Trendy Picks

We're constantly asked how PickLogic determines a pick (or a "no pick") each day, and while we can't give away all of our secrets, we're happy to explain some of the more basic tenets of the PickLogic methodologies.

First of all, it's important to note that the selections are made unemotionally: numbers are run, trends are looked at, and picks are generated automatically (via a rather sophisticated software program).  It's not a human that decides which picks are better than others.

The system outputs the best selections of the day, and then strict rules are applied to determine which (if any) pick qualifies for the ensuing day.

For instance, no one looks at the Lakers-Nuggets game, and says "I know PickLogic says to take the "Under" in this game, but those teams are scoring a lot lately! Let's not take the pick!"

For the purposes of this blog post, we'll focus on the concepts behind our basketball selections (baseball picks are generated using decidedly different methodologies, which we'll post on in April or May).

During basketball season, everything is based on TRENDS.

PickLogic has identified a few different ways of determining games that are most likely to go over or under the total points. There are actually three different trends: a strong "Over" trend, a strong "Under" trend, and a weaker "Under" trend.

For any day's games, PickLogic will determine if any of the games qualify in any of the three trends.

Since there are two "Under" trends and one "Over" trend, you'll probably note that we'll have slightly more "Under" picks when all is said and done, although the majority of selections are made using either the strong "Over" or the strong "Under" trend, so it's not quite a 2:1 ratio.

If there are multiple picks that qualify, the strongest one will end up as the day's selection (and we'll usually post, in a blog comment, some of the "almost" picks!).

And as far as how the wager amounts are determined, they're in direct correlation with the strength of the pick.  The stronger the selecton, the higher the amount (and vice versa, of course).

In other news, with no pick for the last day of February, we end the month up just over 2%—not too bad for a month in which we had three 2-game losing streaks, and basically stayed steady over the last 18 days.  (Note that since we started PickLogic.com nearly 3 years ago, our clients have experienced a positive return in 33 of 35 months!)

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