Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

Since bringing in Peyton Manning to play quarterback, the Denver Broncos are 4-0 straight up against the rival Oakland Raiders and 3-0-1 against the spread. Coming off a somewhat embarrassing loss at New England, AFC West-leading Denver will try to rebound when it takes on the 0-8 Raiders Sunday afternoon in Oakland.

Point spread: Broncos opened as 10.5-point favorites; the total was 49 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 27.3-12.3 Broncos

Why the Broncos can cover the spread

The Broncos just had a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS broken by a 43-21 loss at New England. Denver owned an early lead but allowed a game-turning 84-yard punt return for a score in the second quarter, and things went mostly downhill from there. But a loss in a spot like that can be forgiven; the Broncos must now put that behind them and refocus on the task at hand.

Fortunately, they get a chance to rebound against a team they've dominated in the recent past. For the season, Denver ranks fifth in the league in total offense, seventh in defense and first against the run, holding foes to just 72 yards per game on the ground.

Why the Raiders can cover the spread

The Raiders might be the worst team in the league at the moment, ranking dead last in the league in total offense and rushing and 31st in scoring, and they stand as the only team yet to taste victory. But they are 4-4 ATS, in part because they gave New England, San Diego and Seattle, three teams that are a combined 17-9 on the season, tough games.

Last week, Oakland lost to the Seahawks 30-24 but covered as a 13-point road dog. The Raiders trailed at the half 24-3 but showed some pluck by twice pulling to within one score in the second half. So Oakland is now 5-2-1 ATS as a double-digit dog over the last season and a half.

Smart Pick

Denver has won the last four games in this rivalry by an average score of 34-14, and there's little reason to believe Sunday's outcome will be much different. The Broncos will have the bounce-back factor on their side, and they're dealing with a more manageable point spread playing on the road.

If this game were being played at Mile High, Denver might be favored by 17 points or even more. So the smart choice in this spot is with the Broncos, giving the points.

Betting Trends

• Denver is 5-1 SU in its last six games when playing on the road against Oakland
• Oakland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

Note: All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark - follow us on Twitter for injury updates and line move updates.