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Week 5 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Garrett BakerSep 30, 2013

Four weeks of football are in the books, and the middle of fantasy football regular seasons are fast-approaching.

Bye weeks and injuries are taking their tolls as some owners are looking for trades and others playing the best weekly waiver wire pickup.

Whatever your strategy or league position is right now, there's always room to get better.ย 

Here are stat predictions and rankings for the top 100 fantasy players for Week 5.

Quarterback

1 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Comp.Pass YardsPass TDsINTsRush Yds.
1ย Peyton Manning, DENย DALย 29345ย 4ย 1ย 0ย 
2ย Aaron Rodgers, GBDETย ย 24312ย 3ย ย 015ย 
3Mike Vick, PHINYGย 20277ย 3ย 1ย 49ย 
4ย Matthew Stafford, DETGBย ย 27338ย 3ย 1ย 5
5Drew Brees, NOCHIย ย 26329ย 3ย 0ย 0ย 
6ย Tony Romo, DALDENย ย 25316ย 3ย 0ย 0ย 
7ย Tom Brady, NECINย ย 26304ย 3ย 0ย 2ย 
8ย Matt Ryan, ATLNYJย ย 24309ย 3ย 1ย 0ย 
9ย Philip Rivers, SDOAKย ย 25299ย 2ย 0ย 0ย 
10ย Cam Newton, CARARIย ย 22236ย 2ย 1ย 46ย 
11ย Eli Manning, NYGPHIย ย 25289ย 3ย 2ย 2ย 
12ย Colin Kaepernick, SFHOUย 19ย 256ย 2ย 0ย 33ย 
13ย Terrelle Pryor, OAKSDย ย 18222ย 1ย 0ย 58ย 
14ย Jay Cutler, CHINOย ย 24263ย 2ย 1ย 0ย 
15ย Sam Bradford, STLJAXย ย 22241ย 3ย 1ย 0ย 

Rodgers and the Packers have the advantage of coming off a bye week, and they face off in a big rivalry game with the Lions, who are susceptible to giving up big chunks of yardage. Expect Rodgers to come out with a vengeance and have a monster performance.

While everyone will be talking about his counterpart in Sunday's matchup, Tony Romo should benefit from Peyton Manning's gunslinging ways. Romo has had a pretty decent start of his own and will be throwing a lot to keep up with Manning.

After two uninspiring games and two other incredible performances this year, which Philip Rivers will we see in Week 5? Against an average Oakland defense, I'm betting that the good side of Rivers comes through.

Running Back

2 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Rush Yds.Rec.Rec. Yds.Total TDs
1ย Matt Forte, CHINOย ย 1016ย ย 73ย 2
2ย LeSean McCoy, PHINYGย ย 122ย 330ย ย 2
3ย Jamaal Charles, KCTENย ย 1095ย ย 60ย 2
4ย Marshawn Lynch, SEAINDย 124ย ย 0ย 0ย 2
5ย DeMarco Murray, DALDENย ย 102ย 4ย 49ย 1
6ย Arian Foster, HOUSFย ย 108ย 214ย ย 1
7ย Reggie Bush, DETGBย ย 75ย 5ย 611ย 
8ย Ray Rice, BALMIAย ย 98ย 3ย 201ย 
9Darren McFadden, OAKSDย ย 94ย 1ย 71ย 
10Chris Johnson, TENKCย ย 95ย 2ย 11ย 0
11ย DeAngelo Williams, CARARIย ย 88ย 2ย 20ย 1
12ย Maurice Jones-Drew, JAXSTLย ย 89ย 0ย 0ย 1
13ย Darren Sproles, NOCHIย ย 48ย 7ย 74ย 0
14ย Frank Gore, SFHOUย ย 79ย 1ย 140ย 
15Lamar Miller, MIABALย ย 70ย 2ย 190ย 
ย 16Ryan Mathews, SDOAKย ย 72ย 1ย 9ย 0
17ย ย Fred Jackson, BUFCLEย ย 66ย 3ย 23ย 1
18ย ย C.J. Spiller, BUFCLEย ย 514ย 29ย 0
19ย Bilal Powell, NYJATLย ย 56ย 3ย 18ย 0
20ย ย Trent Richardson, INDSEAย ย 65ย 0ย 0ย 0

