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Week 4 Fantasy Football Predictions: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Garrett BakerSep 23, 2013

Three exciting weeks of professional football are behind us, and the fantasy football landscape is really starting to take shape.ย 

Last week was a particularly interesting one, with the trade of Trent Richardson and Andy Reid's return to Philadelphia kicking off a good weekend of football.

We always have to be looking forward in fantasy football, however, so here are stat predictions and rankings for Week 4.ย 

Quarterback

1 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Comp.Pass Yds
Pass TDsINTsRush Yds
1.Peyton Manning, DENPHIย 293953ย 0ย 0
2.Drew Brees, NOMIA25393ย 3ย 0ย 0
3.Andrew Luck, INDJAX273554ย 1ย 28
4.Mike Vick, PHIDEN24ย 323ย 3ย 1ย 52
5.Tony Romo, DALSD283682ย 0ย 0
6.Matt Ryan, ATLNE253253ย ย 1ย 0
7.Tom Brady, NEATLย 263203ย ย 1ย 0
8.Matthew Stafford, DETCHI253022ย 1ย 0
9.Alex Smith, KCNYG232852ย 0ย 19
10.Robert Griffin III, WASOAK272901ย ย 1ย 14
11.Colin Kaepernick, SFSTL212562ย 1ย 22
12.**Terrelle Pryor, OAKWASย 19ย 2082ย ย 1ย 64
13.Russell Wilson, SEAHOU23ย 2501ย 0ย 33
14.Andy Dalton, CINCLE212382ย 0ย 8
15.ย Ryan Tannehill, MIANO23ย 2542ย 1ย 13

After three straight very productive fantasy games, Andrew Luck has shown he can contribute through the air and ground. He gets a great matchup against Jacksonville in Week 4, with Trent Richardson likely taking some pressure off as well.

What's up with the Niners and their offense? Colin Kaepernick has looked weak so far. He doesn't have great targets to throw to, and the running game can't get going. But St. Louis has looked porous, so there's a chance Kaepernick gets back in gear.

Ryan Tannehill has the Dolphins at 3-0, and he's put up some quietly big numbers in the process. He's got 827 passing yards already, and Miami could get into a shootout in New Orleans. Tannehill has emerged as an intriguing play in Week 4.

**Pryor is likelyย not playing this Sunday. Philip Rivers would move in as the 15th quarterback for Week 4.

Running Back

2 of 6
ย ย Player, TeamOpp.ย Rush YdsRec.ย Rec. Ydsย Total TDsย 
ย 1.ย Adrian Peterson, MINPITย 117ย 2ย 24ย 2
2.ย ย Matt Forte, CHIDETย 98ย 4ย 50ย 2
3.ย ย Jamaal Charles, KCNYGย 109ย 4ย 47ย 1
ย 4.ย Doug Martin, TBARIย 83ย 5ย 35ย 2
5.ย ย LeSean McCoy, PHIDENย 102ย 2ย 18ย 1
6.ย ย Alfred Morris, WASOAKย 100ย 0ย 0ย 2
7.ย ย DeMarco Murray, DALSDย 99ย 4ย 26ย 1
8.ย ย Bernard Pierce, BALBUFย 98ย 2ย 20ย 1
9.ย ย Trent Richardson, INDJAXย 87ย ย 2ย 14ย 1
10.ย Reggie Bush, DET CHIย 55ย 6ย 68ย 0
11.ย Marshawn Lynch, SEAHOUย 84ย 0ย 0ย 1
12.ย Darren McFadden, OAKย WASย 67ย 3ย 32ย 0ย 
13.ย C.J. Spiller, BUFย BALย 58ย 5ย 41ย 0
14.ย Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX INDย 45ย ย 1ย 10ย 1
15.ย Darren Sproles, NOMIAย 18ย 7ย 64ย 0ย 
16.ย Lamar Miller, MIANOย 67ย 3ย 24ย 0
17.ย Chris Johnson, TENNYJย 69ย 2ย 20ย 0
18.ย Knowshon Moreno, DENPHIย 58ย ย 2ย 21ย 0
19.ย Jacquizz Rodgers, ATLNEย 54ย 1ย 17ย 0
20.ย Arian Foster, HOU SEAย 54ย 1ย 10ย 0
21.ย Ben Tate, HOU SEAย 45ย 3ย 11ย 0
22.ย Fred Jackson, BUF BALย 48ย 2ย 14ย 0
23.ย Stevan Ridley, NEATLย 51ย 0ย 0ย 0
24.ย Frank Gore, SFSTLย 44ย 1ย 7ย 0
25.ย Ryan Mathews, SDDALย 47ย 0ย ย 0ย 0ย 

Matt Forte has really looked great in Chicago's new offense and has been a threat in both the rushing and passing games. The Bears are looking to get Forte the ball a lot, and he should be able to run wild on Detroit's defense in Week 4.

