NBA Draft 2012: 4 Overated Top 10 Picks

Look at any NBA draft and notice there's always a few players drafted in the top 10 who just don't pan out. It's happened with picks going as high as No. 1—Michael Olowokandi—and with No. 2 picks like Darko Milicic and even Michael Sweetney at the No. 9 pick from that same '03 draft.

This year's draft will be no different. So here are four players projected to go in the top 10 who may be in for a rude awakening.

Bradley Beal Has Already Seen His Best Days

Bradley Beal is 6'3" and will be seen as a combo guard in the NBA. Only one problem: He's not athletic enough to make up for his lack of size at the 2 spot.

He'll have to settle for hanging around the three point line, but while he can be compared to a combination of Eric Gordon and Ray Allen, he's not as good a shooter as Ray-Ray—shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc last season for Florida —nor is he as athletic as Gordon. He's not a great ball-handler either.

Look for Beal to carve out a brief role on the bench in the Golden State. His college game won't transition to the faster, stronger NBA game. Beal won't do anything in the long run and will be remembered as having a generally underwhelming, short-lived NBA career.

John Henson: Too Thin to Bang with the Big Boys

John Henson had a nice career at UNC, but when he gets drafted by Detroit, he'll find out quickly that putting on 30 pounds since his freshman year is not enough to hold his own down low in the NBA.

And the problem is, he's not athletic enough to guard small forwards—can't move laterally at all—and he's just too thin at the shoulders to go down in the post against a Dwight Howard, Andrew Bynum or Kevin Love.

So if he doesn't play well down low, he'll have to rely on stepping out and hitting the jumper, something that he, and most players of his generation, just cannot do. It doesn't help that he's a liability at the charity stripe, too, shooting 48 percent over his college career for Roy Williams.

It's been a good run, Johnny. Your NBA career begins soon. And will end sooner than later.

Damian Lillard Will Fade to Obscurity in Portlandia

Damian Lillard turned the ball over too much at Weber St., and it's not likely to get any easier at the professional level. He'll probably get picked up by Portland with the sixth pick, but the Trailblazers will soon realize that he's just another quick, shoot-first point guard who won't do much to make his teammates, namely a rising LaMarcus Aldridge, any better in the long run.

He's also untested. He didn't exactly face tough competition in the Big Sky conference, so his college career did little to prepare him for the transition to the NBA, which will be a level of competition that Lillard has never even come close to on the college level.

It will be a rude wake up call for him and for whoever drafts him.

Andre Drummond Will Not Dazzle in the Nation's Capital

Drummond is a big boy. At 6'10", 270 pounds, Drummond got by with his size in college for UConn. And while that may work in the NBA because of how few truly dominant centers there are, he's not going to live up to the hype of potentially being drafted No. 3 by the Washington Wizards, nor will he ever be a true winner unless he develops more of an inside game.

He's got very few moves in the low-post and overall has an awkward shot. It looks like he shoots with two hands sometimes and releases it near his face...not quite as bad as Shawn Marion, but you get the point. He's got no jumper from anywhere on the court.

John Wall will certainly give him some good looks and create some shots for the big man, but can he create on his own? He didn't convince us he could in college, relying on UConn's backcourt to do a lot of the setting up.

And oh yeah, he shot 29 percent from the free throw line in college. I'm pretty sure some NBA players could do better with their eyes closed. He will be a real liability in close games, so why should any team chose him in the top 10, let alone the top five, if he can' t be counted on to play down the stretch. Hack-A-Drummond.

He may be in the league for a little while, but get used to seeing him cost his team down the stretch.