Matt Forte has quietly been one of the most productive backs in the league this year, clearly benefiting from Marc Trestman's new offense. He is a threat both on the ground and through the air, and he is on pace for nearly 2,000 yards from scrimmage this season.

Reggie Bush stormed back after missing the third game of the season, putting up 139 rushing yards on Chicago's solid defense. He's been looking like a superstar, and Green Bay won't be able to stop him.

Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both banged up, but Jackson looks like he is healthier than Spiller and has actually looked better on the field as well. It's hard to rely on Buffalo's backfield, but with a decent matchup against Cleveland, they're both usable as RB2s.

Wide Receiver

3 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1ย Calvin Johnson, DETGBย ย 8132ย 1ย 
2ย Demaryius Thomas, DENDALย ย 9126ย 1ย 
3ย Dez Bryant, DALDENย ย 8125ย 1ย 
4ย Julio Jones, ATLNYJย ย 8118ย 1ย 
5ย Brandon Marshall, CHINOย ย 9110ย 1ย 
6ย A.J. Green, CINNEย ย 7109ย 1ย 
7Andre Johnson, HOUSFย 7103ย 1ย 
8ย Randall Cobb, GBDETย ย 5110ย 1ย 
9ย Wes Welker, DENDALย ย 898ย 0ย 
10Jordy Nelson, GBDETย ย 6101ย 1ย 
11ย Larry Fitzgerald, ARICARย ย 6100ย 1ย 
12DeSean Jackson, PHINYGย ย 489ย 1ย 
13ย Eric Decker, DENDALย ย 691ย 0ย 
14ย Victor Cruz, NYGPHIย ย 593ย 0ย 
15ย Josh Gordon, CLEBUFย ย 680ย 0ย 
ย 16ย Danny Amendola, NECINย ย 557ย 1ย 
17ย ย Hakeem Nicks, NYGPHIย ย 479ย 0ย 
18ย ย Marques Colston, NOCHIย ย 773ย 0ย 
19ย Mike Wallace, MIABALย ย 5750ย 
20ย Brian Hartline, MIABALย ย 6700ย 
21ย Anquan Boldin, SFHOUย 5ย 69ย 0ย 
22ย Justin Blackmon, JAXSTLย ย 666ย 0ย 
23ย Julian Edelman, NECINย ย 759ย 0ย 
24ย Torrey Smith, BALMIAย ย 560ย 0ย 
25ย Steve Smith, CARARIย ย 655ย 0ย 
26ย Dwayne Bowe, KCTENย ย 559ย 0ย 
27ย DeAndre Hopkins, HOUSFย ย 461ย 0ย 
28ย Roddy White, ATLNYJย ย 560ย 0ย 
29ย Michael Floyd, ARICARย ย 558ย 0ย 
30ย T.Y. Hilton, INDSEAย ย 462ย 0ย 

Julio Jones has looked unbelievable this year. His stats are great, and some of the catches he makes are ridiculous. He's getting close to being Calvin Johnson-like unguardable, and he could tool on the Jets secondary.

It looks like the Browns and Brian Hoyer may actually be somewhat legit, and Gordon is looking like the biggest fantasy benefactor to that right now. 14 catches and over 200 yards is nothing to scoff at.

The Dolphins offense is looking good as a unit, but fantasy owners have to be confused about what their deal is at receiver. It's hard to trust Wallace, but Hartline doesn't have a very high ceiling.

After serving his four-game suspension, Blackmon is back and will be looking to make the Jaguars offense at least a little effective. He should get his targets and could end up having a big day against a weak St. Louis defense.

