College Football Rankings Week 14: Consensus from Around the Web
The regular season in now over for most teams across the nation, and the only things left on the agenda are conference championship games and bowl selections.
With just two undefeated teams remaining in the FBS—only one of which is eligible for a bowl game—it seems all but certain we can reach a consensus on the No. 1 team in the nation.
But what about the plethora of high-quality one-loss teams? And let's not forget about the solid two-loss potential conference champions out there. Can we find a consensus for No. 2?
We've scoured the Internet to find the various polls and rankings out there, and we've lumped them all together right here.
The Bleacher Report College Football Writers' Poll
1 of 11We'll start with our own, in-house Bleacher Report College Football Top 25 Poll.
This poll is put together with votes from the top college football writers right here on B/R and has seen similar trends this season to those of the AP and Coaches' polls. It's also going to give us a good reference point from which to start our search for an Internet consensus.
1. Notre Dame (13 first-place votes)
2. Alabama (3)
3. Georgia
4. Ohio State (2)
5. Oregon
6. Florida
T7. Kansas State
T7. LSU
9. Texas A&M
10. Stanford
11. South Carolina
12. Oklahoma
13. Florida State
14. Nebraska
15. Clemson
16. Kent State
17. UCLA
18. Boise State
19. Oregon State
20. Northern Illinois
21. Texas
22. Utah State
23. Oklahoma State
24. Michigan
25. Rutgers
(Others receiving votes: Northwestern, Louisville, Vanderbilt, Penn State, TCU, Mississippi State, Texas Tech, Tulsa, Arizona State, Fresno State, San Jose State, Cincinnati, Toledo)
The ESPNU Fan Rankings
2 of 11Just for fun, we thought we'd add in the one poll in which anyone and everyone can vote. The ESPNU Fan Rankings are compiled using user-defined rankings.
Some have asked why we don't use the ESPN Power Rankings in place of the ESPNU Fan Poll. The answer is disappointing: ESPN doesn't release updated power rankings in time for us to include it.
Unfortunately, there is one major drawback to this poll: users can only select from 30 ESPN-selected teams to rank in order from 1 to 30.
Think Ohio should get a No. 25 spot? Too bad. It's not an option.
There's also the wildly biased votes you don't see in the more professional polls (no one is ranking Alabama No. 25 in the B/R poll, Coaches' Poll or AP Poll).
It's also monumentally silly to rank undefeated Notre Dame at No. 10 just because you hate Notre Dame, but you can rest assured it happens in this poll.
Just as an example, Washington received 117 first-place votes while Stanford received just 104.
The fan poll changes almost hourly (we're using the poll results as of 5:30 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, November 25), but seems to hold steady to its heavy ACC and Pac-12 bias while punishing the SEC at every opportunity.
1. Notre Dame
2. Alabama
3. Oregon
4. Georgia
5. Florida
6. Kansas State
7. Stanford
8. LSU
9. Texas A&M
10. Florida State
11. Clemson
12. South Carolina
13. Oklahoma
14. Nebraska
15. Oregon State
16. UCLA
17. Ohio State
18. Texas
19. Rutgers
20. Louisville
21. Michigan
22. Oklahoma State
23. Boise State
24. Kent State
25. Arizona
26. Washington
27. Mississippi State
28. Northern Illinois
29. Louisiana Tech
30. Utah State
The Associated Press College Football Poll
3 of 11The AP is perhaps the largest and most prestigious college football poll in the nation.
It's also the most important poll that's not part of the BCS calculations these days (as the AP told the BCS not to use its poll following the 2004 season over concerns about maintaining the AP poll's integrity and independence).
The major talk around the nation right now regarding the AP poll is the fact that undefeated Ohio State is still eligible to be named national champions by the AP.
Will that happen? If Notre Dame takes care of business, probably not. But if the Irish falter to a once-beaten SEC champion, all bets are off.
1. Notre Dame (60 first-place votes)
2. Alabama
3. Georgia
4. Ohio State
5. Florida
6. Oregon
7. Kansas State
8. Stanford
9. LSU
10. Texas A&M
11. South Carolina
12. Oklahoma
13. Florida State
14. Nebraska
15. Clemson
16. Oregon State
17. UCLA
18. Kent State
19. Northern Illinois
20. Utah State
21. Michigan
22. Northwestern
23. Texas
24. Oklahoma State
25. Boise State
(Others receiving votes: San Jose State, Louisville, TCU, Penn State, Rutgers, Vanderbilt, San Diego State, Fresno State, USC, Arkansas State, Arizona, Cincinnati, Ball State, Mississippi State, North Carolina)
The USA Today Coaches' Poll
4 of 11One of the two BCS “human polls” is the “Coaches' Poll” published by USA Today each week.