It's hard to gauge how much action Trent Richardson will get in Week 4, but he has a really juicy matchup against a brutal Jacksonville defense.ย 

Bernard Pierce played well as the starter in Week 3, and he has some legitimate potential as a workhorse back. He isn't anywhere near the threat that Ray Rice is in the passing game, but he's a bigger and more physical runner who could gash Buffalo up the middle in Week 4.

In Week 4, Jacquizz Rodgers and the Falcons smashed the ball right through Miami's defensive line, who was depleted by the loss of nose tackle Paul Soliai. He has some explosiveness and is hard to catch in the open field, so if he can get to the second level against New England, expect some big runs.

Stevan Ridley has really been a huge disappointment this season. LeGarrette Blount got 14 touches in Week 4 while Ridley only had 12, which is a major concern. But he is still the most talented back on the Patriots, so he's worth a start in deeper leagues.ย 

Wide Receiver

3 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1.ย Calvin Johnson, DETCHIย 9ย 123ย 1ย 
2.ย Brandon Marshall, CHIDETย 11ย 101ย 1ย 
3.ย Dez Bryant, DALSDย 7120ย 1ย 
4.ย Demaryius Thomas, DENPHIย 6ย 113ย 1ย 
5.ย Julio Jones, ATLNEย 6ย 110ย 1ย 
6.ย Wes Welker, DENPHIย 11ย 129ย 0ย 
7.ย Dwayne Bowe, KCNYGย 6ย 101ย 1ย 
8.ย A.J. Green, CINCLEย 6ย 100ย 1ย 
9.ย Julian Edelman, NEATLย 989ย 1ย 
10.ย DeSean Jackson, PHIDENย 5ย 101ย 1ย 
11.ย Reggie Wayne, INDJAXย 6ย 90ย 1ย 
12.ย T.Y. Hilton, INDJAXย 4ย 91ย 1ย 
13.ย Larry Fitzgerald, ARITBย 6ย 85ย 1ย 
14.ย Roddy White, ATLNEย 6ย 94ย 0
15.ย Victor Cruz, NYGKCย 5ย 91ย 0ย 
16.ย Vincent Jackson, TBARIย 5ย 61ย 1ย 
17.ย Andre Johnson, HOUSEAย 6ย 70ย 0ย 
18.ย Eric Decker, DENPHIย 6ย 68ย 0ย 
19.ย Josh Gordon, CLECINย 5ย 71ย 0ย 
20.ย Antonio Brown, PITMINย 6ย 63ย 0ย 
21.ย Kenbrell Thompkins, NEATLย 4ย 38ย 1ย 
22.ย Torrey Smith, BALBUFย 7ย 61ย 0ย 
23.ย Anquan Boldin, SFSTLย 5ย 68ย 0ย 
24.ย Mike Wallace, MIANOย 4ย 70ย 0ย 
25.ย Pierre Garcon, WASOAKย 5ย 63ย 0ย 
26.ย Cecil Shorts, JAXINDย 4ย 64ย 0ย 
27.ย Marques Colston, NOMIAย 5ย 59ย 0
28.ย Stevie Johnson, BUFBALย 5ย 55ย 0ย 
29.ย Brian Hartline, MIANOย 6ย 49ย 0ย 
30.ย Emmanuel Sanders, PITMIN5ย 49ย 0ย 

T.Y. Hilton is an up-and-down type of player who lit up the Dolphins in Week 2 and then was nursing a groin injury in Week 3, when he had just two catches. But if he heals up, he could torch the Jaguars for a couple of big gains.

Unluckily for Andre Johnson and his fantasy owners, the Seahawks and Richard Sherman are waiting in Week 4. Sherman has been on fire this year and has blanketed everyone he's faced so far.

How about Josh Gordon's season debut in Week 3? Unfortunately, he still plays for the Browns. Don't expect a repeat after a very good Cincinnati defense has a week to prepare for him.

On a depleted Baltimore offense, Torrey Smith remains the only steady talent who can be relied on each week. He could find some room in Buffalo's secondary and pull in a couple of long grabs.