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Tight End

4 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1ย Jimmy Graham, NOCHIย ย 9120ย 1ย 
2ย Rob Gronkowski, NECINย ย 7110ย 1ย 
3ย Jason Witten, DALDENย ย 8112ย 0ย 
4Jordan Cameron, CLEBUFย ย 698ย 1ย 
5ย Julius Thomas, DENDALย 6ย 92ย 1ย 
6ย Antonio Gates, SDOAKย ย 793ย 0ย 
7ย Tony Gonzalez, ATLNYJย ย 585ย 0ย 
8ย Greg Olsen, CARARIย ย 682ย 0ย 
9ย Brandon Myers, NYGPHIย ย 577ย 0ย 
10ย Martellus Bennett, CHINOย ย 575ย 0ย 
11ย Jared Cook, STLJAXย ย 479ย 0ย 
12ย Owen Daniels, HOUSFย ย 665ย 0ย 
13Vernon Davis, SFHOUย 558ย 0ย 
14Coby Fleener, INDSEAย ย 5ย 550ย 
15Jermaine Gresham, CINNEย ย 457ย 0ย 

This looks like it could finally be the return of Rob Gronkowski. Tom Brady could surely use the help, and Gronk would instantly be a top tight end should he get back on the field.

I guess Jordan Cameron is for real. They say three is a trend, and after three great games, there is no denying that he is an impressive talent who will be relied on heavily by the Browns and Brian Hoyer.

Daniels is never near the top of the league, but he always seems to do enough to stay relevant. He has three touchdowns in the past two weeks and should get some looks against San Francisco.

Kicker

5 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Makes40+XP
1ย Alex Henery, PHIย NYGย 32ย 4
2ย Matt Bryant, ATLย NYJย 4ย 2ย 2
3ย Justin Tucker, BALMIAย ย 31ย 2ย 
4ย Stephen Gostkowski, NECINย ย 3ย 1ย 2
5ย Greg Zuerlein, STLJAXย ย 3ย 0ย 3
6ย Phil Dawson, SFย HOUย 3ย 0ย 2
7ย Garrett Hartley, NOย CHI1ย 0ย 3
8Nick Novak, SDOAKย ย 2ย 1ย 3
9ย Josh Brown, NYGPHIย ย 2ย 0ย 4
10ย Matt Prater, DENDALย 10ย 4

Alex Henery has looked good so far this season, and the Eagles' fast-paced offense could overwhelm the Giants defense. He'll get a bunch of looks and should rack up the extra points as well.

It's kind of routine at this point to just count on whoever is playing the Jaguars, as they have given up a lot of points and yards every game. Opportunities will be there for their opponents' kicker, who happens to be Greg Zuerlein in Week 5.

Defense

6 of 6
ย TeamOpp.Points AllowedSacksTurnovers
1ย SeattleINDย ย 10ย 6ย 1
2ย Houstonย SFย 13ย 3ย 2
3ย Atlantaย NYJย 10ย 2ย 1
4ย Buffaloย CLEย 17ย 3ย 2
5ย New Englandย CINย 20ย 4ย 2
6ย Cincinnatiย NEย 23ย 3ย 2
7ย San FranciscoHOUย 143ย ย 0
8CarolinaARIย 17ย 1ย 1
9ย Chicagoย NOย 17ย 1ย 1
10ย St. Louisย JAXย 20ย 0ย 2

Seattle is the stingiest defense in the league, bar none. The Seahawks' physicality should slow down T.Y. Hilton and Reggie Wayne, and I don't think Trent Richardson will be a consistent enough threat out of the backfield. If Seattle goes up, Indy will have to throw, and they could terrorize the Colts offensive line.

Buffalo's defense isn't outstanding, but it's still somewhat overlooked. The Browns have Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron, but they're prone to mistakes and just won't move the ball too much.

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