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MEMPHIS, TN - APRIL 29: Marc Gasol #33 and Zach Randolph #50 of the Memphis Grizzlies celebrate during a game against the Portland Trail Blazers in Game Five of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the NBA Playoffs at FedExForum on April 29, 2015 in Memphis, Tennessee. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2015 NBAE (Photo by Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images)
MEMPHIS, TN - APRIL 29: Marc Gasol #33 and Zach Randolph #50 of the Memphis Grizzlies celebrate during a game against the Portland Trail Blazers in Game Five of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the NBA Playoffs at FedExForum on April 29, 2015 in Memphis, Tennessee. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2015 NBAE (Photo by Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images)Joe Murphy/Getty Images

NBA Playoffs 2015: Updated Championship Bracket, Odds and Predictions

Thomas DuffyApr 30, 2015

Sixteen teams entered this fight, and now, five—the Toronto Raptors, the Boston Celtics, the New Orleans Pelicans, the Dallas Mavericks and the Portland Trail Blazers—are already out.

But is every still-standing squad capable of winning it all?

Of course not.

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DENVER NUGGETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS, NBA

We know who the real contenders are: the Golden State Warriors, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Houston Rockets and, if you’re feeling generous, throw the Chicago Bulls in there, too.

But who are the phonies?

Playoff Bracket

Atlanta Hawks lead Brooklyn Nets3-2
Washington Wizards def. Toronto Raptors4-0
Chicago Bulls lead Milwaukee Bucks3-2
Cleveland Cavaliers def. Boston Celtics4-0
Golden State Warriors def. New Orleans Pelicans4-0
Memphis Grizzlies def. Portland Trail Blazers4-1
San Antonio Spurs lead Los Angeles Clippers3-2
Houston Rockets def. Dallas Mavericks4-1

Championship Odds

Cleveland Cavaliers11/5
Golden State Warriors11/5
San Antonio Spurs7/2
Atlanta Hawks12/1
Chicago Bulls12/1
Houston Rockets16/1
Los Angeles Clippers18/1
Memphis Grizzlies28/1
Washington Wizards75/1
Brooklyn Nets200/1
Milwaukee Bucks250/1

Pretenders

Atlanta Hawks

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 29:  Joe Johnson #7 of the Brooklyn Nets sets a screen as Deron Williams #8 drives around Jeff Teague #0 of the Atlanta Hawks during Game Five of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals of the NBA Playoffs at Philips Arena on April 29, 20

Team basketball is a beautiful thing. The rock moves, everyone is involved, and a lot of points are scored...in the regular season, that is.

Playoff hoops are dominated by star players who earn those big paychecks in April, May and (hopefully) June. Teams like the Atlanta Hawks are magnificent until the bright lights of the postseason start burning and the biggest names come out to play.

When Deron Williams channeled his former self in Game 4, Atlanta had no answer. Former Hawk Joe Johnson got hot in the fourth quarter of Game 5, and Atlanta nearly blew that game, too.

The aging Brooklyn Nets aren’t even that good. Wait until Atlanta, should it advance after dropping two games, sees John Wall, Bradley Beal and Paul Pierce in the next round.

Jorge Castillo of the Washington Post provided some context after the Washington Wizards smacked around a Toronto Raptors team worlds better than the Nets:

It was a lot of fun watching the Hawks in the regular season. They won 19 straight games and captivated the basketball world with exquisite offense night in and night out.

But they’re not built to thrive in the playoffs. The Wizards will wash their hands with Atlanta in the second round.

Memphis Grizzlies

MEMPHIS, TN - APRIL 29: Marc Gasol #33 of the Memphis Grizzlies high fives fans after a game against the Portland Trail Blazers in Game Five of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the NBA Playoffs at FedExForum on April 29, 2015 in Memphis, Tennessee.

Let’s set things straight: At full strength, the Memphis Grizzlies are most definitely a contender capable of going all the way.

But they’re not at 100 percent. Mike Conley, already playing through a gruesome foot injury, got cracked in the head during Game 3 and had to undergo surgery to repair the facial fractures.

"He's going to be here," Marc Gasol said prior to Game 4, per Mike Tokito of The Oregonian. "We're talking like he's going to be out for a long time. He's fine. Of course it's unfortunate what happened, but he will be fine."

MEMPHIS, TN - APRIL 22:  Marc Gasol #33 and Mike Conley #11 of the Memphis Grizzlies react to the croud during a timeout against the Portland Trailblazers during the first quarter of Game Two of the first round of the NBA Playoffs at FedExForum on April 2

But will he be there? Conley showed up at Game 5 in Memphis, which his team won, but he didn’t look great.

Like, at all:

Look, we know Conley is a warrior and plays through injuries, but he isn’t cut out to suit up right now, and it doesn't look like he will be anytime soon.

The Grizzlies managed to get by Portland, but Damian Lillard (27) and C.J. McCollum (25.5) averaged north of 50 combined points in Conley’s absence.

OAKLAND, CA - APRIL 20: Stephen Curry #30 and Klay Thompson #11 of the Golden State Warriors after a game against the New Orleans Pelicans in Game Two of the Western Conference Quarterfinals of the 2015 NBA Playoffs on April 20, 2015 at Oracle Arena in Oa

Imagine what Steph Curry and Klay Thompson will do next round—75, 100, infinite points?

Nick Calathes and Beno Udrih simply aren’t cut out to stop the league’s best backcourt in the next round.

The Grizzlies will have an advantage on the inside with Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol, but without Conley, the Warriors will destroy them.

What Should LBJ Do Next? 👑

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