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EPIC NFL Thanksgiving Slate 🙌

Denver Broncos vs. San Diego Chargers: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Kyle VassaloNov 26, 2011

Tim Tebow has the Broncos surging, winning four of his last five games and bringing Denver within one game of first place in the AFC West.

It's a bit of a different story for Philip Rivers and the Chargers, who have dropped five straight after shooting out to an uncharacteristically fast start.

This is a battle between a team who shouldn't be winning, but is, and a team who should be running away with the division, but can't buy a victory.

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Will the Chargers get back on track and pick up a much-needed victory or will the Broncos make it three straight against division opponents?

Let's take a closer look to see who has the edge in this matchup.

Where: Qualcomm Stadium (San Diego, CA)

When: Sunday, November 27th at 4:15 p.m. EST

Watch: CBS

Betting Line: Broncos +5.5, According to SportsBook.com

Take the points. AFC West underdogs have been dominating and with the Chargers stumbling into this game and the Broncos' confidence at full tilt, it's hard to believe Vegas is confident enough in the lowly Chargers to make them 5.5 point favorites.

Betting Over/Under: 41.5, According to SportsBook.com

Take the under. Even though the Broncos have won four of their last five, they've scored 18 or less in their last five, as well.

The Chargers' sputtering offense has produced 21 points or less in four of their last five and though the last meeting between these two teams produced a point total of 53, neither side has been impressive in recent weeks offensively.

Who Might Not Play for Denver

David BrutonSAchillesFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Brian DawkinsSAnkleFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Daniel FellsTEConcussionFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Willis McGaheeRBHandFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Julius ThomasTEAnkleFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Cassius VaughnCBHamstringFull Participation in PracticeProbable

Who Might Not Play for San Diego

Scott MruczkowskiCConcussionOut (Definitely Will Not Play)--
Luis CastilloDETibiaDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Malcom FloydWRHipDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Marcus McNeillTNeckDid Not Participate In PracticeOut
Tyronne GreenGHandDid Not Participate In PracticeDoubtful
Louis VasquezGAnkleDid Not Participate In PracticeDoubtful
Marcus GilchristCBHamstringFull Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Shaun PhillipsLBFootFull Participation in PracticeQuestionable
Bront BirdLBAnkleFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Jacques CesaireDEKneeFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Antonio GatesTENot Injury RelatedFull Participation in PracticeProbable
Ryan MathewsRBKneeFull Participation in PracticeProbable

Fantasy Big Plays

Tim Tebow:

Start Tim Tebow. He already has ten total touchdowns on the season. If you are in a league that values rushing touchdowns higher than passing touchdowns, Tebow is a particularly interesting option.Greg Manusky won't have a game plan for his run defense, which allows 124.3 rushing YPG, to contain Tebow.

Philip Rivers

Bench Philip Rivers. His off year is downright bizarre and it's not getting better. It looked like he might be turning it around after he tossed four touchdowns in a 385-yard performance, but he has 17 interceptions on the season. Some would say his monster yardage makes his picks a non-factor, but his 250 yards against Denver in their first meeting weren't impressive and you shouldn't expect him to excel this time around.

Willis McGahee

Start Willis McGahee

With Knowshon Moreno suffering a torn ACL, it looked like McGahee was going to really take off against the Jets. He struggled mightily, only racking up 18 yards on 12 carries, but you shouldn't have any reservations about starting him this week. He had 125 yards last time these teams met and should have his way with the Chargers once again.

Key to Broncos Win

Attack Philip Rivers. Rivers has more picks than touchdowns and pressuring him with Von Miller will force him to make the critical errors that have wounded the Chargers.

The last thing they want is to let him fall into a groove like he did against Green Bay. The Broncos don't have the sort of offense that can compete if Rivers is bombing it at will. They've won by keeping it manageable and letting Tebow work his magic late. The same has to be the case here.

Key to Chargers Win

Make Tebow throw. We've heard time and time again that this gimmicky offense wouldn't continue to win games, but the Broncos have proven what they're doing is working.

The Chargers need to stop the run game at all costs, even if it means exposing their secondary. The more times Tebow puts it in the air, the more opportunities for error there will be.

The worst case scenario would be getting torn apart on the ground and letting the option force their defense on its heels.

Prediction: Broncos 17, Chargers 13

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