more total touches just three times.
Things arenโt going to get much better for Sproles behind two very capable RBs (Murray and Mathews) instead of just one. Even in a PPR league, heโs probably not worth it at this point.
Jonathan Stewart
13 of 15
DeAngelo Williams is finally gone; Stewartโs going to be the lead back. Right?!
According to Dave Richard, a CBS Sports fantasy football analyst, Carolina Panthers coach Ron Rivera still believes in the two-back system and would prefer to keep Stewart at a 15 carry-per-game max.
Thatโs probably not going to be useful outside of deeper leagues, and Stewart comes with an average price tag of about 43rd overall.
Mike Evans
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Evans had a great rookie season despite who was throwing him the ball, so it may be a surprise to see him on this list with a new, more hyped QB.
But nobody knows how Jameis Winston will perform in the NFL yet. So that makes Evans riskyโespecially given his price point.
Evans is being taken about 30th overall ahead of receivers such as Emmanuel Sanders and DeAndre Hopkins and just ahead of running backs such asย Alfred Morris, Justin Forsett and Melvin Gordon.
Evans could very well do just fine with Winston at QB. He may even do better. But at 30th overall, heโs just a little too risky.
Stephen Gostkowski
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Last and maybe least: the kicker.
Gostkowski is being taken 83rd overall. While his 168 points scored last season were more than Alshon Jeffery and LeSean McCoy scored (seriously), itโs not worth it to take a kicker in the seventh to eighth round.
Seriously, draft a kicker in the last round or two. Nick Folk, the New York Jets' kicker, scored just 41 fewer points than Gostkowski. Thatโs fewer than 2.5 points per game.
All stats and info courtesy ofย ESPN.comย unless otherwise noted.
Follow Aaron Brand on Twitterย @AaronBrand47.
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