The Coaches' Poll makes up one-third of the BCS rankings and polls 60 FBS head coaches (although this year, only 59 coaches vote after USC's Lane Kiffin gave up his voting rights after being caught in a lie about how he voted his Trojans at season's start).
The Coaches' Poll has shown similar movement over the past two weeks, and we're beginning to see a general consensus develop—at least at the top.
1. Notre Dame (56 first-place votes)
2. Alabama (2)
3. Georgia (1)
4. Oregon
5. Florida
6. LSU
7. Kansas State
8. Texas A&M
9. Stanford
10. South Carolina
11. Oklahoma
12. Florida State
13. Nebraska
14. Clemson
15. Boise State
16. UCLA
17. Oregon State
18. Northern Illinois
19. Kent State
20. Northwestern
21. Texas
22. Utah State
23. Louisville
24. Michigan
25. Rutgers
(Others receiving votes: Oklahoma State, San Jose State, Vanderbilt, Fresno State, TCU, San Diego State, Cincinnati, Arizona State-Arkansas State, Mississippi State, Middle Tennessee State, Central Florida-Louisiana Tech, Arizona, Toledo, Baylor-USC)
Note: The Coaches' Poll bars coaches from voting for teams under NCAA sanction. Central Florida appears because the NCAA has not yet ruled on its appeal of sanctions.
The Harris Interactive College Football Poll
5 of 11The other part to the human element of the BCS is the poll from the fine folks at Harris Interactive.
Harris Interactive polls current and former media types, as well as former coaches, players and administrators.
Again, we're seeing Notre Dame and Alabama in the top two spots, and unanimity isn't far away.
The Harris Poll had 115 voters this week, and counts for one-third of the BCS rankings.
1. Notre Dame (109 first-place votes)
2. Alabama (6)
3. Georgia
4. Oregon
5. Florida
6. Kansas State
7. LSU
8. Stanford
9. Texas A&M
10. South Carolina
11. Oklahoma
12. Florida State
13. Nebraska
14. Clemson
15. Oregon State
16. UCLA
17. Boise State
18. Kent State
19. Northern Illinois
20. Texas
21. Northwestern
22. Utah State
23. Michigan
24. Louisville
25. Oklahoma State
(Others receiving votes: Rutgers, TCU, San Jose State, Vanderbilt, USC, San Diego State, Fresno State, Baylor, Mississippi State, Louisiana Tech, Cincinnati, Arizona State, Syracuse, Tulsa, Central Florida, Toledo, Arizona, East Carolina, Arkansas State, Louisiana-Monroe, Washington)
Note: The Harris Poll bars voters from voting for teams under NCAA sanction. Central Florida appears because the NCAA has not yet ruled on its appeal of sanctions.
The Bowl Championship Series Rankings
6 of 11And last, but certainly not least is the poll to end all polls: the Bowl Championship Series rankings.
The BCS combines the aforementioned Harris Interactive and Coaches' Poll with a collection of six computerized ranking systems.
The mysterious computerized systems are a closely guarded secret, and no one outside of the BCS itself (and the six organizations that run the systems) really knows how it works.
Suffice it to say, it's some advanced formula taking into account strength of schedule, opponents' win percentage, opponents' opponents' win percentage, how great the SEC is, and all nonsensical stuff like that.
The BCS drops the highest and lowest rankings from the six computer polls, and then averages the remaining rankings to get the final third of the BCS puzzle.
These rankings are the final determining factor of which team plays in which BCS bowl at season's end, with No. 1 and No. 2 facing off in the BCS National Championship Game.
1. Notre Dame
2. Alabama
3. Georgia
4. Florida
5. Oregon
6. Kansas State
7. LSU
8. Stanford
9. Texas A&M
10. South Carolina
11. Oklahoma
12. Nebraska
13. Florida State
14. Clemson
15. Oregon State
16. UCLA
17. Kent State
18. Texas
19. Michigan
20. Boise State
21. Northern Illinois
22. Northwestern
23. Oklahoma State
24. Utah State
25. San Jose State
Building a Consensus
7 of 11Now all we have to do is come up with a general consensus—easier said that done for some teams.
The teams at the top have all separated themselves from the pack, so it's easy to pick the top five in the nation. With an allowance for polls that rank Ohio State, the top five teams in the BCS are the top five non-Buckeye teams in every single poll.
Notre Dame is obviously a unanimous No. 1 team, and Alabama seems to be leading the way as a consensus No. 2. But what about Florida and Oregon?
