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NFL Picks Week 10: Teams That Are Locks to Cover the Spread

Mike MoraitisJun 8, 2018

Betting on NFL games has been a tricky proposition this season, but there are some spreads in Week 10 that teams will easily cover.

The Denver Broncos will hit the road for a divisional matchup with the San Diego Chargers in a game that will feature two very good offenses trying to outscore each other.

In what may be the most intriguing matchup of the week, the Carolina Panthers will look to earn a bit more respect with a win over the San Francisco 49ers.

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Another divisional matchup will feature the Cincinnati Bengals going into Baltimore looking for a huge road win against the Ravens in a place where Cincy historically has problems winning.

Let's break down each of these games and find out which teams are a lock to cover the spread.

Betting lines courtesy of Sportsbook.

AwayHomePick
RedskinsVikingsRedskins (-2.5)
JaguarsTitansTitans (-13.5)
EaglesPackersEagles (+2.5)
BillsSteelersBills (+3.5)
RaidersGiantsRaiders (+7.5)
RamsColtsColts (-10)
SeahawksFalconsSeahawks (-6.5)
BengalsRavensBengals (-2)
Panthers49ersPanthers (+6.5)
TexansCardinalsTexans (+2.5)
BroncosChargersBroncos (-7)
CowboysSaintsSaints (-7)
DolphinsBuccaneersDolphins (-3)

Denver Broncos (-7.5) at San Diego Chargers

The Broncos and their high-powered offense will hit the road to take on the Chargers this weekend in a game that will display little defense and plenty of offense.

Peyton Manning has led the Broncos to the No. 1 passing attack in the NFL, which is a huge problem for the Chargers, who rank No. 27 against the air attack. Denver's ground game will flourish as a result of San Diego's desperate need to send extra defenders into coverage as opposed to stacking the box.

Meanwhile, San Diego is No. 4 in the passing game this season and should be able to gain plenty of yardage and put points on the board versus a Denver defense that has allowed the third-most yards per game through the air this season.

The biggest difference is the Broncos' superiority in scoring points overall; they average a league-leading 42.9 points per contest compared to the Chargers' mark of 24 each game.

The differential in each team's points per game total leaves plenty of space for Denver to cover the spread, and if you need more incentive, add in the fact that the Broncos have won by eight points or more in six of their seven wins and you have a sure bet.

Prediction: Take Broncos to cover

Carolina Panthers (+6.5) at San Francisco 49ers

While picking San Francisco to win this game isn't a bad idea, don't expect this game to be a blowout; instead, it should be a very close contest overall.

Both squads have flashed some serious defensive skill in 2013-14. The Panthers rank No. 2 in points allowed per game while the Niners are No. 4. Because of that, neither offense will be able to get much going in this game.

The Niners' best offensive weapon has been their ground game this season, ranking tops in the NFL. But the Panthers will be ready to halt that attack, as they have allowed the second-fewest yards per game on the ground and own a No. 10 pass defense that should have no issue stifling San Francisco's league-worst air attack.

On the flip side, the Niners defense matches up well against the Panthers offense.

Carolina's bread and butter is running the ball, good enough for the No. 8 ranking in the league. But the Niners have done a solid job stopping opposing running backs to the tune of the No. 12 run defense in football to go along with a No. 8-ranked pass defense, which doesn't have too much to fear in regard to Carolina's No. 25 passing attack.

Two teams with elite defenses will bump heads in this game, and that means not only will this game be low-scoring, but it'll likely be a margin of a field goal or less.

Prediction: Take Panthers to cover

Cincinnati Bengals (-2) at Baltimore Ravens

After three weeks of serious offense, the Bengals and quarterback Andy Dalton were held to just 20 points in Week 9 against the Miami Dolphins. Now, they are primed to explode this week against a Baltimore Ravens team that just allowed 24 points to the Cleveland Browns and their No. 26-ranked scoring offense.

Aside from Baltimore's defense, its offense isn't something to write home about. The Ravens are ranked No. 21 in points per game this season and will be hard-pressed to get into the end zone since the Bengals are allowing the sixth-fewest points per game.

Baltimore's ticket to winning is its passing attack that ranks No. 15 in the NFL, and quarterback Joe Flacco will have the world on his shoulders with Ray Rice and the ground game gaining the fourth-fewest yards per contest.

The Bengals are solid against the pass this season, owning the No. 11 unit to go along with the No. 10 run defense. Forget about touchdowns, the Ravens will have a difficult time just getting positive yardage in this game.

Even if Cincy totally falters on offense in this game thanks to the Ravens' No. 10 defense in points allowed per game, you have to believe their defense will do enough to get the job done. And if you expect the Bengals to win, then it's a foregone conclusion that they can easily cover this spread.

Prediction: Take Bengals to cover

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