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Week 5 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Garrett BakerSep 30, 2013

Four weeks of football are in the books, and the middle of fantasy football regular seasons are fast-approaching.

Bye weeks and injuries are taking their tolls as some owners are looking for trades and others playing the best weekly waiver wire pickup.

Whatever your strategy or league position is right now, there's always room to get better. 

Here are stat predictions and rankings for the top 100 fantasy players for Week 5.

Quarterback

1 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Comp.Pass YardsPass TDsINTsRush Yds.
1 Peyton Manning, DEN DAL 29345 
2 Aaron Rodgers, GBDET  24312  015 
3Mike Vick, PHINYG 20277 49 
4 Matthew Stafford, DETGB  27338 5
5Drew Brees, NOCHI  26329 
6 Tony Romo, DALDEN  25316 
7 Tom Brady, NECIN  26304 
8 Matt Ryan, ATLNYJ  24309 
9 Philip Rivers, SDOAK  25299 
10 Cam Newton, CARARI  22236 46 
11 Eli Manning, NYGPHI  25289 
12 Colin Kaepernick, SFHOU 19 256 33 
13 Terrelle Pryor, OAKSD  18222 58 
14 Jay Cutler, CHINO  24263 
15 Sam Bradford, STLJAX  22241 

Rodgers and the Packers have the advantage of coming off a bye week, and they face off in a big rivalry game with the Lions, who are susceptible to giving up big chunks of yardage. Expect Rodgers to come out with a vengeance and have a monster performance.

While everyone will be talking about his counterpart in Sunday's matchup, Tony Romo should benefit from Peyton Manning's gunslinging ways. Romo has had a pretty decent start of his own and will be throwing a lot to keep up with Manning.

After two uninspiring games and two other incredible performances this year, which Philip Rivers will we see in Week 5? Against an average Oakland defense, I'm betting that the good side of Rivers comes through.

Running Back

2 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Rush Yds.Rec.Rec. Yds.Total TDs
1 Matt Forte, CHINO  101 73 2
2 LeSean McCoy, PHINYG  122 330  2
3 Jamaal Charles, KCTEN  109 60 2
4 Marshawn Lynch, SEAIND 124  0 0 2
5 DeMarco Murray, DALDEN  102 4 49 1
6 Arian Foster, HOUSF  108 214  1
7 Reggie Bush, DETGB  75 5 61
8 Ray Rice, BALMIA  98 3 20
9Darren McFadden, OAKSD  94 1 7
10Chris Johnson, TENKC  95 2 11 0
11 DeAngelo Williams, CARARI  88 2 20 1
12 Maurice Jones-Drew, JAXSTL  89 0 0 1
13 Darren Sproles, NOCHI  48 7 74 0
14 Frank Gore, SFHOU  79 1 14
15Lamar Miller, MIABAL  70 2 19
 16Ryan Mathews, SDOAK  72 1 9 0
17  Fred Jackson, BUFCLE  66 3 23 1
18  C.J. Spiller, BUFCLE  514 29 0
19 Bilal Powell, NYJATL  56 3 18 0
20  Trent Richardson, INDSEA  65 0 0 0

Matt Forte has quietly been one of the most productive backs in the league this year, clearly benefiting from Marc Trestman's new offense. He is a threat both on the ground and through the air, and he is on pace for nearly 2,000 yards from scrimmage this season.

Reggie Bush stormed back after missing the third game of the season, putting up 139 rushing yards on Chicago's solid defense. He's been looking like a superstar, and Green Bay won't be able to stop him.

Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both banged up, but Jackson looks like he is healthier than Spiller and has actually looked better on the field as well. It's hard to rely on Buffalo's backfield, but with a decent matchup against Cleveland, they're both usable as RB2s.

Wide Receiver

3 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1 Calvin Johnson, DETGB  8132 
2 Demaryius Thomas, DENDAL  9126 
3 Dez Bryant, DALDEN  8125 
4 Julio Jones, ATLNYJ  8118 
5 Brandon Marshall, CHINO  9110 
6 A.J. Green, CINNE  7109 
7Andre Johnson, HOUSF 7103 
8 Randall Cobb, GBDET  5110 
9 Wes Welker, DENDAL  898 
10Jordy Nelson, GBDET  6101 
11 Larry Fitzgerald, ARICAR  6100 
12DeSean Jackson, PHINYG  489 
13 Eric Decker, DENDAL  691 
14 Victor Cruz, NYGPHI  593 
15 Josh Gordon, CLEBUF  680 
 16 Danny Amendola, NECIN  557 
17  Hakeem Nicks, NYGPHI  479 
18  Marques Colston, NOCHI  773 
19 Mike Wallace, MIABAL  575
20 Brian Hartline, MIABAL  670
21 Anquan Boldin, SFHOU 69 
22 Justin Blackmon, JAXSTL  666 
23 Julian Edelman, NECIN  759 
24 Torrey Smith, BALMIA  560 
25 Steve Smith, CARARI  655 
26 Dwayne Bowe, KCTEN  559 
27 DeAndre Hopkins, HOUSF  461 
28 Roddy White, ATLNYJ  560 
29 Michael Floyd, ARICAR  558 
30 T.Y. Hilton, INDSEA  462 