How about the other impressive one-loss teams?
For that, we'll need to balance one poll against the rest while trying to reconcile the BCS rankings with common sense.
It's also worth noting here that Ohio State and Penn State are ineligible to receive votes in the Coaches' Poll, the Harris Poll and the BCS, so take that into consideration when viewing their final “consensus” rankings (Central Florida was ineligible but has appealed its sanctions, so until a final ruling is made, the Knights are technically eligible).
We've also added in the teams “also receiving votes” in every poll. The lowest ranking is a tie for No. 43.
So let's begin, shall we?
From the Bottom Up
8 of 11Starting at the bottom of the rankings (equivalent to No. 26 and below), we'll list the poll average for every team that has at least one vote in at least one poll.
The number of polls each program has appeared in out of our six poll selections in parentheses.
Louisville: 24.200 (5 poll appearances)
Rutgers: 25.200 (5)
San Jose State: 28.000 (5)
TCU: 28.750 (4)
Vanderbilt: 29.000 (4)
Penn State: 29.000 (2)
San Diego State: 31.333 (3)
Fresno State: 32.000 (4)
Texas Tech: 32.000 (1)
Mississippi State: 33.000 (5)
Louisiana Tech: 33.667 (3)
Arizona State: 34.667 (3)
USC: 35.000 (3)
Washington: 35.000 (2)
Arizona: 35.250 (4)
Cincinnati: 35.500 (4)
Tulsa: 35.500 (2)
Middle Tennessee State: 36.000 (1)
Baylor: 37.000 (2)
Arkansas State: 37.333 (3)
Ball State: 38.000 (1)
North Carolina: 38.000 (1)
Syracuse: 38.000 (1)
Central Florida: 38.500 (2)
Toledo: 39.333 (3)
East Carolina: 43.000 (1)
Louisiana-Monroe: 44.000 (1)
The Consensus Top 25
9 of 11No. 1: Notre Dame (1.000 average poll position—first in every poll)
No. 2: Alabama
No. 3: Georgia
No. 4: Oregon
No. 5: Florida
No. 6: Kansas State
No. 7: LSU
No. 8: Ohio State
No. 9: Stanford
No. 10: Texas A&M
No. 11: South Carolina
No. 12: Oklahoma
No. 13: Florida State
No. 14: Nebraska
No. 15: Clemson
No. 16: Oregon State
No. 17: UCLA
No. 18: Kent State
No. 19: Boise State
No. 20: Texas
No. 21: Northern Illinois
No. 22: Michigan
No. 23: Northwestern
No. 24: Utah State
No. 25: Oklahoma State
What Does It All Mean?
10 of 11Well, we've determined that Notre Dame is the No. 1 team in the nation—just in case you weren't sure yet.
And Alabama is a unanimous No. 2, with Georgia close behind as a pretty solid No. 3. But that's where the clarity ends.
Florida is clinging to the No. 4 spot, which is an important position, given the “3-4 Rule” in the BCS rankings (which means the highest-ranking team not otherwise qualifying between the No. 3 and No. 4 teams receives an automatic BCS berth). But Florida is only No. 4 in the BCS; the Gators are No. 5 in every other poll.
Oregon, on the other hand, averages a full half-point ahead. And if Stanford goes on to win the Pac-12 Championship Game next weekend, who knows how that could affect the computer rankings?
Now throw in the added wrench of the lone team to beat Florida—current No. 3 Georgia—potentially losing in the SEC Championship Game, and you can start to see how Oregon can start to make up the gap in the computer rankings—right where the Ducks need help.
Just for Fun...
11 of 11Finally, just for kicks and giggles, we thought we'd add in a little conference fun to our consensus rankings.
The Big 12 leads the way with 80 percent of teams ranked in what amounts to the top 52 FBS teams in the nation.
The Pac-12 is next with two-thirds of its teams ranked.
Somewhat surprisingly, the SEC is tied with the Big East with 50 percent of conference members appearing on the list (of course, the ranked SEC teams average No. 13 while the Big East teams average No. 35).
The worst conferences in terms of number of ranked teams are the Sun Belt (20 percent) followed closely by the ACC (25 percent) and Mountain West (30 percent).
When comparing rankings of conference teams, the aforementioned SEC leads all conferences with an average ranking of 13.429. The Big Ten comes in second at 19.4.
The Sun Belt and Conference USA are at the bottom of the pile with C-USA edging out the Sun Belt for last place, 46.250 to 48.500.
While all this information probably won't solve the argument of whether or not conference A Is better than conference B, it may give a glimpse into the minds of the voters around the nation and their perceived biases.
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