B/R's College Football 2025 Best Win Total Bets
For those with a hunch, a lean or a feeling, now is the time to pounce.
Before the college football season officially begins, there is work to be done. And with so many win totals to pick from across the CFB landscape, the world is your oyster.
The name of this particular wagering game is simple. Will a team win more or less than the win total provided? Depending on the number provided, some overs or unders will have some juice attached (meaning either side is likely to be a favorite in many instances).
Here, we're putting our leans and feelings into motion with a series of wagers. What teams will surpass expectations? What teams will fall short?
Here are a few win totals that stand out.
Oklahoma Over 6.5 (-200)
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Depending on where you look, this line might vary. Given the juice attached, which makes this undeniably chalky, it's easy to see how many are conflicted on just what the Sooners will look like.
While -200 is a steep price to pay, we're paying it. The presence of transfer QB John Mateer was enough to make this pick compelling early on. Adding running back Jaydn Ott via the portal only sweetened the deal, and the Oklahoma offense, if healthy, should look better than it has in years.
Mateer has become embroiled in a controversy over alleged sports gambling in 2022, which he has denied. And unless his status somehow changes, this pick will stay as is.
From a schedule perspective, things won't come easy. Oklahoma has a real chance to be unbeaten in its first five games, with matchups against Michigan and Auburn taking place at home. Then again, these aren't gimmes.
Playing Texas won't be easy; neither will road trips to Alabama, Tennessee and South Carolina. But there's reason to believe the offense will do its part and head coach Brent Venables will take the defense to another level this year.
Indeed, the early part of the schedule is crucial. And the Sooners must stack wins. But if this team can't find seven wins, it would truly surprise.
Baylor Under 7.5 (-115)
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Few teams across college football have a more difficult start than the Bears.
The season kicks off with a home game against Auburn. Currently, Baylor is a small underdog. From there, the team travels to SMU, a playoff team from a season ago, before playing Arizona State a few weeks later.
After that, the Bears travel to Oklahoma State, play Kansas State at home and then travel to TCU. While zero Top 10 opponents are currently on the schedule, this one has teeth. In fact, it wouldn't be shocking to see this team start 2-5. It could also outperform that.
To Baylor and Dave Aranda's credit, this program started slow last year before turning it on late. And many of the pieces, including quarterback Sawyer Robertson, return. The defense wasn't particularly great, and it likely won't be again without a major shift.
While this team doesn't lack talent, recreating last season with the present schedule seems like a bit of a stretch. A win against Auburn out of the gate, which is plenty feasible, could change that discussion in a hurry.
Kansas Over 6.5 (-160)
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No football team across the country produced a stranger season than the Jayhawks in 2024: A mixture of heartbreak that culminated with a magnificent stretch of wins over ranked teams.
Indeed, the start was bad. Kansas lost six of its first eight games. It's worth noting, though, that five of those six losses came by six points or less.
Football is weird that way, and we're buying this team in 2025. Doing so is made easier with quarterback Jalon Daniels returning for one last ride. He needs to stay healthy, as he's one of the nation's most explosive players when he is.
The schedule, however, is where this pick takes shape. Kansas plays four of its first five games at home, and they are all supremely winnable. The Jayhawks travel to Missouri in early September, which is a short trip and a winnable matchup considering the many new pieces the Tigers have in place.
Additional road games at Texas Tech, Arizona and Iowa State won't be easy; they also could be worse. Home games against Kansas State and Utah also will present a challenge, but Kansas will be favored in the majority of the games it plays in this year.
A 4-1 start, at worst, seems both likely and critical.
.jpg?w=256 "Ohio State Team Doctor")
Wisconsin Under 5.5 (-165)
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Just how difficult is Wisconsin's 2025 schedule?
Well, we're glad you asked.
Using the freshly released preseason AP Poll as a starting point, the Badgers play the No. 3-ranked team (Ohio State), No. 7 (Oregon), No. 8 (Alabama), No. 12 (Illinois), No. 14 (Michigan), and No. 20 (Indiana).
Oh, and the Badgers also play extremely capable teams in Iowa, Washington and Minnesota.
Simply put, it's hard to see a team without much of a present identity navigating such a schedule—even if teams like Indiana or Michigan underperform expectations.
If nothing else, Luke Fickell is trying. The offense will look much more like the Wisconsin offense of old, and a defense that finished No. 42 in scoring last year will see some renovations as well.
But none of it appears sufficient, and a program that had such strong foundational standing inside the Big Ten has rapidly lost its footing. Fickell felt like an easy, no-brainer hire. To date, it simply hasn’t worked out that way.
If this over hits, the Badgers will make it to a bowl. That would be an enormous win for Fickell given the questions and the road ahead. Although right now, it seems like too much to ask.
Other Over/Unders
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Miami Under 9.5 Wins (-160)
Simply put, Miami hasn't earned this kind of number, even in the ACC. Carson Beck is coming off major surgery, and the team still has major questions along with enough losable games to make this number far too rich.
BYU Over 6.5 (-125)
The departure of Jake Retzlaff, the team's starting QB, is massive. But in a wide-open conference and with a favorable start to the season, the Cougars will still finish with at least seven wins.
Colorado State Under 6.5 (-165)
The roster lost many key pieces, the schedule is packed with losable games and it just doesn't seem like seven wins is within reach. Playing three of the final five games on the road won't help.
Oklahoma State Over 4.5 (-200)
Last season was a disaster for Mike Gundy. There's no denying that after nine straight losses to close the year. A fresh start along with a weak out-of-conference slate (outside of a trip to Oregon) should help.
.jpg?w=480 "Ohio State Team Doctor")