Julio Jones has looked unbelievable this year. His stats are great, and some of the catches he makes are ridiculous. He's getting close to being Calvin Johnson-like unguardable, and he could tool on the Jets secondary.

It looks like the Browns and Brian Hoyer may actually be somewhat legit, and Gordon is looking like the biggest fantasy benefactor to that right now. 14 catches and over 200 yards is nothing to scoff at.

The Dolphins offense is looking good as a unit, but fantasy owners have to be confused about what their deal is at receiver. It's hard to trust Wallace, but Hartline doesn't have a very high ceiling.

After serving his four-game suspension, Blackmon is back and will be looking to make the Jaguars offense at least a little effective. He should get his targets and could end up having a big day against a weak St. Louis defense.

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Tight End

4 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1 Jimmy Graham, NOCHI  9120 
2 Rob Gronkowski, NECIN  7110 
3 Jason Witten, DALDEN  8112 
4Jordan Cameron, CLEBUF  698 
5 Julius Thomas, DENDAL 92 
6 Antonio Gates, SDOAK  793 
7 Tony Gonzalez, ATLNYJ  585 
8 Greg Olsen, CARARI  682 
9 Brandon Myers, NYGPHI  577 
10 Martellus Bennett, CHINO  575 
11 Jared Cook, STLJAX  479 
12 Owen Daniels, HOUSF  665 
13Vernon Davis, SFHOU 558 
14Coby Fleener, INDSEA  5 55
15Jermaine Gresham, CINNE  457 

This looks like it could finally be the return of Rob Gronkowski. Tom Brady could surely use the help, and Gronk would instantly be a top tight end should he get back on the field.

I guess Jordan Cameron is for real. They say three is a trend, and after three great games, there is no denying that he is an impressive talent who will be relied on heavily by the Browns and Brian Hoyer.

Daniels is never near the top of the league, but he always seems to do enough to stay relevant. He has three touchdowns in the past two weeks and should get some looks against San Francisco.

Kicker

5 of 6
 Player, TeamOpp.Makes40+XP
1 Alex Henery, PHI NYG 34
2 Matt Bryant, ATL NYJ 4 2 2
3 Justin Tucker, BALMIA  3
4 Stephen Gostkowski, NECIN  3 1 2
5 Greg Zuerlein, STLJAX  3 0 3
6 Phil Dawson, SF HOU 3 0 2
7 Garrett Hartley, NO CHI1 0 3
8Nick Novak, SDOAK  2 1 3
9 Josh Brown, NYGPHI  2 0 4
10 Matt Prater, DENDAL 10 4

Alex Henery has looked good so far this season, and the Eagles' fast-paced offense could overwhelm the Giants defense. He'll get a bunch of looks and should rack up the extra points as well.

It's kind of routine at this point to just count on whoever is playing the Jaguars, as they have given up a lot of points and yards every game. Opportunities will be there for their opponents' kicker, who happens to be Greg Zuerlein in Week 5.

Defense

6 of 6
 TeamOpp.Points AllowedSacksTurnovers
1 SeattleIND  10 6 1
2 Houston SF 13 3 2
3 Atlanta NYJ 10 2 1
4 Buffalo CLE 17 3 2
5 New England CIN 20 4 2
6 Cincinnati NE 23 3 2
7 San FranciscoHOU 14 0
8CarolinaARI 17 1 1
9 Chicago NO 17 1 1
10 St. Louis JAX 20 0 2

Seattle is the stingiest defense in the league, bar none. The Seahawks' physicality should slow down T.Y. Hilton and Reggie Wayne, and I don't think Trent Richardson will be a consistent enough threat out of the backfield. If Seattle goes up, Indy will have to throw, and they could terrorize the Colts offensive line.

Buffalo's defense isn't outstanding, but it's still somewhat overlooked. The Browns have Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron, but they're prone to mistakes and just won't move the ball too much.

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