Brian Hartline has actually been better than Mike Wallace this season so far, although Miami's passing game has really been unpredictable. Ryan Tannehill rides the hot hand, whether that be Wallace, Hartline, Brandon Gibson or even Charles Clay. But Hartline will always get his targets, and he never drops the ball.

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Tight End

4 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
1.Jimmy Graham, NOMIAย ย 7134ย 2ย 
2.Rob Gronkowski, NEย ATLย ย 8120ย 2ย 
3.Tony Gonzalez, ATLย NEย ย 6101ย 1ย 
4.Jason Witten, DALย SDย ย 899ย 0ย 
5.Julius Thomas, DENย PHIย ย 464ย 1ย 
6.Jordan Cameron, CLEย CINย ย 555ย 1ย 
7.Martellus Bennett, CHIย DETย ย 668ย 0ย 
8.Coby Fleener, INDJAXย ย 665ย 0ย 
9.Vernon Davis, SFSTLย ย 471ย 0ย 
10.Brandon Myers, NYGKCย ย 566ย 0ย 
11.Antonio Gates, SDDALย ย 565ย 0ย 
12.Owen Daniels, HOUย SEAย ย 459ย 0ย 
13.Jared Cook, STLSFย 551ย 0ย 
14.Charles Clay, MIAย NOย ย 550ย 0ย 
15.Scott Chandler, BUFBALย 448ย 0ย 

Jimmy Graham has been on fire as the primary weapon in New Orleans' offense. They get the Dolphins, who haven't been very good at covering tight ends, on Monday night at home.ย 

This should be the week that Rob Gronkowski comes back, which is a great thing for Tom Brady and Gronk's fantasy owners. They have had some cupcake games so far, and they'll need Gronk in full force against Atlanta this Sunday night.

Jordan Cameron was shockingly productive with Brian Hoyer as his quarterback in Week 3, which really says a lot more about Cameron than Hoyer. He may not put up three touchdowns every week, but he's proven he's talented enough to make a consistent impact.

It feels a little like the late 2000s again, as Antonio Gates is proving to be a reliable fantasy option. The Chargers could get into a shootout with the Cowboys, so Gates looks like he has some value again.

Kicker

5 of 6
ย Player, TeamOpp.Makes40+XP
1.ย Matt Prater, DENย PHI21ย 5ย 
2.ย Stephen Gostkowski, NE ATLย 3ย 2ย 2ย 
3.ย Matt Bryant, ATL NE42ย 2ย 
4.ย Justin Tucker, BAL BUFย 3ย 1ย 3ย 
5.ย Adam Vinatieri, IND JAXย 21ย 4ย 
6.ย Dan Bailey, DALSDย 413ย 
7.ย Greg Zuerlein, STL SFย 4ย 1ย 1ย 
8.ย Garrett Hartley, NOMIAย 2ย 2ย 3ย 
9.ย Caleb Sturgis, MIANOย 3ย 12ย 
10.ย Steven Hauschka, SEA HOUย 2ย 1ย 2ย 

Matt Prater should benefit from the ridiculous amounts of points that Denver will probably put up on Philadelphia's weak defense. Five extra points may even be six.

Everyone has to take notice of Caleb Sturgis down in Miami. If he's still on your waiver wire, grab him ASAP. He already looks like one of the best kickers in the league, starting the year with six straight makes, two of which were more than 50 yards.

Defense

6 of 6
ย TeamOpp.Points AllowedSacksTurnovers
1.ย CincinnatiCLEย 10ย 3ย 2
2.ย Kansas CityNYGย ย 14ย 5ย ย 2
3.ย Seattleย HOUย ย 13ย 3ย 1
4.ย Chicagoย DETย ย 17ย 2ย 2
5.ย San FranciscoSTLย ย 10ย 2ย 1
6.ย Baltimoreย BUFย ย 14ย 3ย 1
7.ย IndianapolisJAXย ย 13ย 1ย 2
8.ย ArizonaTBย ย 17ย 2ย ย 1
9.ย TennesseeNYJย ย 10ย 2ย 0
10.ย DallasSDย 20ย 2ย 2

Oh man, Kansas City is going to have a field day this week against the New York Giants' porous offensive line. Tamba Hali and Justin Houston have to be licking their chops.

Tennesse's defense has been quietly effective this season, and while they aren't the type to create a lot of havoc, they also have the potential to mostly squash Geno Smith and the Jets and dominate the field-position battle.

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